Your willful ignorance despite the abundance of public information about
naval warfare in front of the ever growing yuuuge arsenal of Chinese AShBMs is tremendously yuuge
Of which, the only way to prove their efficacy is in battle.
Assume that Chinese ballistic missiles are able to find a moving target, which is a
yuuge assumption, the only way China could prevail is to launch a surprise attack on a carrier, like right now when there are two of them in the SCS. However, once relations between the US and China soured to the point where war is not merely inevitable but actually imminent, the element of surprise is lost, and if the element of surprise, there goes the advantage -- poof.
Long before you came on this forum, I have explained to the readers the technical difficulties of finding a moving target in the seas.
This...
...Is NOT how a carrier fleet is arrayed for battle.
There is no photograph of how a carrier fleet is actually arrayed for battle. For that, we have to use other illustration.
This...
...Is the true formation of a carrier fleet arrayed for battle.
Human visual line-of-sight (LOS) is about 25 klicks max. So from the above illustration, both carriers and their escorts are outside the human LOS. The center is Washington DC. One escort is at Harrisburg. The distance is about 130 miles or about 200 km. How many square km is that to search for a single ship, even one as large as an aircraft carrier, eh?
Once the missile is launched, the entire fleet will be alerted and countermeasures prepared. A single ship can create an EM cover of hundreds of square km. Same for an IR cover. Now imagine the entire fleet spread over thousands of square kms creating IR and EM hot spots, each lasting for dozens of minutes or even hours.
For yrs on this forum, I have said this: On a missile against ship scenario, if the missile failed by one meter, the ship win. Which means your China
WILL lose.