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China-Pakistan Economic Corridor: Should India Worry? – Analysis

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Port.jpg

Pakistan's Gwadar Port. Photo by Paranda, Wikipedia Commons.
BY SOUTH ASIA MONITOR MAY 28, 2016

By Pramod Jaiswal and Aditi Paul*

The groundbreaking ceremony for the new expressway, linking Peshawar and Karachi, was held on the first week of May this year in Pakistan. It is the single biggest transit project planned for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) which is a key project of China’s “One Belt, One Road Initiative”. The Peshawar–Karachi expressway will be 392 kilometers long, with a total contract cost of USD 2.9 billion, with a designed speed of 120 kilometers per hour. The construction of this huge infrastructure in Pakistan with Chinese investment has raised India’s security concerns. In this context, it would be worthwhile to understand CPEC, the feasibility of the project, China’s vested interest, strategic moves or calculations of the Pakistan Army, and the impact on India’s national interest.

Regionalism has failed to take off in South Asia due to political differences, congeneric economies, socio-religious cleavages and deep rooted conflicts between the states, particularly India and Pakistan. These differences have not only created an obstacle for proper galvanization of interest both within and around South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), but its procedural and operational products, such as the South Asian Free Trade Area (SAFTD) and other regional economic agreements are also suffering from lack of commitment. As a result, the member states of SAARC have chosen to collaborate with extra-regional powers in various bilateral and trilateral engagements. China has shown special interests in South Asia and the potential vast market that the region provides. However, it is the emerging power’s most ambitious geo-political and economically significant initiative called ‘One Belt, One Road’ (OBOR) that has necessitated China to befriend states of Asia, Europe, Middle East and Africa. It is through OBOR that China is building roads, railways, pipelines, communication networks and industrial economic zones for connecting and expanding its partnerships beyond Asia.

One such connecting thread in OBOR is the CPEC. It connects West China with Arabian Sea and seeks to economically transform the area from Pakistan to China’s north western Xinjiang province through a network of highways, railways and pipelines spreading across 3000 kilometers. CPEC provides China the opportunity to access the Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean. According to the five year development plan of China, CPEC values 17 percent of Pakistan’s GDP and has the capacity to generate more than 25000MW of electricity to the energy starved Pakistan.

Mega projects, like CPEC, require secure and stable environment for not just its construction but to reap its sustainable benefits. Pakistan is beset with political, economic, socio-cultural and security issues. And, it seems there is no safety for the USD 46 billion investment. Nawaz Sharif government believes that, if implemented successfully, CPEC will be a game-changer. It will provide economic growth and help to overcome threats from terrorism. But, the successful implementation of CPEC depends on the political situation of Pakistan. The state is entrenched with inter-provincial conflicts. There are repeated distress raised by the provinces on the massive and unequal distribution of resources, and non-transparent nature of the government’s actions on CPEC.

On the other hand, the Pakistani business communities believe that they are in a non-benefitting situation and the cheap Chinese products will harm the indigenous manufacturers. The economists argue that since the Chinese imports will have reduced or no taxes; there is a possibility that Pakistan’s economy will be negatively impacted and a steep decline in the revenue collection is estimated. In addition, the federal government of Pakistan has promised to build the western route so as to benefit Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, but its implementation is unlikely. As a result, CPEC is facing less encouragement from the political and economic stakeholders, and local people. Added to which, the whole Pakistan-China collaboration is being touted as Nawaz’s own political ambition.

Considering the conflict ridden state in Pakistan, China demands support and encouragement from the Pakistan army generals. Pakistan’s army has always played a dominant role in shaping and guiding Pakistan’s foreign and security policy. The state has sailed through four military coups since its independence in 1947. Interestingly, the Pakistan Army has taken special interest in this project. It called for installing a CPEC Authority for efficient plan execution. Over 15000 troops have been set up for overlooking the security of the Chinese workers and contractors involved in upgrading the transit facilities based in Balochistan, the stronghold of Afghan and Pakistan Taliban forces. However, it is argued that the greater involvement of the army vis-à-vis developmental projects with the external powers may heighten the ever-present civil-military tensions in Pakistan.

