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Famous Russian figure says Karabakh on verge of new war
Mon 04 August 2014 09:37 GMT | 11:37 Local Time
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Vesti.Az interviews chairman of the Islamic Committee of Russia, famous Russian public and political figures Heydar Jamal.
What is your attitude to the recent events on the line of the Armenian-Azerbaijani front? Are new hostilities likely in Karabakh?
It is already clear that the events in Ukraine, around the Crimea will trigger a series of clashes, shocks able to cover the post-Soviet area with a fire ring. This is the strongest destabilizing mechanism. And here there is no evil will of any definite forces.
There is a concept as an objective sociopolitical reality. And the reality is that when perestroika and openness started, conflicts around the whole perimeter of the USSR erupted.
First there was a protest of Kazakhs against Kolbin’s appointment in 1986 as the first secretary of Kazakhstan. Then there was the massacre of the Crimean Tatars in Tashkent, Kyrgyzs and Uzbeks in Osha, Karabakh and other places.
Karabakh is now on the verge of a new war. It emerged amid events in the southeast of Ukraine. We heard the rhetoric of both sides. But the parties feared to approach close to each others. And now we already see military hardware used alongside Kalashnikov’s guns. The situation when Russia is engaged in the affairs in Ukraine’s southeast promotes a breakthrough in Karabakh war, the start of real confrontation between Azerbaijan and Armenia.
What will be the effect of new war in Nagorno Karabakh for the region?
This causes a number of other shocks. Very serious shocks, for example, in Central Asia, where Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan are on the verge of conflict. A small trigger will send everything down the drain.
You see it all comes amidst NATO-led troops’ withdrawal from Afghanistan. By the way, they are going to pass via Azerbaijan. This shows that NATO will be anyway involved in the post-Soviet area.
How will Moscow act in the new Karabakh war?
It has always been pro-Armenian. But in this case the matter is about how real it may take Armenia’s side. Moscow has big problems with her engagement to the problem of the southeast of Ukraine. Baku is preparing to war amid the Western sanctions which strongly restrict Russian abilities to maneuver.
As Armenia is an integral part of the European Union, is traditionally considered the partner of both Moscow and Tehran, Azerbaijan will rely on the positive reaction of NATO.
Iran is also engaged in its problems and will hardly make any stiff military steps to support Armenia.
Mon 04 August 2014 09:37 GMT | 11:37 Local Time
Text size:
Vesti.Az interviews chairman of the Islamic Committee of Russia, famous Russian public and political figures Heydar Jamal.
What is your attitude to the recent events on the line of the Armenian-Azerbaijani front? Are new hostilities likely in Karabakh?
It is already clear that the events in Ukraine, around the Crimea will trigger a series of clashes, shocks able to cover the post-Soviet area with a fire ring. This is the strongest destabilizing mechanism. And here there is no evil will of any definite forces.
There is a concept as an objective sociopolitical reality. And the reality is that when perestroika and openness started, conflicts around the whole perimeter of the USSR erupted.
First there was a protest of Kazakhs against Kolbin’s appointment in 1986 as the first secretary of Kazakhstan. Then there was the massacre of the Crimean Tatars in Tashkent, Kyrgyzs and Uzbeks in Osha, Karabakh and other places.
Karabakh is now on the verge of a new war. It emerged amid events in the southeast of Ukraine. We heard the rhetoric of both sides. But the parties feared to approach close to each others. And now we already see military hardware used alongside Kalashnikov’s guns. The situation when Russia is engaged in the affairs in Ukraine’s southeast promotes a breakthrough in Karabakh war, the start of real confrontation between Azerbaijan and Armenia.
What will be the effect of new war in Nagorno Karabakh for the region?
This causes a number of other shocks. Very serious shocks, for example, in Central Asia, where Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan are on the verge of conflict. A small trigger will send everything down the drain.
You see it all comes amidst NATO-led troops’ withdrawal from Afghanistan. By the way, they are going to pass via Azerbaijan. This shows that NATO will be anyway involved in the post-Soviet area.
How will Moscow act in the new Karabakh war?
It has always been pro-Armenian. But in this case the matter is about how real it may take Armenia’s side. Moscow has big problems with her engagement to the problem of the southeast of Ukraine. Baku is preparing to war amid the Western sanctions which strongly restrict Russian abilities to maneuver.
As Armenia is an integral part of the European Union, is traditionally considered the partner of both Moscow and Tehran, Azerbaijan will rely on the positive reaction of NATO.
Iran is also engaged in its problems and will hardly make any stiff military steps to support Armenia.