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China's box office certain to overtake US as takings up 50% in 2016's first quarter

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http://www.theguardian.com/film/201...ke-us-as-takings-up-50-in-2016s-first-quarter

China is set to become the highest-grossing cinema territory in the world next year, based on the rise in its takings over the past 15 months.

In the last quarter, revenues from cinemas in the mainland of China rose by 50%, in line with rises witnessed throughout 2015.

If sustained, China would make more than $10bn in 2016, closing in on the US 2015 total of $11bn. The north American box office plateaued around $10bn for eight years, before a 7.3% rise in 2015 took receipts into the teens.

The first quarter Chinese box office gross in 2015 was RMB9.663bn, rising to RMB14.49bn for the three months just ended. Last year’s total was RMB44bn ($6.78bn).

Takings have risen alongside the number of cinema screens: in 2015, 8,035 were added in China, at the rate of 22 per day, upping the total by around 40% to 31,627 screens. By the end of 2016, China is expected to have beaten the US, which has just shy of 40,000.

The 51.08% year-on-year rise in admissions in China accounts for how the territory was able to combat its comparatively low ticket price: $5.36, more than three dollars cheaper than the US’s $8.38. China’s average ticket price has actually fallen 2.5% from its 2015 figure. More than 60% of bookings taken in the country are made online.

China’s mushrooming numbers are also credited to its booming local industry, with incentives in place for cinemas which show domestic rather than Hollywood films. Chinese movies accounted for 61.48% of ticket sales in 2015, with many of the biggest hits – such as The Mermaid, The Monkey King 2 and The Man From Macau 3 – falling into this category.

While some US movies performed well – Zootopia is currently on $207m – others did not make it to release in China. The country does not have an official certification system and all films are edited to be acceptable for all ages, with authorities and film-makers usually liaising over required cuts.

In the case of Deadpool – which earlier this week became the best-performing R-rated film ever – the frequency of inappropriate material meant a compromise could not be met.

Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice, by contrast, was afforded release, and boosted month-end takings around the globe, including in China.

Over the Chinese New Year period in 2016, the country set a new record for the highest box office gross during one week in one territory. It made $548m, overtaking the previous record of $529.6m, which was set over the 2015 Christmas week in north America.
 
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http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/china/yearly/

