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Famous Russian figure says Karabakh on verge of new war

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Famous Russian figure says Karabakh on verge of new war
Mon 04 August 2014 09:37 GMT | 11:37 Local Time

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Vesti.Az interviews chairman of the Islamic Committee of Russia, famous Russian public and political figures Heydar Jamal.
What is your attitude to the recent events on the line of the Armenian-Azerbaijani front? Are new hostilities likely in Karabakh?


It is already clear that the events in Ukraine, around the Crimea will trigger a series of clashes, shocks able to cover the post-Soviet area with a fire ring. This is the strongest destabilizing mechanism. And here there is no evil will of any definite forces.

There is a concept as an objective sociopolitical reality. And the reality is that when perestroika and openness started, conflicts around the whole perimeter of the USSR erupted.

First there was a protest of Kazakhs against Kolbin’s appointment in 1986 as the first secretary of Kazakhstan. Then there was the massacre of the Crimean Tatars in Tashkent, Kyrgyzs and Uzbeks in Osha, Karabakh and other places.

Karabakh is now on the verge of a new war. It emerged amid events in the southeast of Ukraine. We heard the rhetoric of both sides. But the parties feared to approach close to each others. And now we already see military hardware used alongside Kalashnikov’s guns. The situation when Russia is engaged in the affairs in Ukraine’s southeast promotes a breakthrough in Karabakh war, the start of real confrontation between Azerbaijan and Armenia.

What will be the effect of new war in Nagorno Karabakh for the region?

This causes a number of other shocks. Very serious shocks, for example, in Central Asia, where Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan are on the verge of conflict. A small trigger will send everything down the drain.

You see it all comes amidst NATO-led troops’ withdrawal from Afghanistan. By the way, they are going to pass via Azerbaijan. This shows that NATO will be anyway involved in the post-Soviet area.

How will Moscow act in the new Karabakh war?

It has always been pro-Armenian. But in this case the matter is about how real it may take Armenia’s side. Moscow has big problems with her engagement to the problem of the southeast of Ukraine. Baku is preparing to war amid the Western sanctions which strongly restrict Russian abilities to maneuver.

As Armenia is an integral part of the European Union, is traditionally considered the partner of both Moscow and Tehran, Azerbaijan will rely on the positive reaction of NATO.

Iran is also engaged in its problems and will hardly make any stiff military steps to support Armenia.
 
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Russia needs to be put in its place. They're completely mad and something needs to be done against them.
 
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Russia needs to be put in its place. They're completely mad and something needs to be done against them.


If Azerbaidjan finds the courage to act now,Russia won't intervene as they are neck deep in Ukraine.
 
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Karabakh problem never to be settled through peace - General
Wed 06 August 2014 06:45 GMT | 8:45 Local Time

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Oxu.Az interviews military expert, retired general Vladimir Timoshenko.
How would you characterize the growth of tensions in the area of Karabakh conflict?

The situation is not that easy. The first thing that must be accepted by all: not ours are provoking. Provocations come from Armenians.

The situation is not simple, but it will not grow into full-scale hostilities. Our forces are concentrated there in a volume that is necessary to avert further deterioration of the situation.

It’s the only thing I can say on this issue because we cannot speak of the rest.

Meanwhile, there are distorted reports about the culprit of escalation. Azerbaijan is often called the initiator…

Ideological war sometimes does not succumb to the war on battle field for its importance and scale and sometimes even surpass it. I especially got convinced about it on the basis of events in Ukraine from where I have just returned. Therefore, we need to create the due ideological background, we must tell the truth everywhere. Azerbaijani side has never provoked anyone over the past 20 years. We did not need it. We need to prepare for large-scale hostilities to start liberating our lands. But this is another matter. Meanwhile, provocations are not the tactics of the political and military leadership of Azerbaijan. It is Armenia which always starts everything. And we must respond for them to know that we will not accept this. This is what happened on the front line those days. Armenians are shouting about ‘their truth’ worldwide.

If you watch the Ukrainian television, you would understand what Russia is doing now. Today there is a real war between Russia and Ukraine, rather than the terrorist operation of the Ukrainian authorities against their people, as the Russian side states. This is a war, in the full meaning of this word. This is the truth which is today distorted by some people.

By the way, there are experts who believe that the war in Ukraine has become a catalyzer of what is now going on in Karabakh.

I would not bind these with each other. In general, I would say a couple of unkind words about international organizations. For example, in such cases the UN always comes out in an unjustifiably irenic tone. I do not like everything in this organization for this position. They will always call for peace without clarifying who is to blame.
The rest are also extremely upbeat about the presidential meetings. And what is the effect of these meetings?

By the way, the next meeting of the Russian president with the leaders of Azerbaijan and Armenia is expected by the end of the week.

And what? There will be a meeting but this all is a protraction of time. The leaders of other countries openly say that it is better to keep the current situation going in its ‘frozen’ form than to start hostilities. The world community will not do anything to solve the territorial problem of Azerbaijan.

Don’t the recent incidents in Karabakh convince the world community that it needs to help put an end to the conflict now for Azerbaijan not to settle it forcibly?



To settle through peace?

Yes. Or are you convinced that this problem can be settled only through war?

It will never be settled through peace. The conflict can thus be ‘frozen’ in its current state for tens of generations ahead.
I do not call for war, it is necessary to prepare seriously to war, because we will have to fight Russia. You probably know that the right to deploy troops in an alien territory is legislatively fixed in Russia. And this cannot be ignored. Karabakh will be ours only as a result of a victorious war.


If Azerbaidjan finds the courage to act now,Russia won't intervene as they are neck deep in Ukraine.
If Russian doesn't step back it will have to face Azerbaijani, Georgian and Turkish forces in Caucasus. Russians are already being kicked out of Ukraine. Now it is time for Azerbaijani to do the same. As the article says Russia is not capable of negotiation.
 
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