Invicta
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As regards the trend mate, probably no as NHS England has been changing the way they counted numbers since Wednesday.
So we had around 80 deaths announced on Tuesday, 40 something on Wednesday and 115 yesterday.
It looks like it has held steady at 80ish for last 3 days with just the way they are counting accounting for the widely fluctuating numbers of the dead.
My mathematics (what do I know about this I know!) suggests that if the trend continues then the capacity will just about be able to keep up with patients.
Excel will open next week with 500 beds and gradually expand to 4000 over the coming months.
Government and Army as you say already in plans to convert sites in Birmingham and other cities to temp hospitals.
I think as long as Dysons, Smith's and Penlon are able to deliver as scheduled on the planned ventilators then NHS will be just about able to cope but as Chief Medical Officer says, it will be a close run thing.
Lastly do not forget 1200 ICU beds and the qualified doctors, nurses and other medical professionals are joining the battle next week from the private sector.
Yeah also doctors and nurses who were in their final year and were finishing their placements have been told to work as placements have been cancelled. Have one in the family who has given last exams in January but was required as per his coursework to complete a few hundred hours of placement work to graduate.
This is now postponed and they have sent letters to there people, I think the number was upwards of 10000 to go into frontline work and man the ER and other wards. They are then pushing experienced staff from ER and other wards to Coronavirus specific wards.