China Yearly Box Office
2016

Rank Movie Title Distributor Gross Release
1 The Mermaid (2016) n/a $526,848,189 2/8
2 Zootopia n/a $236,086,416 3/4
3 The Monkey King 2 in 3D n/a $185,402,420 2/8
4 From Vegas to Macau 3 (Du cheng feng yun III) n/a $172,104,369 2/8
5 Kung Fu Panda 3 n/a $154,304,371 1/29
6 Star Wars: The Force Awakens n/a $125,398,521 1/9
7 Ip Man 3 n/a $124,101,198 3/4
8 The Jungle Book (2016) Disney $107,300,000 4/15
9 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice n/a $95,769,365 3/25
10 The Revenant n/a $58,684,119 3/18
11 Chongqing Hot Pot n/a $56,977,045 4/1
12 London Has Fallen n/a $51,042,745 4/8
13 The Bodyguard (2016) n/a $49,451,365 4/1
14 Boonie Bears III n/a $44,544,110 1/16
15 Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: Sword of Destiny n/a $38,262,712 2/19
16 Gods of Egypt n/a $35,598,525 3/11
17 The Last Witch Hunter n/a $27,404,245 1/15
18 Sherlock: The Abominable Bride n/a $24,392,699 1/4
19 Love Studio n/a $21,590,285 3/11
20 Who Sleeps My Bro n/a $20,111,558 4/1
21 Mr. Highheels n/a $20,003,919 2/19
22 Royal Treasure n/a $19,800,195 1/15
23 Boruto: Naruto the Movie n/a $15,392,640 2/18
24 Yesterday Once More n/a $15,355,129 4/22
25 The Walk n/a $13,773,172 1/22
26 For Love n/a $11,487,632 1/29
27 The Huntsman Winter's War n/a $10,622,294 4/22
28 The Rise of a Tomboy n/a $9,769,582 3/18
29 The Secret (2016) n/a $9,759,277 1/15
30 Alvin and the Chipmunks The Road Chip n/a $9,582,624 1/29
31 The New Year's Eve of Old Lee n/a $8,072,889 2/1
32 Apparition (2016) n/a $7,312,653 1/22
33 Run For Love (Zai shijie de zhongxin huhuan ai) n/a $7,250,876 2/14
34 Lost in the White n/a $6,533,487 4/15
35 Inside or Outside (Zhen xiang jin qu) n/a $6,323,457 1/22
36 Seinto Seiya: Legend of Sanctuary n/a $5,698,965 2/26
37 Solace n/a $5,374,145 1/14
38 Left Behind (2014) n/a $5,331,602 2/26
39 Lost in the Pacific n/a $5,266,673 1/29
40 Mr. Nian n/a $5,256,007 2/8
41 Flying Colours (Birigyaru) n/a $5,188,503 4/14
42 The November Man n/a $4,521,480 3/4
43 House of Wolves n/a $4,141,129 1/21
44 Everybody's Fine (2016) n/a $3,805,627 1/1
45 My New Sassy Girl n/a $3,695,081 4/22
46 The 33 n/a $3,449,490 3/4
47 American Ultra n/a $3,010,322 4/15
48 The Boy (2016) n/a $2,545,897 4/1
49 Thomas & Friends: Sodor's Legend of the Lost Treasure n/a $2,510,062 2/20
50 Spicy Hot in Love n/a $2,385,191 3/8
51 Buddy Cops n/a $2,116,025 4/22
52 Yuen fan (Behind the Yellow Line) n/a $2,069,000 3/25
53 Kill Time n/a $2,002,591 2/14
54 Mo Er Zhuang Yuan 3: Mo Huan Lie Che Da Mao Xian n/a $1,618,159 4/2
55 New York, New York (2016) n/a $1,446,261 4/15
56 Chinese Wine n/a $1,332,514 1/15
57 Papa (Luo shan ji dao dan ji hua) n/a $1,329,356 3/18
58 Under the Bed 3 n/a $1,325,507 3/11
59 Fruity Robo The Great Escape n/a $1,264,723 1/23
60 Eddie the Eagle n/a $970,358 3/18
61 Space Panda 3 n/a $947,330 4/2
62 Fear is Coming n/a $882,680 3/25
63 Mother's Revenge n/a $791,654 4/15
64 The Weird Doll n/a $730,261 2/26
65 The Frog Kingdom 2: Sub-Zero Mission n/a $641,168 2/19
66 The Guest (2016) n/a $587,873 4/1
67 She Remembers, He Forgets n/a $565,192 3/10
68 Strange Battle n/a $514,112 1/7
69 Wang Mao n/a $391,730 3/11
70 The White-Haired Girl n/a $373,310 3/25
71 Red Cheongsam n/a $338,127 3/17
72 Money and Love n/a $329,555 2/19
73 Judge Archer n/a $324,016 3/11
74 Ma Xiaole and His Toys n/a $304,152 4/30
75 Insomnia Lover n/a $258,753 4/22
76 Colt 45 n/a $258,073 2/19
77 Girls Generation n/a $257,650 3/25
78 The Family Running Forward n/a $230,475 1/22
79 Xuan Yuan: The Great Emperor n/a $225,876 4/1
80 A Bite Of China - Celebrating The Chinese New Year n/a $212,418 1/7
81 Easy Life (Xi le chang an) n/a $198,053 3/25
82 The Game (2016) n/a $154,330 2/19
83 Love in Late Autumn n/a $149,439 1/22
84 Love Godfathers: Three Bad Guys n/a $148,986 1/15
85 My Wife is a Superstar n/a $140,088 4/8
86 My Friends n/a $106,510 1/29
87 Midnight Record Search n/a $98,027 4/8
88 Music and Dream n/a $98,024 4/22
89 Ghost Neighbor n/a $88,441 4/8
90 The Ape Story n/a $69,174 1/23
91 Wang jia xin n/a $54,863 3/18
92 Convert Four Cheap n/a $51,125 3/25
93 Morengen Bear vs Man n/a $43,328 1/22
94 The Big Lie Bang n/a $35,271 1/22
95 Goddess Times n/a $28,535 4/22
96 Miss Partners n/a $22,318 4/29
97 My 10 Million n/a $12,796 4/22
 
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Chinese box office market should be compared with the US box office market, not the North American market.

1 on 1.

China sales/population: $10B sales /1.37B people = $7.29 per person
[2015 sales] US sales/population: ($10.9B - non US North American $700M sales) / 320M people = $29 per person

You need 4x the growth to catch up to the US. (if you consider it a good Standard of Living gauge)

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/canada-box-office-revenue-rises-853273

hmmm Canada $700M/35M people = $20 per person.
 
