beijingwalker
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You know nothing about China, do you?no such thing as private company in CCP land.
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You know nothing about China, do you?no such thing as private company in CCP land.
don't selectively quote part of what I wrote. How do you answer for Ali Baba? they are private yet Xi was able to just ruin it. show some characterYou know nothing about China, do you?
Lol, of course , like this famous oneChina has built dozens of large skyscrapers and hundreds of apartments in even the smallest of towns with barely any population, this was bound to happen someday. They will literally have to demolish thousands of empty buildings to bring up the property market, like how farmers throw away or burn crops during a glut.
Even with the largest domestic market by far in the world, U.S. debt crisis in 2008 was very impactful. The way this debt crisis may unfold, if we use U.S. framework, with these property price collapse, many banks will go down. With property and bank sectors in crisis, stock market may go down. By now, all the three may end up causing a recession. Approximately, this is how Japan story unfolded in the '90s.Japan doesn't have a domestic market while China is the world biggest one, companies can be super successful and can also fail no matter how big they are. Beijing housing price doesn't come down the slightest, the demand is still super strong, don't forget, most cities in China have restrictive policies forbidding non locals to buy houses. if those policies were removed, housing price will go through the ceilings, but of course that is the last thing the general population want to see. the government has been strugging for decades to push the housing price down to within a manageable range.
You just can't compare capitalist countries like US and Japan with China, all big banks and business in China are owned by the government, the debts owed are also the debts owned, it's like your left pocket owes money to your right pocket, the government has a lot of tools to leverage. in 2008 Beijing's housing price really did crash, it's felt strongly by everyone, but this time, no one feels anything, the housing price in Beijing remains unchanged, this makes this year very different from 2008.Even with the largest domestic market by far in the world, U.S. debt crisis in 2008 was very impactful. The way this debt cris may unfold, if we use U.S. framework, with these property price collapse, many banks will go down. With property and bank sectors in crisis, stock market may go down. By now, all the three may end up causing a recession. Approximately, this is how Japan story unfolded in the '90s.
For example, in China, already Zhongrong International Trust has missed payments. After that Zhongzhi Enterprise Group is expected to go under. Evergrande is like Bear Stearns. Zhongrong and Zhongzhi are the Lehman brothers.
Investors Fear a Financial Contagion in China
Troubles at a big trust company are making investors worry about fallout from the country’s slumping property sector.www.wsj.com
yes, and multiple threads were created in the Americas forum about it even though nobody ever heard of those banks.3 US banks went bankrupt last year,
what's so speial for a private real estate company to go bankrupt?
Evergrande is known for suspicious dealings for decades, I m pretty surprised that it had held on this long.True, there is nothing special about any Chinese company. I guess they just have big heads.
What is your opinion of Zhongrong International Trust and Zhongzhi Enterprise Group? Are they also dodgy house of cards waiting to blow up?Evergrande is known for suspicious dealings for decades, I m pretty surprised that it had held on this long.
and just a couple of posts ago you were asking "so what if a private company collapses" (paraphrasing). so let me teach you something about your country: there is no such thing as a private company. there is no such thing as a private person. CCP owns you, and yours.You just can't compare capitalist countries like US and Japan with China, all big banks and business in China are owned by the government, the debts owed are also the debts owned, it's like your left pocket owes money to your right pocket, the government has a lot of tools to leverage. in 2008 Beijing's housing price really did crash, it's felt strongly by everyone, but this time, no one feels anything, the housing price in Beijing remains unchanged, this makes this year very different from 2008.
3 US banks went bankrupt last year, what's so speial for a private real estate company to go bankrupt?
bank worth nothing in itself, it offer loan value, the value they don't actually have in their bank in term of asset, which is the major reason why these bank gone busted.3 US banks went bankrupt last year, what's so speial for a private real estate company to go bankrupt?
I said big companies, especially big banks which give out loans, but still small companies make up over half of China's GDP, you know nothing about China, do you?and just a couple of posts ago you were asking "so what if a private company collapses" (paraphrasing). so let me teach you something about your country: there is no such thing as a private company. there is no such thing as a private person. CCP owns you, and yours.