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China's communist leaders reportedly starting to buckle under pressure of Trump's trade war

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BEIJING — A growing trade war with the United States is causing rifts within China's Communist Party, with some critics saying that an overly nationalistic Chinese stance may have hardened the US position, according to four sources close to the government.

Chinese President Xi Jinping still has a firm grip on power, but an unusual surge of criticism about economic policy and how the government has handled the trade war has revealed rare cracks in the ruling Communist Party.

A backlash is being felt at the highest levels of the government, possibly hitting a close aide to Xi, his ideology chief and strategist Wang Huning, according to two sources familiar with discussions in leadership circles.

A prominent and influential academic whose views have found favor in some party quarters has also come under attack for his strident views on Chinese power.

Wang, who was the architect of the "China Dream," Xi's vision for China to become a strong and prosperous nation, has been taken to task by the Chinese leader for crafting an excessively nationalistic image for the country, which has only provoked the United States, the sources said.

"He's in trouble for mishandling the propaganda and hyping up China too much," said one of the sources, who has ties to China's leadership and propaganda system.

The office of the party's spokesman did not respond to a request for comment on Wang and his relationship with Xi, or on whether China had erred in its messaging in the trade war.

There is a growing feeling within the Chinese government that the outlook for China has "become grim," according to a government policy adviser, following the deterioration in relations between China and the United States over trade. The adviser requested anonymity.

Those feelings are also shared by other influential voices.

"Many economists and intellectuals are upset about China's trade-war policies," an academic at a Chinese policy think tank told Reuters, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the issue. "The overarching view is that China's current stance has been too hardline and the leadership has clearly misjudged the situation."

That view contrasts with the thinking at the beginning of the year of many Chinese academics who had touted China's ability to withstand the trade row in the face of US President Donald Trump's perceived political weakness at home.

China thought it had reached a deal with Washington in May to avoid a trade war but was shocked when the Trump administration, in Beijing's eyes, went back on that agreement.

"The evolution from a trade conflict to trade war has made people rethink things," the policy adviser said. "This is seen as being related to the exaggeration of China's strength by some Chinese institutions and scholars that have influenced the US perceptions and even domestic views."

One official familiar with China's propaganda efforts said the messaging had gone astray.

"In the trade war, the line of thinking in the propaganda has been that Trump is crazy," the official said. "In fact, what he is scared of is us getting strong."

Under Xi, officials have become increasingly confident in proclaiming what they see as China's rightful place as a world leader, casting off a long-held maxim of Deng Xiaoping, the former paramount leader who said the country needed to "bide its time and hide its strength."

That confidence has been apparent as the government pushes its Belt and Road Initiative to develop trade routes between East and West and takes a hard line on territorial issues such as the South China Sea and Taiwan.

Hu Angang, an economics professor at Tsinghua University who's an expert in the field of "Chinese exceptionalism," is one prominent advocate of the view that China has achieved "comprehensive national power."

In recent weeks, Hu has faced a public backlash, with critics saying he's making the United States wary of China by trumpeting and exaggerating its relative economic, technical, and military might.

That view of Hu is also shared by some people in official circles, according to the policy adviser.

Hu declined to comment when contacted by Reuters.

The cracks within the party come as China's stock markets and currency have slumped and the government has struggled to shore up the economy to cushion the impact of the trade war.

China in recent weeks has encouraged more lending and pledged to use fiscal policy — including tax cuts and more funding for local governments — to combat slowing economic growth and rising uncertainty driven in part by the escalating trade war.

Xi has had other fires to hose too, including public anger over a vaccine-fraud case and protests in Beijing this week by investors in failed online-lending platforms.

Meanwhile, top leaders are believed to be meeting for secretive annual talks, most likely at the seaside resort of Beidaihe, leaving a policy vacuum as Xi and other officials all but vanish from state media. Based on what has happened in previous years, that could be for up to two weeks.

It is unclear whether Wang, the propaganda boss, will face any consequences, and there may be other reasons for the tensions within the party related to him.

A third source with ties to the leadership told Reuters the tension had to do with Wang opposing a cult of personality that has been forming around Xi.

Wang still features in state media, and diplomats and leadership sources say he is unlikely to be removed from the Standing Committee, the party body that runs China, in what would be an unprecedented move.

Though official media has in recent days been filled with defiant commentary about the United States and the trade war, there have been signs of a shift in China's messaging.

Beijing has begun downplaying "Made in China 2025," the state-backed industrial policy that is core to Washington's complaints about the country's technological ambitions.