It is no secret that Pakistan is a breeding ground for dissensions and rebel groups. It becomes tedious then for viable bilateral and multilateral projects to work and sustain. For example, the Baloch rebels have constantly opposed the CPEC, and threaten to attack the people involved and destroy the infrastructures. Yet, projects like CPEC are important for the growth and prosperity of Pakistan. The proposed corridor and a place in the OBOR plan, has brought economic and strategic implications for Pakistan. As a result, crucial steps have beeb taken to remove obstacles in the path of CPEC. According to Media reports, the China Great Wall Industry Cooperation and the Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission have signed an agreement to install a Pakistan Remote Sensing Satellite (PRSS-1) System, to be launched in June 2018, for safeguarding and monitoring the execution of the plan.

Amidst these developments in the neighborhood, India is alarmed. It has objected to CPEC on the grounds that it runs through the disputed territory – Azad Kashmir (Azad Kashmir). India has claimed that three divisions of the Chinese Army are stationed in the Azad Kashmir. Yet, there is clear lack of public debate on the impact of CPEC on India. The strategic thinkers need to articulate a clear stand on the situation because after the CPEC completes, China would have total access to the state of Pakistan and not just to Azad Kashmir. Therefore, the solution lies in aligning India with its ‘strategic partners’ and devise a pragmatic move at the earliest.

*Dr Pramod Jaiswal is Senior Research Officer at Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies, New Delhi and Aditi Paul is Research Scholar at Nelson Mandela Center for Peace and Conflict Resolution, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi. They can be reached at: editor@spsindia.in

http://www.eurasiareview.com/28052016-china-pakistan-economic-corridor-should-india-worry-analysis/
 
this article is focussed on creating anto CPEC sentiments in pakistan. in short propaganda war of raw. cheap cinese products will increase competition and help our economy. gawader and transit facilities will give us billions of dollars a year. Kashmir is disputed and it goes to indian occupied kashmir too so if india can do elections there we can build roads too.
 
this article is focussed on creating anto CPEC sentiments in pakistan. in short propaganda war of raw. cheap cinese products will increase competition and help our economy. gawader and transit facilities will give us billions of dollars a year. Kashmir is disputed and it goes to indian occupied kashmir too so if india can do elections there we can build roads too.

But India considers it its integral part but pakistan try to showcase u r azad kashmier as a azad identity not part of it and that makes alot of difference
 
But India considers it its integral part but pakistan try to showcase u r azad kashmier as a azad identity not part of it and that makes alot of difference
gilgit baltistan is pakistan 5th province. indian consider kashmir integral part, can u tell me when did plebiscite took place in kashmir.
" As per the 1948 and 1949 UNCIPResolutions, both countries accept the principle, that Pakistan secures the withdrawal of Pakistani intruders followed by withdrawal of Pakistani and Indian forces, as a basis for the formulation of a Truce agreement whose details are to be arrived in future, followed by a plebiscite"
 

The groundbreaking ceremony for the new expressway, linking Peshawar and Karachi, was held on the first week of May this year in Pakistan. It is the single biggest transit project planned for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) which is a key project of China’s “One Belt, One Road Initiative”. The Peshawar–Karachi expressway will be 392 kilometers long, with a total contract cost of USD 2.9 billion, with a designed speed of 120 kilometers per hour.

How 392 km? Are they constructing a link road to motorway then to Multan road or a new highway altogether?
 
gilgit baltistan is pakistan 5th province. indian consider kashmir integral part, can u tell me when did plebiscite took place in kashmir.
" As per the 1948 and 1949 UNCIPResolutions, both countries accept the principle, that Pakistan secures the withdrawal of Pakistani intruders followed by withdrawal of Pakistani and Indian forces, as a basis for the formulation of a Truce agreement whose details are to be arrived in future, followed by a plebiscite"
lol its more complicated than u can imagine u can lie to urself but not world (yes in u r case its opposite) any attempt to change gilgit or kashmir will weaken u r case at un Suits us
 
Port.jpg

Pakistan's Gwadar Port. Photo by Paranda, Wikipedia Commons.
BY SOUTH ASIA MONITOR MAY 28, 2016

