A1Kaid
PDF THINK TANK: ANALYST
- Joined
- Oct 20, 2008
- Messages
- 9,667
- Reaction score
- 8
- Country
- Location
Let's discuss the developing military standoff between China and India in Ladakh and Pakistan's interest.
China-India military standoff 2013
Today, reports confirm China is fortifying it's position inside Ladakh area with additional troops and armored vehicles and additional military hardware in China are en route to Ladakh. Indian Government has clearly demonstrated it is submissive and afraid to evict the Chinese army in Ladakh. India is in a very tough positions whether it be politically, militarily, and land wise. Any military response by India will most likely be met with a powerful Chinese military response, which I imagine will lead to a new border war, one that will be very quick and decisive. It is similar to the Russian-Georgia military conflict of 2008, only that one was 5-days long; the potential border war between China and India could last for more than a week; with China deciding when to end the war.
New Chinese President
One note I would like to make about the new Chinese president Xi Jinping, as I mentioned before about him he has demonstrated his assertive and confident leadership thus far and he is clearly more hawkish and aggressive with China's enemies. He has taken decisive steps in regards to China's interests and territorial claims.
Now the question becomes, will this standoff break out into actual military conflict, that question remains to be seen. Two results can occur, a diplomatic route where both armies withdraw from the area or some other agreement, the second a military conflict. If military conflict breaks out there is clearly no doubt China will be the victor by a crushing margin, China will probably not hesitate to strike elsewhere in India as well.
Stand of Pakistan
It is ideal and optimal for the Pakistani military to join China in this military standoff against India, it is very much in both nations interests. Coordinated Sino-Pak joint military strikes and operations can dismantle India's hold of occupied Kashmir and other territories. This will also lead to the significant systematic crippling of India's infantry, armored cavalry, air force, and any other Indian military units who take part in the conflict. Though the Indian military will not be destroyed of course, but it is simply highly unlikely for them to prevail in such a scenario.
The U.N
U.N will not be able to intervene to save India, China being a permanent member of the U.N can veto and resolution who wishes to.
The U.S
The United States may raise issue with the conflict and talks of the essence of stability, but I don't think the Obama administration will take sides in the conflict, but will possibly call for an end to violence.
Any international help to India?
Most likely there will be no assistance provided to India, not from Russia, not from Israel, not from anyone. No nation is going to favor India over China and harm it's relations with China over India.
India's interest
Best thing for India to do is withdraw from the area, unless it can afford all the costs of war.
A1
China-India military standoff 2013
Today, reports confirm China is fortifying it's position inside Ladakh area with additional troops and armored vehicles and additional military hardware in China are en route to Ladakh. Indian Government has clearly demonstrated it is submissive and afraid to evict the Chinese army in Ladakh. India is in a very tough positions whether it be politically, militarily, and land wise. Any military response by India will most likely be met with a powerful Chinese military response, which I imagine will lead to a new border war, one that will be very quick and decisive. It is similar to the Russian-Georgia military conflict of 2008, only that one was 5-days long; the potential border war between China and India could last for more than a week; with China deciding when to end the war.
New Chinese President
One note I would like to make about the new Chinese president Xi Jinping, as I mentioned before about him he has demonstrated his assertive and confident leadership thus far and he is clearly more hawkish and aggressive with China's enemies. He has taken decisive steps in regards to China's interests and territorial claims.
Now the question becomes, will this standoff break out into actual military conflict, that question remains to be seen. Two results can occur, a diplomatic route where both armies withdraw from the area or some other agreement, the second a military conflict. If military conflict breaks out there is clearly no doubt China will be the victor by a crushing margin, China will probably not hesitate to strike elsewhere in India as well.
Stand of Pakistan
It is ideal and optimal for the Pakistani military to join China in this military standoff against India, it is very much in both nations interests. Coordinated Sino-Pak joint military strikes and operations can dismantle India's hold of occupied Kashmir and other territories. This will also lead to the significant systematic crippling of India's infantry, armored cavalry, air force, and any other Indian military units who take part in the conflict. Though the Indian military will not be destroyed of course, but it is simply highly unlikely for them to prevail in such a scenario.
The U.N
U.N will not be able to intervene to save India, China being a permanent member of the U.N can veto and resolution who wishes to.
The U.S
The United States may raise issue with the conflict and talks of the essence of stability, but I don't think the Obama administration will take sides in the conflict, but will possibly call for an end to violence.
Any international help to India?
Most likely there will be no assistance provided to India, not from Russia, not from Israel, not from anyone. No nation is going to favor India over China and harm it's relations with China over India.
India's interest
Best thing for India to do is withdraw from the area, unless it can afford all the costs of war.
A1
