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Forget Brazil. This emerging market is on the rise

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Pacific Alliance trade bloc of Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Peru and Costa Rica is growing fast

Brazil, an emerging-market darling just a couple years ago, is crumbling amid economic stagnation and political turmoil. But there's a far brighter story—one most investors are missing—elsewhere in Latin America.

102537884-lima-peru.530x298.jpg

Axel Fassio | Photographer's Choice RF | Getty Images
Lima, Peru
Four countries—Mexico, Peru, Colombia and Chile—three years ago formed a free-trade bloc called the Pacific Alliance. Tiny Costa Rica joined the club in 2013. Together, they're a bigger economy than Brazil, and they're expected to grow three or four times faster than their huge neighbor over the next few years.

Brazil's $1.7 trillion economy contracted by 0.1 percent in 2014, according to Brazilian central bank data released Thursday, and it's seen shrinking by 0.5 percent 2015. A corruption scandal at state-controlled Petrobras, the state-controlled petroleum giant, is expected to further hobble the country's economy.

Pacific LatAm rising
Country Population GDP past 5 years Predicted 2014/2015
Mexico 115 Million 1.90% 2.4%/3.5%
Colombia 47 Million 4.20% 4.8%/4.5%
Peru 30 Million 5.50% 3.6%/5.1%
Chile 17 Million 4% 2.0%/3.3%
Costa Rica 5 Million 3.10% 3.6%/3.6%

In contrast, the five Pacific Alliance members, with a collective GDP of $2.2 trillion, are expected to grow 3.3 percent in 2014, and 4 percent in 2015. Economic reforms within individual member states can take some of the credit.

"The countries that have continued the gradual process of reform are the ones that continue to capture foreign investment," said John Price, managing director of Miami-based consultancy Americas Market Intelligence.


lmao, surprise surprise. no Cuba,Venezuela,Brazil,Argentina,Nicaragua,Bolivia, Ecuador.

Banco_del_Sur.jpg
 
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Pacific Alliance trade bloc of Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Peru and Costa Rica is growing fast

Brazil, an emerging-market darling just a couple years ago, is crumbling amid economic stagnation and political turmoil. But there's a far brighter story—one most investors are missing—elsewhere in Latin America.

102537884-lima-peru.530x298.jpg

Axel Fassio | Photographer's Choice RF | Getty Images
Lima, Peru
Four countries—Mexico, Peru, Colombia and Chile—three years ago formed a free-trade bloc called the Pacific Alliance. Tiny Costa Rica joined the club in 2013. Together, they're a bigger economy than Brazil, and they're expected to grow three or four times faster than their huge neighbor over the next few years.

Brazil's $1.7 trillion economy contracted by 0.1 percent in 2014, according to Brazilian central bank data released Thursday, and it's seen shrinking by 0.5 percent 2015. A corruption scandal at state-controlled Petrobras, the state-controlled petroleum giant, is expected to further hobble the country's economy.

Pacific LatAm rising
Country Population GDP past 5 years Predicted 2014/2015
Mexico 115 Million 1.90% 2.4%/3.5%
Colombia 47 Million 4.20% 4.8%/4.5%
Peru 30 Million 5.50% 3.6%/5.1%
Chile 17 Million 4% 2.0%/3.3%
Costa Rica 5 Million 3.10% 3.6%/3.6%

In contrast, the five Pacific Alliance members, with a collective GDP of $2.2 trillion, are expected to grow 3.3 percent in 2014, and 4 percent in 2015. Economic reforms within individual member states can take some of the credit.

"The countries that have continued the gradual process of reform are the ones that continue to capture foreign investment," said John Price, managing director of Miami-based consultancy Americas Market Intelligence.


lmao, surprise surprise. no Cuba,Venezuela,Brazil,Argentina,Nicaragua,Bolivia, Ecuador.

Banco_del_Sur.jpg

And the common denominator is? They all maintain a healthy relationship with a diverse set of economies. Unlike the more economically challenged Latin American nations, these ones haven't shut out the US, they maintain their cordial and productive relations with the US while welcoming additional support from nations like China and Japan. Proof that its important to be accepting of all, not preferential of few. Long live their economic ascendance:yahoo:!

Cuba,Venezuela,Brazil,Argentina,Nicaragua,Bolivia, and Ecuador - what's their common link? Well, besides economic problems, they all maintain a somewhat less diverse set of trading partners and rely too much on too few. They are all badly governed too, except for Bolivia which has done a good job supporting its citizens. Brazil is the exception and is actively improving ties with the US as noted here

Exclusive: U.S. bets on Brazil, extends new invitation to Rousseff| Reuters
 
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And the common denominator is? They all maintain a healthy relationship with a diverse set of economies. Unlike the more economically challenged Latin American nations, these ones haven't shut out the US, they maintain their cordial and productive relations with the US while welcoming additional support from nations like China and Japan. Proof that its important to be accepting of all, not preferential of few. Long live their economic ascendance:yahoo:!
:cheers:

econ_latinamerica24_630inline.jpg


chilevenez.jpg
 
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Proof that its important to be accepting of all, not preferential of few.