State television's English-language news channel CGTN, which is aimed at foreigners, has also been focusing on how ordinary Americans will be affected by more expensive prices for cheap consumer goods made in China goods and by the damage tariffs will do to the US economy.

But the thinking in Chinese government circles is that the damage has already been done — and that China has learned the hard way that its domestic propaganda is now being scrutinized abroad in a way it never was before.

"It's impossible for China to 'bide its time and hide its strength,' but at least we can control the volume of our own propaganda and tell China's story the proper way," the policy insider said.

"When the size of China's economy was small, it got little outside attention, but China is now closely watched."

https://www.businessinsider.com/chi...idence-nationalism-in-trumps-trade-war-2018-8
 
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Under Trump all the indicators related to the US economy are looking great historically low unemployment, 4.1% growth, EU and Japan buckling under pressure. The man is not what everybody said he was, there is already noises of Trump for 2020 in US.
 
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Under Trump all the indicators related to the US economy are looking great historically low unemployment, 4.1% growth, EU and Japan buckling under pressure. The man is not what everybody said he was, there is already noises of Trump for 2020 in US.

I certainly hope he is reelected in 2020. The man is pure entertainment and doubly so his devoted fans who take him seriously :rofl:
 
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I certainly hope he is reelected in 2020. The man is pure entertainment and doubly so his devoted fans who take him seriously :rofl:
The policies are not run by one man in the US. That's why even after Trump and Xi ate cakes and played games together, China thought everything was fine until the US went south and slapped tariffs.

In short, unlike China, US is no one-man show. Trump is just a front,
capture.PNG
 
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The policies are not run by one man in the US. That's why even after Trump and Xi ate cakes and played games together, China thought everything was fine until the US went south and slapped tariffs.

In short, unlike China, US is no one-man show. Trump is just a front,
View attachment 491500
Anyway, trumps needs to get reelected again, he's like a walking comedy show.
 
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Under Trump all the indicators related to the US economy are looking great historically low unemployment, 4.1% growth


U.S. growth probably hit 4.2 percent this spring, but experts say it’s a blip
by Heather Long July 26

Economists say the spike is coming mainly from a fluke: There was an unusually large increase in exports in the spring that probably came because other countries were trying to buy U.S. goods before Trump’s trade war escalated and tariffs kicked in. Soybeans exports, for example, surged 9,400 percent in the period from March to May over the prior year, Morgan Stanley said. China, a major buyer of U.S. soybeans, put hefty tariffs on the American crop this month in retaliation for Trump’s levies on numerous Chinese products.

This is “likely a reflection of stockpiling ahead of the implementation of trade tariffs,” Morgan Stanley economists wrote in a note to clients this week, and they warned that it’s likely that growth will revert to a much lower level in the second half of the year as foreign countries slow their purchases of U.S. goods.
 
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There is an old saying in China, bala bala inferior to workssssssssssss. :usflag: Really know Need a BIG BALABALA victory
 
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Under Trump all the indicators related to the US economy are looking great historically low unemployment, 4.1% growth, EU and Japan buckling under pressure. The man is not what everybody said he was, there is already noises of Trump for 2020 in US.


Record 95.9 Million Americans Are No Longer In The Labor Force

by Tyler Durden
Fri, 06/01/2018 - 09:04

In what was otherwise a solid jobs report - one which Donald Trump may or may not have leaked in advance - in which the establishment survey reported that a higher than expected 223K jobs were added at a time when numbers below 200K are expected for an economy that is allegedly without slack, the biggest surprise was not in the Establishment survey, but the household, where the unemployment rate tumbled once more, sliding to a new 18 year low of 3.8%, even as the participation rate declined once again, as a result of a stagnant labor force, which was virtually unchanged (161.527MM in April to 161.539MM in May, even as the total civilian non-inst population rose by 182K to 257.454LMM).

LFP May 2018 2.jpg


What was perhaps more interesting, however, is that for all the talk that the slack in the labor force is set to decline, precisely the opposite is taking place, because in May, the number of people not in the labor force increased by another 170K, rising to 95.915 million, a new all time high.

non in labor force may 2018.jpg


Adding to this the 6.1 million currently unemployed Americans, there are 102 million Americans who are either unemployed or out of the labor force (and it is also worth noting that of those employed 26.9 million are part-time workers).

In other words, contrary to prevailing economist groupthink, there is a lot of slack in the economy, and if as the latest Beige Book revealed, employers are now hiring drug addicts and felons to make up for the shortage of qualified candidates, a long time will be pass before wages see significant gains.

employment population vs hourly earnings.jpg




https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-06-01/record-959-million-americans-are-no-longer-labor-force
 
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