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European giants side with UK in Chinese World Bank row with US

This is a good read..... It's 3 days old, so much has changed. Australia is in.

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How Europe and U.S. stumbled into spat over China-led bank | Reuters

How Europe and U.S. stumbled into spat over China-led bank
By Paul Taylor and William James
BRUSSELS/LONDON Sun Mar 22, 2015 8:53am EDT

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China's President Xi Jinping (front C) poses for photos with guests at the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank launch ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing October 24, 2014.

(Reuters) - Sometime geopolitical shifts happen by accident rather than design.

Historians may record March 2015 as the moment when China's chequebook diplomacy came of age, giving the world's number two economy a greater role in shaping global economic governance at the expense of the United States and the international financial institutions it has dominated since World War Two.

This month European governments chose, in an ill-coordinated scramble for advantage, to join a nascent, Chinese-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) in defiance of Washington's misgivings.

British finance minister George Osborne, gleeful at having seized first-mover advantage, stressed the opportunities for British business in a pre-election budget speech to parliament last week.

"We have decided to become the first major western nation to be a prospective founding member of the new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, because we think you should be present at the creation of these new international institutions," he said after rebuffing a telephone plea from U.S. Treasury Secretary Jack Lew to hold off.

The move by Washington's close ally set off an avalanche. Irked that London had stolen a march, Germany, France and Italy announced that they too would participate. Luxembourg and Switzerland quickly followed suit.

The trail of transatlantic and intra-European diplomatic exchanges points to fumbling, mixed signals and tactical differences rather than to any grand plan by Europe to tilt to Asia.

That is nevertheless the way it is seen by some in Washington and Beijing.

As recounted to Reuters by officials in Europe, the United States and China who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the subject, the episode reveals the paucity of strategic dialogue among what used to be called "the West".

It also highlights how the main European Union powers sideline their common foreign and security policy when national commercial interests are at stake.

China's official Xinhua news agency reflected Beijing's delight.

"The joining of Germany, France, Italy as well as Britain, the AIIB's maiden G7 member and a seasoned ally, has opened a decisive crack in the anti-AIIB front forged by America," it said in a commentary.

"Sour grapes over the AIIB makes America look isolated and hypocritical," it said.

Of the main U.S. allies in Asia, Australia appears close to joining, though no formal decision has been made, and Japan and South Korea are considering the possibility.

"The Americans are starting to look very mean-spirited with their criticism," said a Beijing-based Asian diplomat. "This is not a battle they are winning. Even their closest allies in Asia are starting to fall in line."

ANGER AT STALLED IMF REFORM

In Europe as in Washington, China's launch of a new institution to channel a fraction of its massive currency reserves into infrastructure investments in Asia posed a political conundrum and provoked turf disputes.

Western countries had long urged Beijing to recycle some of its trade surplus into building transport, energy and telecommunications networks in developing nations, but they wanted it to use the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank, dominated by the United States and Japan.

China, angered that the U.S. Congress has not ratified a 2010 agreement to increase its voting share and that of other emerging economies in the International Monetary Fund, chose to go its own way instead.

With initial capital of $50 billion, the Beijing-based AIIB can offer at most a complement to the larger World Bank and ADB, but it is starting point for expanding Chinese influence.

Officially, the United States says it is concerned about whether the bank will uphold human rights, environment and labor standards and be open and transparent in its governance.

In private, senior U.S. officials acknowledge this is about power. One Obama administration member said Congressional foot-dragging on IMF reform had "created an opportunity for China to assert itself".

Lew gave a blunt assessment last week, telling U.S. lawmakers: "It's not an accident that emerging economies are looking at other places because they are frustrated that, frankly, the United States has stalled a very mild and reasonable set of reforms in the IMF."

Republican Senator Jeff Sessions of Alabama acknowledged irritation about IMF voting rights may have been a factor.

"I think this could be an unfortunate event and it might be bigger than we understand today," he told the Brussels Forum, an annual transatlantic dialogue organized by the German Marshall Fund of the United States.

In Washington, the issue resided between the State Department, the Treasury and the White House National Security Council, which may have muddied U.S. communication with European allies, officials say.

"There just wasn't a clear and coherent and unified message on this from the beginning. It kind of languished for a while in a state of indecision and that produced the outcome that you've seen," said a Congressional source familiar with the discussions.

Within European governments there were debates about tactics and timing but the prevailing view was that it was better to try to influence the Chinese project from inside, several officials said.

