@Sinopakfriend The investment over decade could even hit
$250 billion or might struggle past $2.5 billion. Once the concrete, tarmac, steel, cables, pipes are laid it all depends on the
culture that surrounds the "corridor". If it is open, law abiding, secular within no time it could hit $250 billion and rise even higher.
If on the other hand it is lack of law, closed in, refusing to accept diversity, start looking down at people don't dress what they call "appropriate" or start giving Islamic lecture round every bend then the figure will struggle to get above even $2.5 billion.
We will know if it is success. If over 100,000 Chinese are living in Pakistan quite happily within decade then this project will take off with sky being the limit. If on the other hand there skeleton crew of Chinese minus their familes in particular females who can't wait to finish their "tour of duty" in Pakistan and go off to more interesting postings like in Europe or America then this CPEC will have failed.
I guess for me if you see 1,000s of Chinese females dressed like they do walking around in Lahore, Islamabad or Gwadar taking pictures like they do without anybody batting a eyelid this project will be well on it's way.
Everything rests on the
mindset, the
culture. That is the $250 billion question.
Yes. That is
the essence what you have condensed in your view construction.
As a guest here at PDF, I would like to honour the traditions and belief systems of my hosts.
So, as you can understand, I will remain on the level of abstraction that is both necessary and polite.
For me, personally, religion (any religion) is the personal matter of the believer and not a social framework. However, all societies are free to experiement what works for them or not. South Asia as a whole is theocratic...all of it.
Having said that...just look at your brothers the arabs...in GCC...what do you see?
What kind of policies are they executing for EXPATs?
Why not your country? You both share the same religion I believe.
I fear there is long road to freedom in the issues that you have highlightted elegantly. Long road.
Population explotion and development down not go hand in hand. Poverty breeds poverty.
However, social reforms are the key to every society's development.
What do you see happening in South West and South Asia?
Is any of the states on this landscapre really advancing? Truly, advancing?
If Pak can not contain / manage population growth, its food security, hence social harmony will be under major threat within a decade or so. Same goes for shinny inida also. BD too.
Which one of your political parties are going to craft a law that limits population growth: Two Children Law for everyone???
Pak has along with all of South Asia missed many decades of developement...political propaganda or indian posters brovados notwithstanding..
So figures of billions is frankly irrelevant if the core framework of a state is not solid...
Law, when executed fairly creates order...through order comes harmony...in harmony lives beauty and inner growth.
I do believe that CPEC is just the beginning of industrialisation your great country..it might not become innovative Germany over next 5 decades...but in terms of absolute numbers you will be hitting some trillion dollars mark in next couple of decade. Overall SA will grow...its is a growth region.
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