GUNNER
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Yes, and before that they were part of several other groupings. They are perpetual lotas. That was my larger point. One phone call and a little bit of "funding" will have them switching sides like nobody's business. I am sure you've seen that famous series of interviews with "leading" politicians who described how the IJI was formed. All it took was a few phone calls and a few pieces of paper bearing images of the Founder of the Nation.
Before 97, most of PML-Q members were part of N going back to IJI. I know how the IJI was formed. It comprised of several factions - with two things in common - which were pro-Zia and anti-PPP. It also filled a political vaccum as PML-N evolved into a major political party. Musharraf thought that he could repeat the cycle again and cobble together another IJI. But by this time, the PML-N had fallen out of grace and had it's own views other than those of the militay-establishment nexus. While he did managed to form a League of his own, the fact is that once he was out, the PML-N sprang back. Only the diehard members remained with Nawaz when the Intel-NAB joint was hounding them. So, it cannot be called a Lota party anymore. The view is further strengthened by the fact that Nawaz refused to take these Lotas back in. He could have easily over-thrown the central government had he done so. The chaudhrys are ever willing.
The MQM will support Musharraf.
Musharraf will likely contest on his own platform and then obtain the support of the other parties post election. There will be a pre-electoral seat arrangement between all these members of the future hypothetical alliance we are discussing. For example, Musharraf will not want to be seen as part of the MQM. Yet, the MQM will not oppose him. The PML-Q may not have Musharraf on board at the time of elections, but soon after they will all reconvene in Parliament as a unified alliance.
I'll be surprised if Musharraf gets even two seats on his own platform. As far asd Q and F are concerned, they will together get not more than 35 seats in all. As far as the MQM is concerned, even if it improves on it's current tally, it may get up to 25. As i said earlier, this alliance will push PML-N and PPP closer, resulting in their coalition government once more. And once they do, MQM will lose no time in dumping Musharraf. That's my reading.