"The debate mostly pitted national security advisers, who leaned towards hugging the Americans close ... against economic and Asia advisers, who argued that this big train was leaving the station and it was in our interest to jump aboard," a European diplomat involved in some of the discussions said.

In Berlin, the ministries of foreign affairs, finance and overseas development - run by rival wings of Chancellor Angela Merkel's coalition - jostled for influence.

Merkel's office instructed the finance and foreign ministries to take charge. Given Germany's prioritizing of Chinese trade, there was never much doubt Berlin would join the AIIB.

"It was a no brainer," a German aide said.

"EYES OPEN"

British, German, French and Italian officials held several meetings to discuss a common approach then London leapt first, causing resentment if not surprise.

"We want to be a Chinese partner of choice in international finance," a British government source said.

Inconclusive talks were also held by officials of the Group of Seven economies, which includes the United States, Japan and Canada alongside the four European states.

"We knew the U.S. was not in the same place as us on this, we went into it with our eyes open," the source said.

The Chinese invitation to join the AIIB was delivered to individual states. The issue was discussed only once in the EU's 28-nation Economic and Financial Committee, which prepares meetings of finance ministers.

It was never raised to EU ambassadorial level, let alone to ministers. The big four did not include the European Commission or smaller EU states in their deliberations.

A French government source said issues such as governance were unresolved. "But it was important for the Europeans to show an interest from the outset. We'll see how it goes."

In Italy, the decision took a single phone call from Economy Minister Pier Carlo Padoan to Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, the European diplomat said.

Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte will meet Chinese President Xi Jinping this week. Officials said the Netherlands was weighing whether to join but it may have missed the deadline to become a founder member.

Having failed to persuade European allies, U.S. officials are looking to regain the initiative, but partisan battles on Capitol Hill may continue to stymie a response.

The administration is using the spat to press Congress to grant President Barack Obama fast-track powers so he can conclude a Trans Pacific Partnership trade pact with 11 Asia-Pacific nations other than China, and to finally ratify the IMF reform.

"We are acting proactively with trade promotion authority and TPP because other countries are acting. We want to be on the field, defining the rules of the road," the Obama administration member said.

(Additional reporting by David Brunnstrom and Jason Lange in Washington, Robin Emmott and Adrian Croft in Brussels, Andreas Rinke in Berlin, Elizabeth Pineau in Paris, Ben Blanchard in Beijing and Elisabetta Jucca in Hong Kong. Editing by Mike Peacock.)
 
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IMF, World Bank throw weight behind China-led bank
Katy Barnato | @KatyBarnato
Monday, 23 Mar 2015 | 11:27 AM ETCNBC.com
Global institutions, including the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, have endorsed a China-led international bank, despite opposition from the U.S.

"We are comfortable with the idea of a bank that puts together finance for infrastructure, because our view is that there is a huge need for infrastructure in emerging markets countries," David Lipton, the first deputy managing director of the IMF, told CNBC early on Monday.

Read MoreThe IMF: CNBC Explains

The $50-billion Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is being established to meet the need for greater infrastructure investment in lower- and middle-income Asian countries. It comes amid complaints by China and other major emerging economies that they lack influence in institutions such as the IMF, the Asian Development Bank and the World Bank

Support for the AIIB has gathered speed in Europe this month, with the U.K. the first country to sign up, followed by Germany, France and Italy and then Luxembourg and Switzerland.

Read MoreHow Europe and US stumbled into spat over China-led bank

However, Washington has expressed misgivings, officially because of concerns about standards of governance and environmental and societal safeguards. Unofficially, the country's is thought to be worried about sacrificing its clout in Asia to China, as well as piqued by criticism of slow reforms in the IMF and World Bank.

"While this is seen as a diplomatic setback for the Obama administration, the underlying (blame) may lie with Congress," said strategists led by Marc Chandler at Brown Brothers Harriman in a research note on Monday.

"It has blocked IMF funding which is the precondition for reforming the voting (quotas), which would give China and other developing countries a greater voice. In contrast, the Obama Administration seems to recognize that if China (and others) do not get a larger voice in the existing institutions, it will create parallel institutions."

He added: "The frustration with the U.S. is palpable."

China 'leader of the world'
"China is now the leader of the world," Sri Mulyani Indrawati, managing director of the World Bank, told CNBC on Sunday in Beijing.

