Trump is getting his reopening even as the virus takes another swipe
Analysis by
Stephen Collinson, CNN
June 11, 2020
President Donald Trump is getting what he wants: The country is opening up come what may, despite alarming indications that the coronavirus pandemic is intensifying its assault.
Trump says the virus is now reduced to just the "embers" and "ashes" of a spent pandemic as patience for nationwide lock downs fades and states aggressively open up.
The facts say the opposite. Another 1,299 Americans died on Tuesday and more than 112,000 people in the US have died from the disease. There are now more than
2 million confirmed cases in the United States.
Trump is not marking these deaths, just as he was reluctant to immediately honor the first
100,000 Americans who passed away before that terrible milestone was reached -- barely two weeks ago. And this is well before the feared fall resurgence of Covid-19, in the absence of reliable treatments and with a vaccine still months away.
The President has been cajoling for reopenings for weeks, banking on the ebbing patience of a gregarious and industrious people who don't take well to being told to stay home. He's been ostentatiously moving
around the country without a mask -- even if such behavior by the head of the government sets a poor example and shuns precautions that could keep Americans alive. Trump is not just defying the virus -- he's poking a stick at officials' warnings to avoid large gatherings, planning a rally in Oklahoma next week and others
in four states where infections are heading up after that. Vice President Mike Pence -- who heads the White House coronavirus task force -- on Wednesday
tweeted a photo of his visit to crammed-together campaign workers, none of whom were wearing masks or social distancing. He later deleted the tweet.
Increasingly, as
airlines add flights, schools prepare classes for the fall and Americans balk at the idea that trips to the beach are off, it seems he may have made a shrewd bet -- at least within the narrow political calculus that motivates his actions. More and people seem willing to live with the disease and its awful cost -- at least those who have not personally experienced its deadly potential -- if it means recapturing a semblance of their normal lives.
"Americans are on the move and they can't be tied down and they can't be restrained," Republican Gov. Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas said on Wednesday.
But such decisions are coming without the honest, unprejudiced advice of a President whose most fundamental duty is to keep Americans safe and who has suppressed the ability of public health officials to speak to the nation from an authoritative White House backdrop.
The notion of a prolonged battle against a virus that is the
"worst nightmare" of the government's top infectious disease specialist Dr. Anthony Fauci, doesn't fit into the President's electoral plans. That's one reason why Fauci, and the administration's other top coronavirus expert, Dr. Deborah Birx, haven't been seen at a presidential podium in days.
The default position of the President and many state governors is now implicitly that the country has stopped trying to halt the disease in its tracks -- but will just have to live with it -- though the apparent position has been reached without public discussion. There's been no moment when the President has come clean about the costs of opening up with the nation he claims has already "prevailed" over the disease.
"We want the continued blanket lockdown to end for the states. We may have some embers or some ashes, or we may have some flames coming, but we'll put them out. We'll stomp them out," Trump said Friday.
'100,000 more deaths by September'
June 10 coronavirus news
Given an apparently unstoppable opening trend, one prominent expert now expects a further 100,000 people to succumb to the virus by September, amid evidence of a spike in hospitalizations since Memorial Day broke the back of the resolve of many citizens to stick to social distancing.
Some states that embraced Trump's vows to open up the economy have fast-rising infections. While nationally, new cases have plateaued or slightly dipped as worst-hit epicenters such as New York and New Jersey emerge from the storm, there are plenty of reasons to believe that the fight against Covid-19 is still far from its endgame.
"I think right now, most Americans are not ready to lock back down, and I completely understand that. Here's the bottom line, though, which is that -- I understand people are willing to live alongside this virus," Dr. Ashish Jha, director of the Harvard Global Health Institute told CNN's Kate Bolduan on Wednesday.
"It means that between 800 and 1,000 Americans are going to die every single day. We're going to get another 100,000 deaths by September. So, that's a catastrophic cost," Jha said, offering the kind of factual analysis that's no longer dispensed from the White House.
Since Memorial Day, the traditional start of summer, more than
a dozen states, including Alaska, Arkansas, Arizona, California, Kentucky, Mississippi, Montana, North Carolina, Oregon, South Carolina, Texas and Utah have recorded spikes in hospitalizations,
according to data from CNN aggregated from the Covid Tracking Project. Infections are rising in 18 states,
according to CNN data. The virus is steady in nine states and down in 21. Two states, Michigan and Massachusetts, are not included in the count for temporary technical reasons to do with how they are processing data.
Aggressive openers Texas and Florida have both seen recent increases in infections. Arizona just told its hospitals to activate emergency plans amid an increase of cases.
A reckoning over race sparked by the death of George Floyd in a new example of police brutality drove the worst pandemic in 100 years from the headlines for days. But the virus doesn't respect an epochal moment in a nation's story -- health experts fear and expect that mass demonstrations only helped the virus spread -- and will show up in hospitalizations and deaths in weeks to come. Already, some members of the Washington, DC, National Guard on duty during marches and protests have tested positive for Covid-19.
Andy Slavitt, a former acting administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, pointed to studies showing that stay-at-home orders had likely saved hundreds of thousands of lives around the world.
"Once we come back out, if we come back to exactly our old habits, it's going to spread just as fast," Slavitt told CNN's Don Lemon on Tuesday night.
"So we have to be out and take the kind of precautions that are safe precautions. We can get back to normal life. We can live with this virus. But if you're in a place with these red areas like Arizona, North Carolina, Arkansas, you should be very, very careful."