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DISEQUILIBIUM: India’s creaking war machine

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SOURCE: DAILY MAIL

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The Indian security establishment is extremely wary of the Difa-e-Pakistan Council (DPC) which has emerged as the quintessential anti-India provocateur across the border.

Now considered the driving force behind the terror factory operating inside Pakistan, its close affiliation and association with banned entities like Jamaat-ud-Dawa and the dreaded Hafiz Mohammed Saeed has raised the hackles of India’s military and security apparatus.

DPC comprises as many as 40 religious fundamentalist organisations which have adopted a hawkish anti-India stance.

This motley group – which counts among its benefactors and patrons retired Army generals like ex-ISI chief like Hamid Gul, Saeed, Harkat-ul- Mujahideen founder Fazl-ur-Rehman Khaleel and Lashkar-e-Jhangvi leader Malik Ishaq – may have no legal sanctity or standing, but its potency cannot be under estimated viz. its influence and clout in Pakistan’s approach towards India.

Both on the Most Favoured Nation and water-sharing issues, it has taken a rabid hardline position which in a way is now actively influencing Pakistan’s foreign policy.

Under the garb of this council, a quasi-fundamentalist-military war machine alliance has been stitched up which has India’s intel operatives’ knickers in a twist.

Hatred
The mindset governing this fearsome alliance reeks of religious nationalism, targeting India and the US on various issues.

The undertone of Jazba Difa-e-Pakistan is of issues like challenging the occupation of Kashmir, drone strikes in SWAT, NATO supply routes, MFN for India et al focused on stoking the fires of promoting jingoism.

‘Will you defend Pakistan?’ is the overarching theme that their website promotes.

Last year, Saeed was at the vanguard as the chief coordinator of the Long March against reopening of NATO supply routes.

In September this year Hafiz Saeed led the prayers at Liaquat Bagh promising war against India.

As a top Indian military hand explained to me the other day, “We know the mindset of the DPC, its entire nature of existence and being is predicated on spewing venom and hatred against India. The drawdown from Afghanistan is critical for us because we have no leverage in that country while Pakistan does. My sense is that the vacuum in Afghanistan means trouble ahead for India. In the asymmetrical war on India, the DPC is sitting in the driver’s seat.”

Collusion
With Pakistan upping the ante on the border this year, India’s military resolve has been challenged incessantly.

A principal cog of the Indian security setup is the Indian Air Force which finds itself hamstrung and impeded due to delays and muddles.

At the very kernel of its fighter fleet modernisation and upgrade is the induction of the multi-role fighter – Rafale from France.

Modern warfare needs air dominance, combat readiness and superiority.

The sorry tale of the Rafale is a classic instance of India sitting on its haunches, not taking a call on its own future.

Pakistan has F-16s, China has SU-27s and J-10s, the neighbourhood isn’t static, it is obvious that there is far reaching and widespread collusion between these two nations to target India.




Symptomatic of the opacity that exists in India’s defence purchase process is the Rafale.

The induction of Rafale or any other multi-role fighter is an absolute necessity for the IAF at this precise moment.

It is a long-term investment as part of the framework for India’s defence and offence needs.

The essence of modern warfare is speed, reaction and results.

The government has created a capital budget for the multi-role fighter and it works out to Rs 9,000 to 10,000 over the next several years.

At the moment, India is down to a bare minimum of 34 more or less ageing squadrons stretched across two fronts.




The threat percept is real and dangerous on both the Pakistan Chinese borders.

With at least 42 squadrons required by India, it is incumbent on the Air Force to move fighter squadrons from left to right and vice versa.

This by itself limits the functioning of the Air Force.

Two fronts
Adequate appears to be a relative term, given that we are pitched against two formidable rivals.

In a two-front contingency, the state of play is fluid since a major trust deficit exists with both nations.

Different security scenarios are rapidly unfolding.

The inability to sign on the dotted line so that aircraft are delivered is leaving the air force vulnerable.

Nowhere else in the world does a situation like this exist where two enemies are working in tandem.

An old military saying states that mountains eat up people, to achieve the real winnable dividend in modern conventional warfare, India needs to bolster its air defence and offence capabilities.

There is a price attached to security and in the main air warfare.

Alacrity in decision making is a given in such circumstances.

Realism to assess the drawbacks and weaknesses in the system is sadly de rigueur.

The understanding of war ratios is missing, two militarily predatory neighbours both bearing down on India using a combination of covert and overt threats, constantly pushing the envelope, testing India’s patience and will to counter.

Exposing chinks in India’s defence preparedness.

Threat
From the call of the DPC from deep within Pakistan and a rampant new Chinese leadership, India’s deep state has its hands full.

India’s defence infrastructure needs to be bulked up, accessibility to weapons and armaments for operational superiority on the ground is the underpinning of its needs at all times.