"They (Chinese leaders) try to show that they have sound principles in not only presenting a development solution, but also in establishing this new institution and that is why many of the countries now are becoming members of this institution."

Jim McCaughan, CEO of Principal Global Investors, said that China's move was part of a bid to establish the yuan as a global currency—and that the U.S. might be more positive towards the AIIB then its official statements suggested.

"I think Washington will collaborate; I do not think it will officially join, but I think they will collaborate, at least behind the scenes," McCaughan told CNBC early on Monday, adding that the bank was part of a "bigger picture."

"Ultimately, Chinese economic policymakers, I believe, are pushing towards the idea of the renminbi as a reserve currency… this is one small step in that direction, having a multilateral institution that they can lead," McCaughan said.

Chandler concurred. "Being recognized as a reserve currency and included in the SDR (Special Drawing Rights) basket would be a recognition of China's reform efforts and its increasing importance in the world economy. It would likely further enhance the internationalization of the yuan."

He added that some of Washington's concerns about the AIIB were valid.

"Leaving aside U.S. parochial concerns, which seem to be over the increase of China's influence, there are reasonable questions about the transparency and governance of the AIIB," Chandler said.

"It does not appear to be simply a development bank with China as a key shareholder. Rather than promote neo-liberal values, embodied in the Washington Consensus, the AIIB could encourage China's state capitalism model. The criteria for picking projects is also not clear."


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Yellow River
 
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Bully in a China Shop / Sputnik International

The US government has expressed disapproval of the UK's decision to become a founding member of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB).
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Britain is the the first member of the G7 to apply to join the AIIB, which will be formally established by the end of 2015.

"Joining the AIIB at the founding stage will create an unrivaled opportunity for the UK and Asia to invest and grow together," said UK Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne.

However, officials from the US signaled their unhappiness about the UK's decision to pursue greater economic engagement with China through the organization, and repeated criticism US State Department spokesperson Jen Psaki voiced last year that the project did not "meet international standards of governance and transparency.



Read more: Bully in a China Shop / Sputnik International
 
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:coffee::D

Turkey plans to join China-led Asian infrastructure bank -Treasury



Reuters Middle East – 3 hours ago

ISTANBUL, March 26 (Reuters) - Turkey intends to become member of the China-led Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank, the Treasury said on Thursday.

At least 35 countries will join the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) by the deadline of March 31.

India, Indonesia and New Zealand have also expressed interest in joining the bank, following a request by Britain, France, Italy and Luxembourg to become founding members. (Reporting by Ece Toksabay; editing by David Dolan)

Turkey plans to join China-led Asian infrastructure bank -Treasury| Reuters
 
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Dithering on AIIB is Obama's paranoid legacy
By Sumantra Maitra
March 26, 2015

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The more the merrier [By Jiao Haiyang/China.org.cn]


Germany, Italy and France's interest in joining the new China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) despite American lobbying against it, is yet another milestone showing how petulant, juvenile and haphazard American foreign policy has become under President Obama.

Britain already signaled its intention to join the bank, and it seems the rest of Europe is going to follow its lead.

Among the Pacific allies of the U.S., Australia seems to be interested, although no formal decision has been made. India, the second biggest Asian economy and an American ally, is a founder member of AIIB, as well as the BRICS bank. Japan and South Korea seem skeptical, but there is a rift at the top in the Japanese government when it comes to the merits of the AIIB, perhaps indicating the intense pressure Japan is facing. However in a recent shift, Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso mentioned that AIIB and ADB working together would be ideal.

The United States first urged allies and non-allies alike in Europe not to join. Reuters quoted Treasury Secretary Jack Lew as telling Congress: "I hope before the final commitments are made anyone who lends their name to this organization will make sure that the governance is appropriate."

However, Britain, as a part of its look east policy, decided to join the AIIB. Similarly Germany's feral and reserved Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble declared that Germany, along with other European countries, see China as the biggest trading partner, and would join to ensure the best practices of governance and trading were maintained in the bank.

Finally, under intense pressure from allies and under constant criticism from the analysts, United States changed its tone, and is now supportive of a cooperative infrastructure regarding the implementation of the AIIB. "The U.S. would welcome new multilateral institutions that strengthen the international financial architecture," Nathan Sheets, U.S. treasury under-secretary for international affairs was cited as saying. "Co-financing projects with existing institutions such as the World Bank or the Asian Development Bank will help ensure high quality, time-tested standards are maintained."

