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Goodbye IMF?

Zibago

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Goodbye IMF?


Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have successfully completed negotiations on the 12th and final review under the three-year Extended Fund Facility (EFF) programme for an amount of $6.4 billion. This means Pakistan will no longer be requiring more assistance from the Washington-based fund. For a country whose single largest component of public spending is foreign debt servicing – Pakistan currently pays 24% of the GDP repaying foreign loans – the end of another extensive borrowing scheme can only be good news.

The government and IMF officials have been quick to point out that the successful review indicates the country’s ability to stand on its own feet without requiring foreign aid. The Finance Minister, Ishaq Dar, went further and hailed the end of the loan scheme as a success for the government’s policies – despite that fact that it failed to achieve targets on net domestic assets and budget deficit.

While there is truth in these claims, the end of this loan scheme does not necessarily mean ‘goodbye’ to the IMF. If the economic situation worsens, Pakistan may yet have to return to the body for help – true end to dependence will come once local economic indicators show growth and revenue collection is increased greatly. Pakistan has a long history of borrowing from the IMF – since 1958, Pakistan has availed 16 programmes. The end of one scheme does not mean permanent economic success.

This government has surely improved the economy from the state it found it in when it came into power, but core economic indicators are still growing too slowly. The key now would be to focus on tax collection and sound economic policy rather than to rely on a foreign aid package always being there. The sooner it can free our GDP from debt servicing, the sooner the government can focus on actual development.
http://nation.com.pk/editorials/07-Aug-2016/goodbye-imf
@django @The Sandman @Moonlight @Hell hound @User @notorious_eagle
 
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Tax collection stands at 31 billion usd ...up from 17 billion from ppp time. This year target is around 40 billion...still room to double it from here as i know no body pays any taxes in pakistan..
Believe me i know
 
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Tax collection stands at 31 billion usd ...up from 17 billion from ppp time. This year target is around 40 billion...still room to double it from here as i know no body pays any taxes in pakistan..
Believe me i know
When the tax policy is based on indirect taxation it will remain low and will harm poor more than the rich
 
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Good bye IMF. Welcome AIIB

Good bye Terrorism. Welcome CPEC

Good bye F-16s. Welcome SU-35s

Good bye Mirages. Welcome JF-17s

Good bye Saudi. Welcome Turkey

Good bye USA. Welcome China

Good bye NATO. Welcome SCO
And the ever-delusional military fan boys here will attribute all this to one person with a stupid hashtag like this #ThankyouRaheelShareef. :lol:
 
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Good bye IMF. Welcome AIIB

Good bye Terrorism. Welcome CPEC

Good bye F-16s. Welcome SU-35s

Good bye Mirages. Welcome JF-17s

Good bye Saudi. Welcome Turkey

Good bye USA. Welcome China

Good bye NATO. Welcome SCO
India, however, has not so many options.
Only follow the United States
292c0f09dc35dbb3

 
. . . . . .
Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have successfully completed negotiations on the 12th and final review under the three-year Extended Fund Facility (EFF) programme for an amount of $6.4 billion. This means Pakistan will no longer be requiring more assistance from the Washington-based fund. For a country whose single largest component of public spending is foreign debt servicing – Pakistan currently pays 24% of the GDP repaying foreign loans – the end of another extensive borrowing scheme can only be good news.
@django @The Sandman @Moonlight @Hell hound @User @notorious_eagle

3 years ago when I would write about these things, people would call me names. Both Indian and Pakistanis as if I was writing drunk posts. I back then told you that Pakistan will say good bye to the IMF in three years, that Pakistan's foreign reserves would be around $ 30 billions by December 2017 and $ 40 billion by the end of 2014 (these were my conservative estimates per calculations, things are moving faster actually).

I projected Pakistan's defense budget around $ 16-18 billion by 2018. As of today, the official budget is around $ 9 billion and then there are $ 2-3 billion added for special purposes like Zarb-e-Azb, etc. So its already at $ 11-12 billion and it might get to $ 18 by December 2018 (or more).

My assessment also projected that the PSI (ex- KSE) would tripple by 2018. Well its already tripled and has crossed a trillion mark with size and has been the top 2nd / 3rd market in terms of returning the highest profit back!!!!

The power outage will start to get reduced from this December and by the end of next year, the power outages will start to feel like the nightmares of the past.

The US and the West in general are getting ready to pour in billions in investments as Pakistan has proven herself one of the fastest growing market and now officially has an Emerging Market status. So the future is looking good for the Pakistanis.

Irrespective of the military dealings, Pakistani leadership needs to work closely with the US administration to get 15-20 global companies to invest into Pakistan. For the US, a $ 100 billion over a few years is a drop from the Ocean, but for Pakistan, it may be a little Ocean, when coupled with the Chinese investments. This will help Pakistan get to the top 15th and top 10th economy in less than 10 years. Otherwise, as things are, its a 15 year target. So don't forget that capability about the US. Keep up the good work and keep growing the economy like it has been. Pakistan as of today, has many Dubai's in the making (all major cities).
 