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China sales/population: $10B sales /1.37B people = $7.29 per person
[2015 sales] US sales/population: ($10.9B - non US North American $700M sales) / 320M people = $29 per person

You need 4x the growth to catch up to the US. (if you consider it a good Standard of Living gauge)

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/canada-box-office-revenue-rises-853273

hmmm Canada $700M/35M people = $20 per person.


yeah I was about to ask how many tickets they are selling and for how much compared to in the U.S.
 
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China sales/population: $10B sales /1.37B people = $7.29 per person
[2015 sales] US sales/population: ($10.9B - non US North American $700M sales) / 320M people = $29 per person

You need 4x the growth to catch up to the US. (if you consider it a good Standard of Living gauge)

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/canada-box-office-revenue-rises-853273

hmmm Canada $700M/35M people = $20 per person.

Absolute market size is what matters in geopolitics/geoeconomics.

When China surpass the US box office market, China will be the darling for all movie producers. They will kiss China's *** to get approval to screen and get a share of the largest market.

When China has the largest automobile market or the largest smartphone market, no one cares about per person figures except butt hurt guys like you. Automobile and smartphone markers want to sell their product to the largest market.
 
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Absolute market size is what matters in geopolitics/geoeconomics.

When China surpass the US box office market, China will be the darling for all movie producers. They will kiss China's *** to get approval to screen and get a share of the largest market.

When China has the largest automobile market or the largest smartphone market, no one cares about per person figures except butt hurt guys like you. Automobile and smartphone markers want to sell their product to the largest market.

It probably isn't going to end up the way you expect.
China will ultimately turn into what the current US market is..99% homegrown and 1% imported foreign films. Which is probably the way you were 20 years ago.

This is how Hollywood films will end up in China:
Why 'Monster Hunt,' China's biggest movie, couldn't crack the U.S. market
http://www.latimes.com/entertainmen...ster-hunt-china-us-market-20160210-story.html
"The movie opened in 44 theaters in January to just $21,000 in its debut weekend, for a dismal average of less than $500 per location. It only lasted about a week in limited release.""It's probably the biggest movie most people in North America have never heard of,"
"Chinese hit "Detective Chinatown," for example, has pulled in less than $500,000 from its U.S. run."

Future Hollywood films will end up like Monster Hunt and Detective Chinatown. Playing in very few theaters in China..and not making any money. Which is the way it was 20 years ago.

It didn't matter how good Monster Hunt and Detective Chinatown were. Nobody was interested. In the future nobody in China will be interested in Hollywood movies.
 
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It probably isn't going to end up the way you expect.
China will ultimately turn into what the current US market is..99% homegrown and 1% imported foreign films. Which is probably the way you were 20 years ago.

This is how Hollywood films will end up in China:
Why 'Monster Hunt,' China's biggest movie, couldn't crack the U.S. market
http://www.latimes.com/entertainmen...ster-hunt-china-us-market-20160210-story.html
"The movie opened in 44 theaters in January to just $21,000 in its debut weekend, for a dismal average of less than $500 per location. It only lasted about a week in limited release.""It's probably the biggest movie most people in North America have never heard of,"
"Chinese hit "Detective Chinatown," for example, has pulled in less than $500,000 from its U.S. run."

Future Hollywood films will end up like Monster Hunt and Detective Chinatown. Playing in very few theaters in China..and not making any money. Which is the way it was 20 years ago.

It didn't matter how good Monster Hunt and Detective Chinatown were. Nobody was interested. In the future nobody in China will be interested in Hollywood movies.

When you have the largest market, producers cater their product to the largest market.

That's why Hollywood movies don't have any anti-China scenes now because for the movie to be successful they need the Chinese market. Chinese market has bailed out many poorly performing Hollywood films.

Chinese regulators will not allow any movie that have anti-China scenes to be screened in China.

China should make sure the domestic box office market is dominated by Chinese movies.

China having yet another 'largest market' category shows Chinese consumption power is greater than US consumption power in that particular category and Chinese economic influence being greater than US economic influence. Box office market is also services consumption which China has been promoting as in goods consumption, China is already ahead of the US.

Consumption power is another sign China is replacing the US as the number 1 economic power in the world.
 
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That's why Hollywood movies don't have any anti-China scenes now

Wow...can you name a bunch of anti-China scenes in movies?

Maybe Manchurian Candidate? Goldfinger? SkyFall? Pacific Rim? Other than that I can't think of any.
Or do you mean some dweeb asian kid in some stupid teen movie?

