Many countries backed so called rohingya as many are thinking they are unarmed and helpess. but the case with AA is different. They already have arms and man powers, unlike so called rohingya and attacking police camps is definitely unforgivable. So they will certainly be crashed soon. if BD want to support , just do it. They will also bring a serious problems for BD as well. Dont forget CHT is also the part of their future arakan dream. even now dont u feel the numbers of drugs case is rising near border and camps ? BGB's hard and busy days are just ahead. keep supporting them. !!
You're just contradicting yourself. If Bangladesh is really supporting AA why would they have a conflict with BGB? And no CHT is not part of their aspirations for a separate state. And Tatmadaw is the main producer of illicit drugs in the region, if you want to talk in that line, then Tatmadaw would be our biggest enemy.
Now analyze the current situation,
- The govt. in Bangladesh is as strong as ever domestically after the recent elections. Hence, they won't hesitate to take any bold measures with regards to Rakhaine. This would be in a total contrast to what our position was in 2016-17.
- Xi Jinping was one of the first to congratulate Hasina on her re-election, that means China is quite supportive to the govt.
- You're right, the case of AA is different from the Rohingyas. The best part of AA is that they enjoy overwhelming support among the Rakhaine Buddhists who, unlike the Rohingyas, are recognized as a native ethnic group in Burma.
- The Rakhaine Buddhists have their own grievances. Despite winning a majority in the parliament, the Arakan National Party (ANP) were not allowed to hold the position of Chief Minister of Rakhine State which is currently held by a member of Suu Kyi led NLD. Some popular leaders of ANP are being arrested by Burmese govt on fake charges. Recently, the Rakhine Buddhists wanted to observe the day marking the end of independent Arakan Kingdom when the Bamars invaded the kingdom in the 18th century. Police fired at the people who were observing the day and put a ban on it.
- There is another major front of your civil war at the Chinese border. The ceasefire agreement is set to end in April this year and one of the major combatants in that front is Arakan Army.
- The GDP growth and FDIs have slowed down in Myanmar after the international backlash following the Rohingya crisis.
Now if Myanmar starts another clearance operation in Rakhine, it will clearly backfire. The entire Rakhine population would turn against the Tatmadaw and Myanmar central govt. As the AA enjoys widespread support among the general Rakhine Buddhist people, it's possible in the wake of a Tatmadaw operation, they will mix into the local population and launch guerrilla attacks on Tatamadaw. This will push Rakhine into a full-fledged civil war for several years, further draining your resources.