There are many in the Indian deep state who sneer and frown appreciably at what happened in the Depsang Valley Chinese incursion.

They reckon that if India’s military and security mainframe had prepared adequately at least a decade ago, then incidents like Depsang wouldn’t take place.

It is clear that both China and Pakistan are slowly but surely chipping away at this weakened mainframe.

Without being alarmist – it is not that India is incapable – but equally 2013 has seen testing times on both fronts.

One that needs to be ring fenced against immediately.
 
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in the period post 2020 pakistan will think 10 times before thinking ill of india
the gap will increase exponentially in next 10 years
 
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in the period post 2020 pakistan will think 10 times before thinking ill of india
the gap will increase exponentially in next 10 years
No absolute wrong. I doubt this because if they keep on current path they are following I highly doubt existence stall.
I wish the good luck but extremism is real enemy. Even in this kind of a forum there is too much venom and hate.
 
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No absolute wrong. I doubt this because if they keep on current path they are following I highly doubt existence stall.
I wish the good luck but extremism is real enemy. Even in this kind of a forum there is too much venom and hate.

communities formed on basis of religion will always be like this
 
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Communities based on love for certain religion can exist and prosper.
But here is a community based on fake supremacy notion and hate n disrespect for other religion.

These are hardest time a dark night is upon us which will pass and a beautiful morning awaits with new opportunities. This is time when India is most vaunrable attack if u can because in future you won't be able to.
 
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no one can **** with india after 2020

don't worry ramstein fan
 
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It's politically unintelligent to think that Pakistan would focus on the Indian side and not within herself. I think India needs to be more concerned about China.
 
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As long as Saeed is leading Pakistani youth, then who Pakistan can blame for their downfall than themselves.
 
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It's politically unintelligent to think that Pakistan would focus on the Indian side and not within herself. I think India needs to be more concerned about China.


i think even ur army dosen't agree with u
even if they does,u pl have no control over ppl like hafeez saeed

and china is not foolish to attack india and make another enemy beside japan,south korea,vietnam,usa etc beside having 100 billion $ trade with india.ain't gonna happen

he is only one part of whole machine as long as last madrasa last mullah is attached to youth we have to wait for next suicide bomber .

u are totally right
the think is just accept loc and let bygones be bygones

but this madrassa industry suits these mullahs and some retired generals like hamid gul

ppl only suffer because of it.
if pakistan starts trading with india total in 5 years it will transform pakistan but vested interests are not gonna let it happen
 
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Nations do not work on what people think but on what they can do. In this era all nations definitively look for a defence in via militaries. The era of conquests is over. It is in that context that I posted it as such.
i think even ur army dosen't agree with u
even if they does,u pl have no control over ppl like hafeez saeed

and china is not foolish to attack india and make another enemy beside japan,south korea,vietnam,usa etc beside having 100 billion $ trade with india.ain't gonna happen
 
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It's politically unintelligent to think that Pakistan would focus on the Indian side and not within herself. I think India needs to be more concerned about China.
China is already pre-occupied with US, Japan etc. Right now our current danger is post 2014 withdrawal backlash.
And if India kept these misguided youths away from Indian borders, then it will be ticking time bomb in Pakistan itself, implosion will take place. LeJ, TTP, etc. will have many potential recruiters.
So its not only concern for India but also for Pakistan.
 
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Nations do not work on what people think but on what they can do. In this era all nations definitively look for a defence in via militaries. The era of conquests is over. It is in that context that I posted it as such.


sure it is over but its the pakistan still dreaming to take kashmir.ain't gonna happen and if it tries may even end up loosing what it already has.

the point is lashkar or jamaat ud dawa enjoy huge clout in pakistan based on their ability o kill innocent indian ppl!!

what explains this mindset??
 
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Nations do not work on what people think but on what they can do. In this era all nations definitively look for a defence in via militaries. The era of conquests is over. It is in that context that I posted it as such.

We have nukes you have nukes that too with first use policy...
So its impossible that India would risk to attack Pakistan even if some non state actors do another dirty trick..
No sane Pak govt, whether civilian or military, would go to war with India, how much ever anti India they maybe...

Only totally crazy religious nut job at the top would be happy to go to war, fully knowing its suicidal..
That kind of crazies are the ones that shouldnt be given power, and we should be wary of...
 
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BS article. At a time when modernization of all three branches of our Armed Forces are at full swing, out comes this alarmist article.

India was weakest in the 1980s and early 90s, with incidents like Operation Brasstacks,operation Bluestar, IG's assasination, insurgencies in full swing in Punjab and Kashmir. Just because of a delay in induction of Rafale, one cannot say India has turned weak.

Failure to tackle Chinese incursions are not due to military weakness, but Political weakness, as the Govt does not want to escalate things wrt China. Even if there were 4 new Mountain strike Corps and 50 squadrons in IAF, the present Govt's response would still be the same!
 
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