IMF Chief Christine Lagarde was also known to be "delighted" at the prospect of AIIB.

Chinese and American geo-political rivalry is well known, and rarely, goes unnoticed, but when China under Xi Jinping first came out with the proposal for AIIB, no one in Washington uttered a word against it. Since then, major European and Asian powers, half of them American allies, have joined the bank, despite Washington's deep reservation as to its creditworthiness.

This reflects a couple of important geopolitical trends. The most notable is the break in Europe's fiscal ties with America. Europe, led by Germany, has started to show independence from the American dominated and led fiscal policies seen in recent decades, in a sign of renewed self-confidence, and swagger, since the 2008 financial crash. We saw this trend, in European dealings with Russia over Ukraine and natural gas supply, and it continues with the Chinese-led AIIB.

It also shows that confidence in the IMF and World Bank is generally faltering and there is a general demand among several Southern countries for alternative sources of banking. African and Latin American countries specifically have always raised this prospect of having specific development banks for their own system, as have countries in Europe facing austerity policies guided by the IMF. It is however too early to claim that the AIIB is going to be competitive or a rival to IMF; Indian leaders have mentioned its complementary nature.

Finally it shows a rare petulance in American foreign policy under a Democrat government. Even American officials and foreign policy experts are expressing in private that the administration made a serious mistake in opposing the AIIB, and then dithering under intense pressure, and severely overestimated U.S. influence when it comes to the fiscal policies of its allies, and generally came out with a bloody nose.

The fact that the AIIB will start with the involvement of several global powers, is a dead giveaway. In the age of fiscal distribution and global capital sharing, the timing of the AIIB's emergence is perfect. From David Sydney, fellow of Atlantic Council, to Paul Haenle, of Carnegie Beijing, this blatant opposition was condemned as extremely shortsighted. The AIIB will proceed with or without American support; this overt lobbying makes the United States look weak and insecure.

Also, another fact has not gone unnoticed. For a country based on the free-market and always promotes laissez faire policies, the opposition of United States to the AIIB is baffling. Similarly America has been pressing China to assume a share of the global burden; but when push actually came to shove, it tried to stifle support for the initiative, which seemed, in lack of better word, a bit hypocritical.

The prudent way was for the Obama administration to welcome the initiative, and be an equal capital member with China. Perhaps the Obama administration should learn something from the previous Bush administration, which was diehard in its support for global burden sharing, and signed more free trade agreements than any other U.S. in U.S. history.

China and AIIB must also not be complacent and heed the word of advice about creditworthiness, and make sure not to make risky loans to countries with no chance, option or intention of paying the money back. It must follow a strict fiscal discipline. The last thing the world needs now are more bad debts by countries with zero repayment capability. However, for the moment, in this battle of economic influence and soft power, China stands the clear winner.
 
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Another U.S. ally, South Korea, seeks to join China-backed AIIB | Daily Mail Online

SEOUL, March 26 (Reuters) - South Korea said on Thursday it has decided to seek to be a founding member of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), another key U.S. ally joining the China-led institution despite Washington's misgivings.

South Korea's finance ministry said in a statement that the AIIB has been promoted to help funnel more investment money into the region while maintaining supplementary relationships with existing multilateral development banks.

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Now let's see Japan and Taiwan's decision.
 
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Another U.S. ally, South Korea, seeks to join China-backed AIIB | Daily Mail Online

SEOUL, March 26 (Reuters) - South Korea said on Thursday it has decided to seek to be a founding member of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), another key U.S. ally joining the China-led institution despite Washington's misgivings.

South Korea's finance ministry said in a statement that the AIIB has been promoted to help funnel more investment money into the region while maintaining supplementary relationships with existing multilateral development banks.

***

Now let's see Japan and Taiwan's decision.

Taiwan is NOT a sovereign nation,so。。。:azn:
 
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Even China was surprised by UK's decision to join the AIIB.
UK was the catalyst that open up the floodgates.
Luxembourg beat Britain by one day, seems like a lot of maneuvoring and chicanery in the background.
Only 3 days left to be a founding member. The clock is ticking and the pressure is on.

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http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d33fed8a-d3a1-11e4-a9d3-00144feab7de.html

UK move to join China-led bank a surprise even to Beijing
Jamil Anderlini in Beijing

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Signing ceremony for the AIIB at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing last October

The announcement by George Osborne, UK chancellor, on March 12 that Britain would join China's answer to the World Bank — a move in defiance of US pressure and advice from its own diplomats — was not just a surprise to allies in Europe and Washington. It also caught Beijing unawares.

