Foreign exchange: SBP's reserves plunge another 4.43%, now stand at $10.3bafter Decreasing $479 Mill

[Nilgiri]

Can i join as well

Sure but @Samlee is the natural haha.

 

[somebozo]

What is more important is that citizens should immediately withdraw their dollars from banks as capital control should kick in next month when the care taker government takes over and the true extent of debt is revealed. Also Forex would be around 6-7 billion dollars so financial emergency will be imposed in one form or another.

As per PM Abbasi $2bn inflows are expected.

 

[SunilM]

As per PM Abbasi $2bn inflows are expected.

1.6 billion dollars to be precise through credit swaps. The exact same amount was made available for the month of April 2018. And that is exactly my point. Only amount enough to keep Pakistan barely afloat. Also the term of the loans are never made public be it CPEC, or commercial loans, which is very intriguing indeed. How come no one raises issues of transparency in Pakistan and that to when the amounts involved are in the tens of billions.

 

[ziaulislam]

1.6 billion dollars to be precise through credit swaps. The exact same amount was made available for the month of April 2018. And that is exactly my point. Only amount enough to keep Pakistan barely afloat. Also the term of the loans are never made public be it CPEC, or commercial loans, which is very intriguing indeed. How come no one raises issues of transparency in Pakistan and that to when the amounts involved are in the tens of billions.

lol
reserves will be kept at 3 months imports level which is around 8-10 billion dollars
currently they stand at 16 billion dollars(10 under sbp+6 under private banks)

over last 6 months they have remained in 10-11 billion dollars range and will be kept there, govt last time went for bonds 1 year ago, will go to bond market again sometime this year if needed

things are looking much better than expected, every one was predicting that govt will go for bonds before june but it wasnt needed

growth is looking good and GDP is going to hit >6 next year with debt going down and export showing double digit growth

As per PM Abbasi $2bn inflows are expected.

 

[SunilM]

lol
reserves will be kept at 3 months imports level which is around 8-10 billion dollars
currently they stand at 16 billion dollars(10 under sbp+6 under private banks)

over last 6 months they have remained in 10-11 billion dollars range and will be kept there, govt last time went for bonds 1 year ago, will go to bond market again sometime this year if needed

things are looking much better than expected, every one was predicting that govt will go for bonds before june but it wasnt needed

growth is looking good and GDP is going to hit >6 next year with debt going down and export showing double digit growth

IMF bailout looms for Pakistan as debt surge raises alarm

May 31 2018 08:45 PM

For many in Pakistan it’s a question of when – rather than if – the nation will go to the International Monetary Fund for financial support to pay its soaring foreign debt as reserves dwindle.
External debt and liabilities has increased 76% to Rs10.6tn ($92bn) since June 2013, taking the ratio up to 31% of gross domestic product, the highest in almost six years.

Pakistan’s debt will continue to grow as it has the highest financing need as a percentage of GDP in emerging markets over the next two years, according to IMF projections. It’s not an unusual situation for Pakistan, which has gone through decades of debt blowouts and balance-of-payment imbalances.
South Asia’s second-largest economy has received 12 IMF bailouts since the late 1980s and completed its last loan programme just two years ago.

The nation is once again facing a crunch after foreign-exchange reserves dropped to the lowest in more than three years, forcing authorities to devalue the currency twice in recent months and hike interest rates.
To help repay debts and keep the economy going, another IMF loan is possibly the next step.
“It’s a familiar situation,” said Yousuf Nazar, a former Citigroup Inc banker and author of The Gathering Storm: Pakistan. “We have rising debt servicing and faltering growth – the short-term solution is the IMF, it’s probably a matter of months.”
Pakistan’s economic picture was generally rosy up until the past year.
The current government, which will hand over to a caretaker administration on Friday ahead of July 25 elections, has managed to boost economic growth to its highest level in a decade. That was aided in part by low oil prices, the completion of a $6.6bn IMF programme in September 2016 and the Chinese financing of about $60bn in infrastructure across the country as part of Beijing’s flagship Belt and Road initiative.
The growth boom has come with rising imports of Chinese machinery and other goods, widening Pakistan’s current-account deficit by 50% this year.
Added to that is Islamabad’s mounting debt to Beijing and questions over how it will eventually repay billions of dollars over the medium to long term.
Surging oil prices are making matters worse. The central bank recently warned that “the balance of payments has further deteriorated” because of rising crude and investor inflows remaining limited.
Yet the ruling Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz party, which will face a heated election battle against its main opposition rival and former cricket star Imran Khan, has continually denied that it will need to go to the IMF for help.
Finance ministry officials didn’t respond to calls seeking comment. The government is instead borrowing more.
It plans to raise Rs1.1tn of foreign debt in the fiscal year starting from July 1 compared with a budgeted Rs810.7bn.
Major lending sources will be commercial banks, global bonds and China, according to finance ministry data.
Pakistan has already borrowed at least $1.2bn from China and Middle Eastern banks since April to help bridge a $3bn gap this financial year, junior Finance Minister Rana Muhammad Afzal Khan, said in an April interview. “If you don’t take loans your growth will be the lowest, debt brings growth world over,” Prime Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi said in Islamabad this week.
In the next five months about $3bn will need to be paid to creditors including the IMF, World Bank, Paris Club and China and the nation may try to reschedule some of those, said Vaqar Ahmed, the deputy executive director of the Sustainable Development Policy Institute in Islamabad.
As such, Pakistan is close to bankruptcy and will need a bailout that may come from the IMF, said Asad Umar, the former chief executive officer of Engro Corp – one of the nation’s largest conglomerates – who is now a senior politician in Khan’s party and pegged as the likely finance minister if they win the election.

http://www.gulf-times.com/story/594644/IMF-bailout-looms-for-Pakistan-as-debt-surge-raise

 

[Areesh]

I hope foreign reserves come to ZERO

At least @SunilM from bharat would use all his quota of Vaseline.

 

[tarrar]

Loans don’t buy happiness, they only buy disaster & shackles