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China set for global lead in scientific research

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China set for global lead in scientific research
By Clive Cookson in London

Published: January 26 2010 02:00 | Last updated: January 26 2010 02:00

China has experienced the strongest growth in scientific research over the past three decades of any country, according to figures compiled for the Financial Times, and the pace shows no sign of slowing.

Jonathan Adams, re-search evaluation director at Thomson Reuters, said China's "awe-inspiring" growth meant it was now the second-largest producer of scientific knowledge and was on course to overtake the US by 2020 if it continued on its trajectory.

Thomson Reuters , which indexes scientific papers from 10,500 journals, analysed the performance of four emerging markets countries - Brazil, Russia, India and China - over the past 30 years.

China far outperformed every other nation, with a 64-fold increase in peerreviewed scientific papers since 1981, with particular strength in chemistry and materials science.

"China is out on its own, far ahead of the pack," said James Wilsdon, science policy director at the Royal Society in London .

"If anything, China's recent research performance has exceeded even the high expectations of four or five years ago, while India has not moved as fast as expected and may have missed an opportunity."

Although its quality remains mixed, Chinese research has also become more collaborative, with almost 9 per cent of papers originating in China having at least one US-based co-author.

"We are seeing more than the growth of a strong domestic research base," said Mr Adams. "Regional networks of scientific collaboration are developing fast, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region."

Brazil has also been building up a formidable research effort, particularly in agricultural and life sciences. In 1981 its output of scientific papers was one-seventh that of India; by 2008 it had almost caught up with India.

Russia, which has previously been seen as a leader in scientific research, produced fewer papers than Brazil or India in 2008.

Just 20 years ago, on the eve of the Soviet Union's disintegration, Russia was a scientific superpower, carrying out more research than China, India and Brazil combined.

Since then it has been left behind not only by the world-beating growth of Chinese science but also by India and Brazil.

Huge changes in the world's scientific landscape are revealed in the analysis of the output of the four Bric countries since 1981.

According to Mr Wilsdon, three main factors are driving Chinese research. First is the government's enormous investment, with funding increases far above the rate of inflation, at all levels of the system from schools to postgraduate research.

Second is the organised flow of knowledge from basic science to commercial applications. Third is the efficient and flexible way in which China is tapping the expertise of its extensive scientific diaspora in north America and Europe, tempting back mid-career scientists with deals that allow them to spend part of the year working in the west and part in China.

Although the statistics measure papers in peerreviewed journals that pass a threshold of respectability, "the quality [in China] is still rather mixed", said Mr Adams. But it was improving: "They have some pretty good incentives to produce higher quality research in future."

Like China, India has a large diaspora - and many scientifically trained NRIs (non-resident Indians) are returning, but they go mainly into business rather research. "In India there is a very poor connection between high-tech companies and the local research base," said Mr Wilsdon. "Even the Indian Institutes of Technology (IITs), the highest level institutions in the system, find it difficult to recruit top faculty."

A symptom of this is the poor performance of India in international comparisons of university standards. The 2009 Asian University Rankings, prepared by the higher education consultancy QS , shows the top Indian institution to be IIT Bombay at number 30; 10 universities in China and Hong Kong are higher.

Part of India's academic problem might be the way red tape tied up its universities, said Ben Sowter, head of the QS intelligence unit. Another issue was that the best institutions were so overwhelmed with applications from would-be students and faculty within India that they do not cultivate the international outlook essential for world-class universities.

This looks set to change as India's human resource minister has stepped up efforts to build links with US and UK institutions.

In contrast to China, India and Russia, whose research strengths tend to be in the physical sciences, chemistry and engineering, Brazil stands out in health, life sciences, agriculture and environmental research.

Of Russia, Mr Adams said: "The issue is the huge reduction in funding for research and development in Russia after the collapse of the Soviet Union."

"Although there has been an exodus of many of the rising stars of research, there is still a great pool of talent there.

