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Egypt birth rate down 62% in 3 years

62% drop in 3 years? How?

Very aggressive family planning awareness campaigns and birth control reach-out programs, particularly throughout poorer and rural areas where the birth rate is much higher because of the lack of education in that matter. The health ministry has been very aggressive in sending groups of people to all these areas to teach the locals about it. Free healthcare for everyone has also been adopted about 6 months ago and part of that healthcare is this awareness program.

And it's 62% of the birth rate of the 3 years.
 
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This shows Egypt is becoming a first world country. :enjoy:

All first world country have low birthrate.
All first world country populations are dying out and being replaced by third world populations. Not a bad thing considering the poison these "first" world countries have spread throughout the world.
 
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All first world country populations are dying out and being replaced by third world populations. Not a bad thing considering the poison these "first" world countries have spread throughout the world.
That is the case for Europe but North America will have positive growth. The US can have growth just based off its domestic population.

The third world population is definitely growing rapidly. Most of the growth by current projections will come from Africa from 1 billion to 2.5 billion by mid century to 4 billion by century end.

Despite this demographic shift, the concentration of power would still be in the hands of nations whom innovates and produces which translates to economic, political and military power.
 
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Most of the growth by current projections will come from Africa from 1 billion to 2.5 billion by mid century to 4 billion by century end.
What do you think will happen with all of these low skilled people if automation will be the future of service industry?
 
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What do you think will happen with all of these low skilled people if automation will be the future of service industry?
They would be largely left out of the global economic system and productivity gains. Nations that have access to the means of the new technology (it would be a gradient not absolute) would have fairly stable societies while those who do not have access would have very unequal societies with pockets of wealth surrounded by poverty. These economies would be fairly isolated from the global economy and suffer from weak currencies with the inability to fully exploit it through labour price arbitrage.

A more complete analysis and projection would be interesting in a separate thread.
 
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What do you think will happen with all of these low skilled people if automation will be the future of service industry?
Nations stuck with a big low quality population 20 years later will be throughly fvcked up.
 
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The big issue with undeveloped nations is the inability to support a large population and provide them with a high quality of life. A large population by itself doesn't create wealth or national strength, the opposite can occur.

Egypt's geographic characteristics sets a limiter on its population potential. The Nile is the artery that pumps a sliver (but dense) of life through the Sahara desert. Its living space and food production is limited by its water distribution. Although technology and management can improve efficiency of resource usage, so far we cannot escape the need for water in food production and industry. Some of the very efficient methods are capital intensive.

Even with a lower birth rate, Egypt's population is set to boom through the 21st century to a projected 200 million by century's end. Geography and demographics pits Egypt against Ethiopia in the 21st century and beyond with the latter's population projected at 240 million by 2100. Both will be competing for the same vital resource that is becoming more scarce as users and per capita usage increases. Typically entities like full control over its river system(s).

Egypt's military for the foreseeable future would be directed at controlling its river system beyond its borders. It would seek to project power over its region, specifically Sudans and Ethiopia. Using military as a foreign policy tool to affect their internal policies regarding resource distribution. Internally Egypt's efforts would be mainly the expansion and productivity improvements of its living space, predominately its agricultural sector and water related projects to facilitate this sector. A nation as populous as Egypt and in its current geopolitical position cannot securely rely on imports to meet consumption demands, revolutions would be inevitable if it does have such reliance. Deserts would be turned into oasis. Foreign policy tools are a means to meet internal demands.
 
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Very aggressive family planning awareness campaigns and birth control reach-out programs, particularly throughout poorer and rural areas where the birth rate is much higher because of the lack of education in that matter. The health ministry has been very aggressive in sending groups of people to all these areas to teach the locals about it. Free healthcare for everyone has also been adopted about 6 months ago and part of that healthcare is this awareness program.

And it's 62% of the birth rate of the 3 years.
To be honest, I as somebody who studies economics, wouldn't like a steep decline, as this would mean more weight on the pensions system and welfare as the population ages, which could collapse the entire economy. Brazil and Portugal experienced recessions due to sharp declines in birth rates.

If the birth rate would decline but stay above the replacement rate, maybe in the region of 3, then it would be perfect for Egypt.
 
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To be honest, I as somebody who studies economics, wouldn't like a steep decline, as this would mean more weight on the pensions system and welfare as the population ages, which could collapse the entire economy. Brazil and Portugal experienced recessions due to sharp declines in birth rates.

If the birth rate would decline but stay above the replacement rate, maybe in the region of 3, then it would be perfect for Egypt.

Completely agree. That balance is not an easy thing to work out. But for now, the population growth in Egypt was not even considered growth, it was more like a population explosion going out of control and recognizing that and actually being able to do something about it is remarkable. There definitely needed to be an adjustment and an aggressive one and it's working. One of many productive programs the Sisi administration has done for Egypt that goes unnoticed, mainly because the usual group of punk-asss gumbasta have their heads up their asses and turn their heads the other way.
 
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