The UK Treasury had told Chinese officials it would not announce its application to join until March 17. But once other European countries got wind of Britain’s plan to join the nascent Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), the ensuing scramble to follow suit convinced London to move the announcement forward five days.

In the end, Luxembourg beat Britain by one day, signing up on March 11 but asking China to keep it secret for two weeks in case its application to join the bank was unsuccessful. Switzerland joined on March 13 and France, Germany and Italy signed up together on March 16. Austria joined a week later.

The decision by several US allies to sign up to an institution Washington had effectively said was off-limits is one of the most powerful symbols to date of the eastward shift of global power. The rush by European countries to join the AIIB also showed how much more sophisticated China's diplomacy has become as it seeks to match its economic muscle with greater influence abroad.

As late as January, when New Zealand became the first “western” country to join the bank, the members of the G7 in effect agreed to not join the AIIB unless they could reach a consensus.

However, that was impossible — Japan had not been seriously invited and the US was against any of its allies signing up to what it sees as a challenge to the existing multilateral world order.

As such, the UK’s decision to break ranks was heavily criticised by the US. It also rankled in Berlin and Paris, where it was taken as an example of the UK’s willingness to forego long-term strategic thinking and solidarity with close allies in the pursuit of short-term commercial advantage.

“The UK, Germany and other European countries are falling over themselves to prostrate before China in order to win RMB business and the Chinese are delighted,” said Eswar Prasad, former head of the International Monetary Fund’s China division. “Apart from gaining favour with China it is not immediately obvious what the UK interest is in joining this bank.”

One reason for the rush to join was a deadline imposed by the Chinese of mid-March if countries wanted to be included in a high-level meeting of prospective AIIB members that will be held in Almaty, Kazakhstan, this weekend.

In a campaign that has surprised even the Chinese with its success, Jin Liqun, the man in charge of shepherding the bank into existence, has spent the past few months shuttling between different countries trying to convince them to join the bank.

An urbane and sophisticated former vice-minister of finance and one-time official at the Asian Development Bank, Mr Jin speaks perfect English and passable French and is the consummate “barbarian handler”, in the words of several people who have dealt with him.

According to these people, Mr Jin is an Anglophile who likes to quote Shakespeare to the English, tell the French how enamoured he is of their culture and charm the Germans by telling them they are his favourites because of their honesty.

His ability to play the members of the EU off against each other is legendary in Beijing.

Several people involved in negotiations over the AIIB say Britain joined the bank despite opposition from the Foreign Office in a decision taken by Prime Minister David Cameron on the advice of the Chancellor George Osborne.

As Mr Osborne prepared to unveil the decision, Chinese officials informed the UK Treasury that an unidentified “small European country” would be joining before them, a move that apparently prompted Mr Osborne to bring his announcement forward.

“The Chinese told us that this game between Luxembourg and the UK amused them no end,” said one person involved in negotiations to join the AIIB. “Other countries like France and Germany were not amused at all.”

Germany, France and Italy, which all announced they would join the bank on Monday March 16, appear to have found out about Britain’s intentions from their Chinese counterparts, rather than from the UK government.

An official from the French Treasury did not arrive in Beijing to discuss the details of France joining the bank until the same Monday morning that the joint announcement was made by the three countries, according to a person familiar with the matter.

The jostling to join AIIB has happened despite the fact that even Mr Jin and his colleagues are not clear on the details of the bank, which is expected to be established by June and ratified by most countries by the end of the year.

What is clear is Beijing’s intention to play the various European countries off against each other for the foreseeable future.

For one thing, of the 15-20 board seats China envisages for the bank, only three will be set aside for “non-regional” (ie non-Asian) member states, leaving the seven European countries to squabble over who gets to sit on the board.

The next big fight will be over which country gets to host the AIIB’s regional European office, of which there is likely to be only one.

Whether it ends up in Frankfurt, London, Luxembourg or elsewhere will no doubt also be the result of fierce manoeuvring among the contenders.

When asked about the rationale behind Britain’s decision to break ranks, several British diplomats and officials have responded identically: “What did we have to lose by joining?”

The response from one person involved in negotiations around AIIB accession: “What did they have to lose? Only credibility with their allies, respect from the Chinese and bargaining power when it comes to negotiations on anything in the future.”
 
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