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3 years ago when I would write about these things, people would call me names. Both Indian and Pakistanis as if I was writing drunk posts. I back then told you that Pakistan will say good bye to the IMF in three years, that Pakistan's foreign reserves would be around $ 30 billions by December 2017 and $ 40 billion by the end of 2014 (these were my conservative estimates per calculations, things are moving faster actually).

I projected Pakistan's defense budget around $ 16-18 billion by 2018. As of today, the official budget is around $ 9 billion and then there are $ 2-3 billion added for special purposes like Zarb-e-Azb, etc. So its already at $ 11-12 billion and it might get to $ 18 by December 2018 (or more).

My assessment also projected that the PSI (ex- KSE) would tripple by 2018. Well its already tripled and has crossed a trillion mark with size and has been the top 2nd / 3rd market in terms of returning the highest profit back!!!!

The power outage will start to get reduced from this December and by the end of next year, the power outages will start to feel like the nightmares of the past.

The US and the West in general are getting ready to pour in billions in investments as Pakistan has proven herself one of the fastest growing market and now officially has an Emerging Market status. So the future is looking good for the Pakistanis.

Irrespective of the military dealings, Pakistani leadership needs to work closely with the US administration to get 15-20 global companies to invest into Pakistan. For the US, a $ 100 billion over a few years is a drop from the Ocean, but for Pakistan, it may be a little Ocean, when coupled with the Chinese investments. This will help Pakistan get to the top 15th and top 10th economy in less than 10 years. Otherwise, as things are, its a 15 year target. So don't forget that capability about the US. Keep up the good work and keep growing the economy like it has been. Pakistan as of today, has many Dubai's in the making (all major cities).
Is the US government trustworthy?

6350940464781568366.jpg
 
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Good bye IMF. Welcome AIIB

Good bye Terrorism. Welcome CPEC

Good bye F-16s. Welcome SU-35s

Good bye Mirages. Welcome JF-17s

Good bye Saudi. Welcome Turkey

Good bye USA. Welcome China

Good bye NATO. Welcome SCO


That's a GREAT analysis. I don't know you did it by heart, but it turned out to be in Pakistan's favor. The message from the above analysis are:

1) For every bad thing, they've replaced it with something great for their economy and the nation. Like Terrorism that killed people and destroyed businesses, is now replaced with the CPEC, which is peaceful opportunity for all the Pakistanis, less than half the Chinese and many other countries. How cool?

2) For F-16's, even thought they depended on them, and India has much more influence, they've blew through that resistance and have multiple options now, from EFT to SU-35 to obviously multiple Chinese platforms.

3) By saying good bye to Saudis, they've shown them they are not a useless toy that the master will call when to use. The Saudis are now officially dealing with the world's top 15th (later to be 10th) economy and the seventh largest and nuke power. So they need to work on that level. Awesome work. Turkey has always worked with Pakistan on equal basis, plus unlike KSA Turkey is much advanced in technology. So what more can one ask for??

4) There is no Goodbye to the US. There is a weapon purchasing issue due to India. But the US and Pakisan will always work together to grow Pakistan's economy. India can't stop it as its business. Your own game from 2 decades ago is at play. Only difference is, the US is the same, India is being replaced by Pakistan to get high growth emerging market profits by US businesses. It doesn't mean the US doesn't have more strategic ties with India, it always will. But the true reality is that India can ONLY stop the military cooperation. It can't give 30-40% returns on investments due to being a mature economy, that emerging economy Pakistan can give. So welcome to Global Economics :enjoy:.

Interesting thing is, India had the US back her up economically. Pakistan has China, some Arab countries to join, Turkey and the US has started to invest large sums into Pakistani stock market. Pakistan requires a lot less investments to provide her citizens a European lifestyle than India. As Pakistan is 5 times smaller in population and size. So India and China will need a LOT more to improve their human index than Pakistan.

5) Pakistan wasn't a part of the NATO, nor is she at odds with it. So that doesn't make sense why there is a good bye to NATO. SCO is a local / Asian specific group so it makes sense to be a part of it due to so much trade being done within Asia. Hope this helps!!

India, however, has not so many options.
Only follow the United States
292c0f09dc35dbb3

Exactly what I wrong on my analysis above. Good going Pakistan!!

Is the US government trustworthy?

This question is tricky like "Does the God exist and have you seen him"?? These things are subjective. A wife who tells her husband "I love you" for years, one day leaves him. A Son who his Dad did everything for all his life, grows up and goes away to a different State or a Country to pursue his life dreams and leaves the old man behind to die of old age. So when these God made relationships are based on interests, how do you expect a Super Power to not follow them?? That's the system of the nature. You'll pursue your interests no matter what.

Think about it, if the Chinese didn't have interests in Pakistan, would they be pouring so many billions into Pakistan? The interest was there for a while, they just needed a Civilian Business oriented system to support them as they didn't trust the military (and for good reasons, no military has ever grown a country economically, ever). So its all based on country to country interests and its subjective for every country.
 
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This government has surely improved the economy from the state it found it in when it came into power, but core economic indicators are still growing too slowly. The key now would be to focus on tax collection and sound economic policy rather than to rely on a foreign aid package always being there. The sooner it can free our GDP from debt servicing, the sooner the government can focus on actual development.

Exactly. Hopefully Pakistan (and its government) will realize this. Or else our celebrations will be short lived.
 
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