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Hot Pursuit to Eliminate Hafiz saeed, probablity and possible strategy

I M Sikander

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If american can do it (OBL killing), why couldn't we (indians) can do so. The supporters of this logic are growing in india, among the masses, media and gov. Circles.

Using movies and novels the indian gov. has slowly made up the minds of their people to support any such adventure to eliminate hafiz saeed.

The success of any such attempt will give a great boast to modi sarkar, who has failed to come up to the expectations of its over whelming vote bank in last elections.

So following are the two possible way indian hawks might consider to eliminate hafiz saeed inside pakistani territory.

Option1: Murder attempt using local agents and proxies

This option seems difficult but not impossible. Unlike obl, Hafiz saeed is a free man, who moves freely in cities, give tv intervurss and even address open public gathering (such as in meenar pakistan).

It is possible to target him using a suicide bomber or a sniper in a public gathering.

Incase, the person who make such attempt is captured by hafiz saeed body guards and general public, it will makes no difference.
Indians wont mind sacrificing a person if he is successful in eliminating the prime indian target.


Option2: Precision Air strikes

Hafiz saeed mostly resides in JuD markaz or in his 2 or 3 houses in outskirts of lahore and mureedkay.
Unlike abbotabad which is deep inside Pakistan, the residences and JuD markaz of hafiz saeed are very well known places and very close to indian boarder [around 20 miles].

Targetting HS using Precision guided bombs can not be ruled out. A Sukhoi MKI at supercruise speed will reach the JuD markaz or HS residence in hardly 2 to 3 minutes. During peace time, the response time to counter intercept such enemy planes is more than 5 to 7 minutes.

With accurate intelligence
Of HS presence at his residence, IAF can carry out such attack, even if they lose their aircraft and pilot while returning home.

It isnt any film Or drama, but such actions can not be ruled out, considering the OBL episode in mind.

Conclusion:
1. After myanmar fiasco, hawks on indian side may consider any such adventure.

2. Incase of any such action, on the diplomatic front, India will take the stance that they have not attacked pakistan but have only targeted mumbai attack master mind who is on UN security council list of terrorist.

3. Only thing that is restricting indians from any such miss adventure is the unknown Pakistani response. Indians are not sure how pakistan will respond to all this, will pakistan give a similar response to India or make a judicial commission like OBL issue.


(Plz discuss the issue on merit, no trolling please)
 
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Probability of this happening is very low as pakistan is not friendly nation and it can escalate unlike burma where they were in loop
But who will Pakistan target in india in response to any such miss adventure.
 
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adventure
If they go for option 1 then perhaps no one. If they go for the option 2 then there are all kind of targets along the LOC and IB that can be bombed by artillery or PAF, things will surely escalate as it will be seen as an attack on our sovereignty and military will have to react.
 
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"Hot Pursuit to Eliminate Hafiz saeed, probablity and possible strategy"

The answer is 'zilch, zero, nothing', because 'hot pursuit' entails the active pursuit of enemy combatants into territory administered by another State during or immediately after said enemy combatants have conducted an attack.

Last I checked Hafiz Saeed wasn't leading any attacks (nor does he look like he's physically able to) into Indian administered territory.
 
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But who will Pakistan target in india in response to any such miss adventure.
pakistan neither have capabilities to launch assault inside india. They tried in 71 but miserably failed no chance Pakistan have to surpassing formidable air defense and 24X7 surveillance of india
 
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"Hot Pursuit to Eliminate Hafiz saeed, probablity and possible strategy"

The answer is 'zilch, zero, nothing', because 'hot pursuit' entails the active pursuit of enemy combatants into territory administered by another State during or immediately after said enemy combatants have conducted an attack.

Last I checked Hafiz Saeed wasn't leading any attacks (nor does he look like he's physically able to) into Indian administered territory.
HS is the spiritual leader and face of JuD and he is like OBL to india.
And secondly our response after OBL episode was simply shamesless and horrible.
 
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"Hot Pursuit to Eliminate Hafiz saeed, probablity and possible strategy"

The answer is 'zilch, zero, nothing', because 'hot pursuit' entails the active pursuit of enemy combatants into territory administered by another State during or immediately after said enemy combatants have conducted an attack.

Last I checked Hafiz Saeed wasn't leading any attacks (nor does he look like he's physically able to) into Indian administered territory.


don't you think he should be arrested and convicted by pak for his past violent acts in India ?
 
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pakistan neither have will or capabilities to launch assault inside india. They tried in 71 but miserably failed no chance Pakistan have to surpassing formidable air defense and 24X7 surveillance of india
We didnt tried any miss adventure in 71. It was india who infiltrated in east pakistan. And please back to the topic please.
 
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Plz trt it. We know where modi lives. And we wont be going for precision strikes......
 
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don't you think he should be arrested and convicted by pak for his past violent acts in India ?
He was arrested but nothing proved against him and he was released from highest court. So he is innocent as per law.
 
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