Hello_10
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As per this news report on 27th december 2011, the present capacity is 12 per year, and IAF has asked it to be ramped up to 16 a year. This is the "envisaged" capacity.
HAL to Build 16 Sukhois Annually To Meet IAF Induction Plan - Defence Now
Janon I don’t know how old you but Im reading news on regular basis since early 90s, and I have interests in defence news since early 2000s. and I tell you that I found many times journalists give news on the basis of what someone tells them, without any deep research. While things also keep changing, like how we make different ‘claims’ but things don’t work in that way actually.
So, in place of discussing different claims, lets stuck with the things, (numbers), that is actually happening. I mean, I have a credible source in my post 6957 that this year IAF will get 21+12=33 SU30MKI and 9 Mig29k, a total of ‘42’ 4.5 gen aircrafts and you also have a news that IAF won’t get these aircrafts more than 15-16 this year. But I now have a news given below which states what exactly happened during last 2 years so we would predict on the basis on that. I mean, the rate of supply of these aircrafts would at least be said to be the same as that of last 2 years, isn’t it?
As of June 2009
HAL had assembled 42 MKIs from the total order of 140 to be assembled by the end of 2012.
As of December 2009, the IAF was operating five Su-30MKI squadrons, with two squadrons flying HAL assembled aircraft.
As of June 2010
HAL had delivered 74 of of the 140 aircraft on order. It delivered 23 Su-30MKI in 2009 and is expected to deliver 28 in 2010. Three aircraft from the follow-up order for 40 placed on Russia had been delivered by December 7, 2009. Delivery of the remaining is expected to be completed by 2011-12.
A total of two aircraft were lost in crashes on 30 April 2009 and 30 November 2009.
As of March 2011
Out of the total 180 aircraft, 99 aircraft have been delivered till 2010-11.
Su-30MKI Acquisition and Upgrade - Indian Defense Projects Sentinel
Note:
The IAF decided to procure from Russia 230 Sukhoi aircraft, 50 of them in fly-way condition and the rest to be produced under licence by the Hindustan Aeronautics Limited, which has by 2010-11 delivered 99 of the 180 aircraft. Last month, India decided to acquire 42 additional aircraft.
The Hindu : States / Other States : Air Chief flies SU-30 to restore confidence in pilots
(this means IAF currently has at least 50+99-3='146' SU30MKIs, supplied till March 2011, with supply rate of 30+ MKIs per year. with hopefully at least 6-7 Mig29k per year also with )
Note: HAL assembled ‘42’ MKIs till June 2009, delivered ‘74’ till June 2010 by rate of 32 per year, and could delivered ‘99’ till March 2011 by rate of 25 for 9 months means 33 per year. means they are maintaining 32-33 per year delivery rate of MKIs so we hope total number of SU30MKIs would touch 179 by March2012