By Pramod Jaiswal and Aditi Paul*

The groundbreaking ceremony for the new expressway, linking Peshawar and Karachi, was held on the first week of May this year in Pakistan. It is the single biggest transit project planned for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) which is a key project of China’s “One Belt, One Road Initiative”. The Peshawar–Karachi expressway will be 392 kilometers long, with a total contract cost of USD 2.9 billion, with a designed speed of 120 kilometers per hour. The construction of this huge infrastructure in Pakistan with Chinese investment has raised India’s security concerns. In this context, it would be worthwhile to understand CPEC, the feasibility of the project, China’s vested interest, strategic moves or calculations of the Pakistan Army, and the impact on India’s national interest.

Regionalism has failed to take off in South Asia due to political differences, congeneric economies, socio-religious cleavages and deep rooted conflicts between the states, particularly India and Pakistan. These differences have not only created an obstacle for proper galvanization of interest both within and around South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), but its procedural and operational products, such as the South Asian Free Trade Area (SAFTD) and other regional economic agreements are also suffering from lack of commitment. As a result, the member states of SAARC have chosen to collaborate with extra-regional powers in various bilateral and trilateral engagements. China has shown special interests in South Asia and the potential vast market that the region provides. However, it is the emerging power’s most ambitious geo-political and economically significant initiative called ‘One Belt, One Road’ (OBOR) that has necessitated China to befriend states of Asia, Europe, Middle East and Africa. It is through OBOR that China is building roads, railways, pipelines, communication networks and industrial economic zones for connecting and expanding its partnerships beyond Asia.

One such connecting thread in OBOR is the CPEC. It connects West China with Arabian Sea and seeks to economically transform the area from Pakistan to China’s north western Xinjiang province through a network of highways, railways and pipelines spreading across 3000 kilometers. CPEC provides China the opportunity to access the Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean. According to the five year development plan of China, CPEC values 17 percent of Pakistan’s GDP and has the capacity to generate more than 25000MW of electricity to the energy starved Pakistan.

Mega projects, like CPEC, require secure and stable environment for not just its construction but to reap its sustainable benefits. Pakistan is beset with political, economic, socio-cultural and security issues. And, it seems there is no safety for the USD 46 billion investment. Nawaz Sharif government believes that, if implemented successfully, CPEC will be a game-changer. It will provide economic growth and help to overcome threats from terrorism. But, the successful implementation of CPEC depends on the political situation of Pakistan. The state is entrenched with inter-provincial conflicts. There are repeated distress raised by the provinces on the massive and unequal distribution of resources, and non-transparent nature of the government’s actions on CPEC.

On the other hand, the Pakistani business communities believe that they are in a non-benefitting situation and the cheap Chinese products will harm the indigenous manufacturers. The economists argue that since the Chinese imports will have reduced or no taxes; there is a possibility that Pakistan’s economy will be negatively impacted and a steep decline in the revenue collection is estimated. In addition, the federal government of Pakistan has promised to build the western route so as to benefit Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, but its implementation is unlikely. As a result, CPEC is facing less encouragement from the political and economic stakeholders, and local people. Added to which, the whole Pakistan-China collaboration is being touted as Nawaz’s own political ambition.

Considering the conflict ridden state in Pakistan, China demands support and encouragement from the Pakistan army generals. Pakistan’s army has always played a dominant role in shaping and guiding Pakistan’s foreign and security policy. The state has sailed through four military coups since its independence in 1947. Interestingly, the Pakistan Army has taken special interest in this project. It called for installing a CPEC Authority for efficient plan execution. Over 15000 troops have been set up for overlooking the security of the Chinese workers and contractors involved in upgrading the transit facilities based in Balochistan, the stronghold of Afghan and Pakistan Taliban forces. However, it is argued that the greater involvement of the army vis-à-vis developmental projects with the external powers may heighten the ever-present civil-military tensions in Pakistan.