I agree. It is best to do business with everyone, and not to shut out business from specific countries.

But what is going on with all those sanctions against Russia/Cuba/Iran etc?
 
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I agree. It is best to do business with everyone, and not to shut out business from specific countries.

But what is going on with all those sanctions against Russia/Cuba/Iran etc?

The same garbage that sees massive tariffs erected as trade barriers, people forget their basic humility and play a wasteful game of geo-politics when spheres of influence exist only in our minds. Who cares about prosperity when something is exploding. Well hey, at least explosions are cool right?

Sanctions exist for a reason though. Both sides must be accepting of each other. Its a two-way street and sanctions are a result of adverse actions having already been undertaken.

What was it Newton noted? "All actions have a poorly thought-out and disproportionate reaction?" Yeah, I think that was it.

But I'm not a policy maker, just a lowly pharmacist.
 
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The same garbage that sees massive tariffs, people forget their basic humility and play a wasteful game of geo-politics when spheres of influence exist only in our minds. Who cares about prosperity when something is exploding. Well hey, at least explosions are cool right?

Sanctions exist for a reason though. Both sides must be accepting of each other. Its a two-way street and sanctions are a result of adverse actions having already been undertaken.

But I'm not a policy maker, just a lowly pharmacist.

To be fair your economy is doing well, so I guess you haven't really lost anything from putting up those sanctions. And no one can force you to do business with Russia if you don't want to.

So the real lesson is it is best to do business with anyone, unless you are a superpower, in which case you can pretty much do anything you like. :P Power is great huh?
 
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To be fair your economy is doing well, so I guess you haven't really lost anything from putting up those sanctions. And no one can force you to do business with Russia if you don't want to.

So the real lesson is it is best to do business with anyone, unless you are a superpower, in which case you can pretty much do anything you like. :P Power is great huh?

Did I mention that I'm a Russian by birth? True, I live in the US, and serve (present tense) in the USN, but my poor parents are bearing the brunt of Russian politics gone wrong.

Funny thing though, the US economy is kind of sick, and weather is the culprit. It's kind of a trend these days. The underlying trend and structure remains strong, but the weather causes disruptions that see the US economic output drop significantly in the first two quarters, almost to a point of stagnation, or even into the negatives. The late part of the year sees growth in the 4-5% range.

*looks outside of window and sighs* It's raining... again:(.

Power is indeed great, I boss my husband around for fun sometimes. Isn't that right @SvenSvensonov:haha: :p:. It's good to be on top, and with the way you guys are going that will be your reality soon too. Just be kind to us.
 
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It's good to be on top, and with the way you guys are going that will be your reality soon too. Just be kind to us.

Nah lol, we're never going to be a superpower. :P

Not just because the word "superpower" carries a negative connotation in China (which it does), but because of the simple practical reality that no matter how strong we become, USA/EU/Russia/Japan will be there to balance it out.

USN right now is stronger than the rest of the world's navies combined, the PLAN will never need to achieve that level of power, even if we have the money to do so.
 
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I agree. It is best to do business with everyone, and not to shut out business from specific countries.

But what is going on with all those sanctions against Russia/Cuba/Iran etc?


muh sanctions. going to blame Uncle Sam for these countries poor state of affairs?? this economic mess was years in the making. someone should of sent them a memo that their21st century socialism or quasi-communism doesn't work.

these countries are corrupt and it has nothing to do with the U.S

Hugo wasted a bononza of oil wealth
Brazil is corrupt and has skimmed off billions out of Petrobras and the company has $130 billion debt.

all these countries can do is point the finger at someone else and rile up the populace.
 
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:disagree::disagree: you know why


someone should of told South America communist wannabes that communist nations end up failing.

being a puppet



muh sanctions. going to blame Uncle Sam for these countries poor state of affairs?? this economic mess was years in the making. someone should of sent the memo to 21st century socialism that quasi-communism doesn't work.

these countries are corrupt and it has nothing to do with the U.S

I don't particularly disagree with anything you have said. :enjoy:

Frankly those guys need to get their own house in order first, before playing politics.

The foundation needs to be strong first.
 
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I don't particularly disagree with anything you have said. :enjoy:

Frankly those guys need to get their own house in order first, before playing politics.

The foundation needs to be strong first.

the foundation starts with getting rid of corruption.
 
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Despite US's best attempt at tooting EPN's (Enrique Peña Nieto) horn, that fool is failing miserably. The 2014 forecast did not pan out, & despite drastic budget cuts, Mexico now faces the worst deficit in two decades.
Monopoly is never good, & after Mexico ratified NAFTA, its Gini index soared to past 50. It wasn't until Fox & Calderón opened up the door to other trade partners did the general populace start to benefit from the economic growth.
 
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Brazil is a beautiful country that has everything to be a developed country
 
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