"It is not in the interests of the rest of the world for the exodus to continue, and we need more co-funding arrangements to help Russian research get back up to speed."
 
no offense. I think when it comes to research quality matters and not quantity. We india/china are far away in quality of published papers. But it is improved a lot in last decade.
 
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Maybe by 2020, China would be falling less behind by the year. Its not catching up but the rate of falling behind would decrease.
 
Maybe by 2020, China would be falling less behind by the year. Its not catching up but the rate of falling behind would decrease.

Are you a scientist in US institution?
I found you very nervous of China surpasses US.
 
no offense. I think when it comes to research quality matters and not quantity. We india/china are far away in quality of published papers. But it is improved a lot in last decade.

:cheesy:

got link?
 
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*ttp://sciencewatch.com/dr/cou/2008/08decALL/
*ttp://scientific.thomson.com/ts/products/esi/

Top 20 Countries in ALL FIELDS, 1998-August 31, 2008

For the seventh year, ScienceWatch.com presents its annual "Top 20" listings of the countries which, as of the latest bimonthly update of Essential Science IndicatorsSM, achieved particular distinction based on their papers published in Thomson Reuters-indexed journals from January 1998 through August 31, 2008, a 10-year plus 8-month period. The listings are confined to those nations, out of a pool of 147, which published at least 10,000 papers across all fields during the period. Countries are ranked by three separate measures: total citations, number of papers, and cites per paper. (Note: For articles with multiple authors representing different nations, each listed nation receives full, not fractional, citation credit for the given paper.)

Ranked by Citations
Rank Field Papers Citations Citations
Per Paper
1 USA 2,959,661 42,269,694 14.28
2 GERMANY 766,146 8,787,460 11.47
3 ENGLAND 678,686 8,768,475 12.92
4 JAPAN 796,807 7,201,664 9.04
5 FRANCE 548,279 5,933,187 10.82
6 CANADA 414,248 4,837,825 11.68
7 ITALY 394,428 4,044,512 10.25
8 NETHERLANDS 231,682 3,148,005 13.59
9 AUSTRALIA 267,134 2,784,738 10.42
10 PEOPLES R CHINA 573,486 2,646,085 4.61
11 SPAIN 292,146 2,602,330 8.91
12 SWITZERLAND 168,527 2,502,210 14.85
13 SWEDEN 174,418 2,257,641 12.94
14 BELGIUM 125,520 1,461,478 11.64
15 SCOTLAND 106,209 1,422,252 13.39
16 DENMARK 91,670 1,262,693 13.77
17 SOUTH KOREA 218,077 1,256,724 5.76
18 ISRAEL 109,637 1,210,807 11.04
19 RUSSIA 276,801 1,135,496 4.10
20 INDIA 237,364 1,088,425 4.59
SOURCE: Essential Science Indicators from Thomson Reuters.


Ranked by Papers
Rank Field Papers Citations Citations
Per Paper
1 USA 2,959,661 42,269,694 14.28
2 JAPAN 796,807 7,201,664 9.04
3 GERMANY 766,146 8,787,460 11.47
4 ENGLAND 678,686 8,768,475 12.92
5 PEOPLES R CHINA 573,486 2,646,085 4.61
6 FRANCE 548,279 5,933,187 10.82
7 CANADA 414,248 4,837,825 11.68
8 ITALY 394,428 4,044,512 10.25
9 SPAIN 292,146 2,602,330 8.91
10 RUSSIA 276,801 1,135,496 4.10
11 AUSTRALIA 267,134 2,784,738 10.42
12 INDIA 237,364 1,088,425 4.59
13 NETHERLANDS 231,682 3,148,005 13.59
14 SOUTH KOREA 218,077 1,256,724 5.76
15 SWEDEN 174,418 2,257,641 12.94
16 SWITZERLAND 168,527 2,502,210 14.85
17 BRAZIL 157,860 880,821 5.58
18 TAIWAN 144,807 828,751 5.72
19 POLAND 131,646 766,033 5.82
20 BELGIUM 125,520 1,461,478 11.64
SOURCE: Essential Science Indicators from Thomson Reuters.