It is no secret that Pakistan is a breeding ground for dissensions and rebel groups. It becomes tedious then for viable bilateral and multilateral projects to work and sustain. For example, the Baloch rebels have constantly opposed the CPEC, and threaten to attack the people involved and destroy the infrastructures. Yet, projects like CPEC are important for the growth and prosperity of Pakistan. The proposed corridor and a place in the OBOR plan, has brought economic and strategic implications for Pakistan. As a result, crucial steps have beeb taken to remove obstacles in the path of CPEC. According to Media reports, the China Great Wall Industry Cooperation and the Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission have signed an agreement to install a Pakistan Remote Sensing Satellite (PRSS-1) System, to be launched in June 2018, for safeguarding and monitoring the execution of the plan.

Amidst these developments in the neighborhood, India is alarmed. It has objected to CPEC on the grounds that it runs through the disputed territory – Azad Kashmir (***). India has claimed that three divisions of the Chinese Army are stationed in the ***. Yet, there is clear lack of public debate on the impact of CPEC on India. The strategic thinkers need to articulate a clear stand on the situation because after the CPEC completes, China would have total access to the state of Pakistan and not just to ***. Therefore, the solution lies in aligning India with its ‘strategic partners’ and devise a pragmatic move at the earliest.

*Dr Pramod Jaiswal is Senior Research Officer at Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies, New Delhi and Aditi Paul is Research Scholar at Nelson Mandela Center for Peace and Conflict Resolution, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi. They can be reached at: editor@spsindia.in

http://www.eurasiareview.com/28052016-china-pakistan-economic-corridor-should-india-worry-analysis/

This article consists of half-truths, lies, and wishful thinking. Look at the following points.

1. SAARC suffering from lack of commitment...
This is half truth. Complete truth is that Indians want to exploit SAARC for social, economic, political, and strategic benefits while keeping other members under their tight control. Pakistan cannot allow that. Solve the territorial disputes first if you want political and strategic regional cohesion.

2. And, it seems there is no safety for the USD 46 billion investment... Over 15000 troops have been set up for overlooking the security of the Chinese workers and contractors...
This is an obvious contradiction.

3. Look at the following wishful Indian thinking and lies.

a. Pakistan’s economy will be negatively impacted (by cheap Chinese products) and a steep decline in the revenue collection is estimated...

b. The federal government of Pakistan has promised to build the western route so as to benefit Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, but its implementation is unlikely...

4. CPEC on the grounds that it runs through the disputed territory – Azad Kashmir...

This is a blatant lie. Pakistan is not occupying any part of J&K. It's rather India having illegal and continued occupation of a part of J&K in violation of UN resolutions. The people of J&K are waging an armed struggle against illegal Indian occupation.

5. The strategic thinkers need to articulate a clear stand on the situation because after the CPEC completes...

They have already charted their plans and strategy to foil the CPEC project by using terrorism. The disgraced terrorist monkey Commander Kul Bhushan Jhadev, caught red-handed while running a vast terror network, is a solid evidence.

Indians will only get disappointment and desperation as they have been getting to fulfill their dream of undoing the partition of subcontinent. Countless number of Indians have gone to the chittah (the place for burning the dead bodies) having unfulfilled wishes and enormous disappointment in their hearts and countless number of Indians will keep doing that in future. They will keep burning in jealousy while alive too.
 
Port.jpg

Pakistan's Gwadar Port. Photo by Paranda, Wikipedia Commons.
BY SOUTH ASIA MONITOR MAY 28, 2016

By Pramod Jaiswal and Aditi Paul*

The groundbreaking ceremony for the new expressway, linking Peshawar and Karachi, was held on the first week of May this year in Pakistan. It is the single biggest transit project planned for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) which is a key project of China’s “One Belt, One Road Initiative”. The Peshawar–Karachi expressway will be 392 kilometers long, with a total contract cost of USD 2.9 billion, with a designed speed of 120 kilometers per hour. The construction of this huge infrastructure in Pakistan with Chinese investment has raised India’s security concerns. In this context, it would be worthwhile to understand CPEC, the feasibility of the project, China’s vested interest, strategic moves or calculations of the Pakistan Army, and the impact on India’s national interest.

