OK
@MICA @Frogman et al.
OFFICIAL CORRECTIONS TO RAFALE DELIVERY ESTIMATES.
There was one huge surprise at Dassault's official 2015 Results press conference!
Forget my estimates from standard line deliveries a few posts back, you're in for a shock!
Only 8 planes were delivered in 2015 including the first 3 for you guys!
Egypt is not getting any more planes this year! France is getting the remaining 6 as only 9 will be out.
So 9 for 2016. Why two years below the 11 standard output? Answer : planes were pulled aside to
prepare the Qatari order which will sport a non-regular standard and need a different finishing line.
And it will be stranger yet in 2017 as Egypt will get another 3 Rafales and France a single one for 4 total!
Why? Because Dassault has anticipated the coming orders and begun to elevate production
but at the same time slacked French deliveries to fit with the planned spread out spending/acquisition.
The second explains the lesser output and that in turn was selected to hasten the up tempo production.
Egyptian Rafales are thus on a steady 3 per year as probably found in contract so far. Yours is the mature
contract of the lot if you will.
Barring development hiccups, pulling Qatari ACs now allows lead-on time to the specific integrations they
required and likely means a more compact delivery format of 3-4 years versus 5-6 years for Misr.
All of which clears the deck for the quickening of the uphill / long-term sourced parts production to start
almost anew in 2018 with it's new found rhythm. French deliveries were the adjustment variable.
2018 will be one weird year judging by Trappier's words.
We can sort of expect two different segments at the very least for that period with a minimum of 3 planes
for Egypt that will be out in any case and then possibly after a short pause a shift to high output with at
the very least 2 planes per month, 2.x morphing to 3 afterwards ( ff. months ) being likely if not certain.
I'm as glad to bring you this correct version as I'm sorry to have mislead you with high hopes honestly.
The ref. is found here :
2015 annual results - Questions/Answers
Thanks go to Pic-delamirandoil for the English version he posted in the Indian Rafale 1001 Nights thread.
I was working from the French original but you guys can source directly from the dubbed one he found.
Have a great day yet, Tay.