And if you do list some at least don't be so desperate to dig so far back as the movies weren't even in color (pre-1950's).
 
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China sales/population: $10B sales /1.37B people = $7.29 per person
[2015 sales] US sales/population: ($10.9B - non US North American $700M sales) / 320M people = $29 per person

You need 4x the growth to catch up to the US. (if you consider it a good Standard of Living gauge)

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/canada-box-office-revenue-rises-853273

hmmm Canada $700M/35M people = $20 per person.

Don't forget Online Streaming site (Netflix, Hulu, Yahoo Streaming), those site took out a chunk of theatre goer.

Another problem is movie piracy, which is the main reason why people don't go to the Theatre anymore. Those problem aren't that rampant in China.

Wow...can you name a bunch of anti-China scenes in movies?

Maybe Manchurian Candidate? Goldfinger? SkyFall? Pacific Rim? Other than that I can't think of any.
Or do you mean some dweeb asian kid in some stupid teen movie?

And if you do list some at least don't be so desperate to dig so far back as the movies weren't even in color (pre-1950's).

lol, don't mind him, he is dreaming.

If what he said is true, then every country in this world would be producing Pro-America movie right now as we speak. As North America is currently the biggest market there is.

People produce their movie according to what they are buying, in Hollywood, it is always going to be about America, as with if you are a Australian producer, you would produce an Australian Theme movie. That's where and why you green light a project in the beginning.

You won't see an Australian Producer (Not counting Aussie in US) produce an American movie in Australia if their target audience is to Australian public. People won't be able to relate to the story, and nobody In movie business is stupid enough to produce a movie solely for overseas sale. That's too risky, especially you don't usually know what audience in the other side of the world want.
 
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If what he said is true, then every country in this world would be producing Pro-America movie right now as we speak. As North America is currently the biggest market there is.

Yeah...all those tons of pro-American movies coming out of Europe [rolls eyes].
They [The Europeans] write stuff they like. If they are super lucky it may make it into a mainstream movie theater chain here...but they have a 99% chance of it being shown in some little local theaters that have small parking lots and cater to the eclectic crowd.
 
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Yeah...all those tons of pro-American movies coming out of Europe [rolls eyes].
They write stuff they like. If they are super lucky it may make it into a mainstream movie theater chain here...but they have a 99% chance of it being shown in some little local theaters that have small parking lots and cater to the eclectic crowd.

Most British portrait Americans as bad guys lol.....

Most people don't know that to secure a screening deal, you need to negotiate both international and domestic screening right separate, secure one does not automatically got the other, and most movie without big studio backing would most likely ended up direct to DVD nowadays or ended up streaming in Itune, Hulu or site like that.

Another problem is, Hollywood director won't shoot a Chinese centric movie simply they don't know how. Not many people in the States knows anything about Chinese or other culture. And if they are going to shoot a Chinese targeted movie, that movie would not make sense.

I would see as Chinese market open up, a lot of Hollywood B-director or indie producer will travel to China and shoot some B-Movie just for the local market. Those movie most probably won't find it ways back to the US tho.
 
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Most British portrait Americans as bad guys lol.....

Most people don't know that to secure a screening deal, you need to negotiate both international and domestic screening right separate, secure one does not automatically got the other, and most movie without big studio backing would most likely ended up direct to DVD nowadays or ended up streaming in Itune, Hulu or site like that.

Another problem is, Hollywood director won't shoot a Chinese centric movie simply they don't know how. Not many people in the States knows anything about Chinese or other culture. And if they are going to shoot a Chinese targeted movie, that movie would not make sense.

I would see as Chinese market open up, a lot of Hollywood B-director or indie producer will travel to China and shoot some B-Movie just for the local market. Those movie most probably won't find it ways back to the US tho.

Oh I'm sure there will be plenty of US movie-makers wanting to take advantage of the Chinese market while the profit window is still open. The window is only open because there aren't lots of Chinese blockbusters to squeeze them completely out. But that won't be the case for long.
 
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Oh I'm sure there will be plenty of US movie-makers wanting to take advantage of the Chinese market while the profit window is still open. The window is only open because there aren't lots of Chinese blockbusters to squeeze them completely out. But that won't be the case for long.

Would not write off completely all those B-movie or indie that quick....

It would be a lot cheaper to produce a movie in China than in America. The location is cheaper, the actors are cheaper and the profit margin would quite large as oppose to the American Production.

All you need is a good script and hitting the right note to the audience, and you got yourselves a blockbuster.
 
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