Regionalism has failed to take off in South Asia due to political differences, congeneric economies, socio-religious cleavages and deep rooted conflicts between the states, particularly India and Pakistan. These differences have not only created an obstacle for proper galvanization of interest both within and around South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), but its procedural and operational products, such as the South Asian Free Trade Area (SAFTD) and other regional economic agreements are also suffering from lack of commitment. As a result, the member states of SAARC have chosen to collaborate with extra-regional powers in various bilateral and trilateral engagements. China has shown special interests in South Asia and the potential vast market that the region provides. However, it is the emerging power’s most ambitious geo-political and economically significant initiative called ‘One Belt, One Road’ (OBOR) that has necessitated China to befriend states of Asia, Europe, Middle East and Africa. It is through OBOR that China is building roads, railways, pipelines, communication networks and industrial economic zones for connecting and expanding its partnerships beyond Asia.

One such connecting thread in OBOR is the CPEC. It connects West China with Arabian Sea and seeks to economically transform the area from Pakistan to China’s north western Xinjiang province through a network of highways, railways and pipelines spreading across 3000 kilometers. CPEC provides China the opportunity to access the Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean. According to the five year development plan of China, CPEC values 17 percent of Pakistan’s GDP and has the capacity to generate more than 25000MW of electricity to the energy starved Pakistan.

Mega projects, like CPEC, require secure and stable environment for not just its construction but to reap its sustainable benefits. Pakistan is beset with political, economic, socio-cultural and security issues. And, it seems there is no safety for the USD 46 billion investment. Nawaz Sharif government believes that, if implemented successfully, CPEC will be a game-changer. It will provide economic growth and help to overcome threats from terrorism. But, the successful implementation of CPEC depends on the political situation of Pakistan. The state is entrenched with inter-provincial conflicts. There are repeated distress raised by the provinces on the massive and unequal distribution of resources, and non-transparent nature of the government’s actions on CPEC.

On the other hand, the Pakistani business communities believe that they are in a non-benefitting situation and the cheap Chinese products will harm the indigenous manufacturers. The economists argue that since the Chinese imports will have reduced or no taxes; there is a possibility that Pakistan’s economy will be negatively impacted and a steep decline in the revenue collection is estimated. In addition, the federal government of Pakistan has promised to build the western route so as to benefit Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, but its implementation is unlikely. As a result, CPEC is facing less encouragement from the political and economic stakeholders, and local people. Added to which, the whole Pakistan-China collaboration is being touted as Nawaz’s own political ambition.

Considering the conflict ridden state in Pakistan, China demands support and encouragement from the Pakistan army generals. Pakistan’s army has always played a dominant role in shaping and guiding Pakistan’s foreign and security policy. The state has sailed through four military coups since its independence in 1947. Interestingly, the Pakistan Army has taken special interest in this project. It called for installing a CPEC Authority for efficient plan execution. Over 15000 troops have been set up for overlooking the security of the Chinese workers and contractors involved in upgrading the transit facilities based in Balochistan, the stronghold of Afghan and Pakistan Taliban forces. However, it is argued that the greater involvement of the army vis-à-vis developmental projects with the external powers may heighten the ever-present civil-military tensions in Pakistan.

It is no secret that Pakistan is a breeding ground for dissensions and rebel groups. It becomes tedious then for viable bilateral and multilateral projects to work and sustain. For example, the Baloch rebels have constantly opposed the CPEC, and threaten to attack the people involved and destroy the infrastructures. Yet, projects like CPEC are important for the growth and prosperity of Pakistan. The proposed corridor and a place in the OBOR plan, has brought economic and strategic implications for Pakistan. As a result, crucial steps have beeb taken to remove obstacles in the path of CPEC. According to Media reports, the China Great Wall Industry Cooperation and the Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission have signed an agreement to install a Pakistan Remote Sensing Satellite (PRSS-1) System, to be launched in June 2018, for safeguarding and monitoring the execution of the plan.

Amidst these developments in the neighborhood, India is alarmed. It has objected to CPEC on the grounds that it runs through the disputed territory – Azad Kashmir (***). India has claimed that three divisions of the Chinese Army are stationed in the ***. Yet, there is clear lack of public debate on the impact of CPEC on India. The strategic thinkers need to articulate a clear stand on the situation because after the CPEC completes, China would have total access to the state of Pakistan and not just to ***. Therefore, the solution lies in aligning India with its ‘strategic partners’ and devise a pragmatic move at the earliest.