Citations Per Paper
( 10,000 papers)
Rank Field Papers Citations Citations
Per Paper
1 SWITZERLAND 168,527 2,502,210 14.85
2 USA 2,959,661 42,269,694 14.28
3 DENMARK 91,670 1,262,693 13.77
4 NETHERLANDS 231,682 3,148,005 13.59
5 SCOTLAND 106,209 1,422,252 13.39
6 SWEDEN 174,418 2,257,641 12.94
7 ENGLAND 678,686 8,768,475 12.92
8 FINLAND 85,567 1,038,721 12.14
9 CANADA 414,248 4,837,825 11.68
10 BELGIUM 125,520 1,461,478 11.64
11 GERMANY 766,146 8,787,460 11.47
12 AUSTRIA 87,953 974,554 11.08
13 ISRAEL 109,637 1,210,807 11.04
14 NORWAY 63,017 691,881 10.98
15 FRANCE 548,279 5,933,187 10.82
16 WALES 35,318 374,996 10.62
17 AUSTRALIA 267,134 2,784,738 10.42
18 ITALY 394,428 4,044,512 10.25
19 IRELAND 37,396 377,181 10.09
20 NORTH IRELAND 17,376 174,069 10.02
SOURCE: Essential Science Indicators from Thomson Reuters.
 
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:coffee:in china,usually, people(not everyone) dont want to do some true research.they just want papers based on "ctrl+c and ctrl+v"to obtain some titles which can give them higher salaries.:coffee:
 
:coffee:in china,usually, people(not everyone) dont want to do some true research.they just want papers based on "ctrl+c and ctrl+v"to obtain some titles which can give them higher salaries.:coffee:

:rofl: do you have any link for it
 
:rofl: do you have any link for it
if you like,take me as the link.
what i said is just an idea prevailing among the ordinary people. however,in china,there are indeed many people who are very talented .it is those people lead the world believe that china can take over US in scientific research.:coffee::coffee:
 
if you like,take me as the link.
what i said is just an idea prevailing among the ordinary people. however,in china,there are indeed many people who are very talented .it is those people lead the world believe that china can take over US in scientific research.:coffee::coffee:

I know about it. Just kidding. we are king of copy and paste. BTW we are world leader in it even overtake usa.
 
I know about it. Just kidding. we are king of copy and paste. BTW we are world leader in it even overtake usa.

sir,i cant agree more.it is possible for india or china to take over US in scientific research ,since both countries have so large populations and enough money. but ,there is still a long long way to go .:coffee::smitten:
 
:coffee:in china,usually, people(not everyone) dont want to do some true research.they just want papers based on "ctrl+c and ctrl+v"to obtain some titles which can give them higher salaries.:coffee:

You're right, some so called professors and researchers in the university and college is just like what you said,these idiots study science as a bureaucrat:taz:
 
no offense. I think when it comes to research quality matters and not quantity. We india/china are far away in quality of published papers. But it is improved a lot in last decade.


" An obvious word of warning needs to be made here: quantity is not the same as quality. Measuring the volume of China's scientific output is clearly both valuable and surprising but it doesn't tell us whether that research was any good. For that we turn to a useful proxy: China's scientific collaboration with other countries better known for the high quality of their science. The results here, too, are eye-opening.

China is not doing science behind closed doors; its international collaborations are growing. Nearly 9 per cent of papers originating from Chinese institutions have a US-based co-author. Japanese and British co-authorship is also growing. Collaboration with South Korea and Singapore almost trebled between 2004 and 2008 and collaboration with Australia expanded too - signs, perhaps, of an emerging Asia-Pacific regional network. "

Source: Get ready for China's domination of science - opinion - 06 January 2010 - New Scientist

:china:
 
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