*Dr Pramod Jaiswal is Senior Research Officer at Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies, New Delhi and Aditi Paul is Research Scholar at Nelson Mandela Center for Peace and Conflict Resolution, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi. They can be reached at: editor@spsindia.in

http://www.eurasiareview.com/28052016-china-pakistan-economic-corridor-should-india-worry-analysis/


As soon as I saw the indian names of tne author. I knew this article would be BS and propaganda with regards to Pakistan.
 
gilgit baltistan is pakistan 5th province. indian consider kashmir integral part, can u tell me when did plebiscite took place in kashmir.
" As per the 1948 and 1949 UNCIPResolutions, both countries accept the principle, that Pakistan secures the withdrawal of Pakistani intruders followed by withdrawal of Pakistani and Indian forces, as a basis for the formulation of a Truce agreement whose details are to be arrived in future, followed by a plebiscite"
you speak as india is a super power and had already defined does and don't for the world. china is giving seperate visas to kashmiris and ur beloved friend iran don't support your kashmir cause. stop thinking like the world only listens to you.
 
There hasbeen a bombing today in Karachi in which one Chinese civilian was wounded. Rao Anwar has repeatedly blamed RAW for such attacks and support for the MQM. His views are not being aired by the media for some reason though.
 
India should be worried about CPEC project because

1: Pakistan will develop more control on Baluchistan, KPK,FATA & GB.

2: Militant insurgency will end up in West & South West Pakistan.

3: Pakistan influence will enhance over Iran, Afghanistan.

4: Relation of Pakistan with China & Central Asian countries will develop further.

5: China may develop Military base in Pakistan, particularly Naval base in Gwadar.

6: Expansion of Pak China navy will occur in Arabian Sea, Red sea as well as Indian ocean.

7: Presence of China on North of Kashmir will increase, so will be presence of Pakistan military to protect the route. It will dominate Kashmir issue also.

8: Economy of Pakistan will develop bringing boast in Defense Budget. Which will not be a welcome addition from Indian point of view.

9: Indian navy and trade vessels in Chabagar will remain under the shade of Gwadar and Juwani.

10: Pakistan will be forced to buy more sophisticated military equipment related to surveillance and deep strike missions. A unified presence of PN & PLAN will be direct challenge to Indian navy.

CPEC is game changer ........
 
Indian always say we don't give a fcuk for gwadar then why now and then they come up with this bullsh*t article s .so it really means gwadar nightmare is real and causing Indian insomnia [emoji30]
 
India should be worried about CPEC project because

1: Pakistan will develop more control on Baluchistan, KPK,FATA & GB.

2: Militant insurgency will end up in West & South West Pakistan.

3: Pakistan influence will enhance over Iran, Afghanistan.

4: Relation of Pakistan with China & Central Asian countries will develop further.

5: China may develop Military base in Pakistan, particularly Naval base in Gwadar.

6: Expansion of Pak China navy will occur in Arabian Sea, Red sea as well as Indian ocean.

7: Presence of China on North of Kashmir will increase, so will be presence of Pakistan military to protect the route. It will dominate Kashmir issue also.

8: Economy of Pakistan will develop bringing boast in Defense Budget. Which will not be a welcome addition from Indian point of view.

9: Indian navy and trade vessels in Chabagar will remain under the shade of Gwadar and Juwani.

10: Pakistan will be forced to buy more sophisticated military equipment related to surveillance and deep strike missions. A unified presence of PN & PLAN will be direct challenge to Indian navy.

CPEC is game changer ........
thats whats told to you by those who have invested heavly in lands surrounding the CEPC path but in real terms compition is alwys good and it bring more competeive rates and more coustmers get attracked towards a certain market which has two competiting sources ... all over the world buisness works like that

pakistan getting richer is in best interests of india cause when you have something to loose you become more intellegent and less reckless and advantorous hope you get my point sir ... no offence :coffee:
 

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