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China is winning electric cars 'arms race'

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China is winning electric cars 'arms race'

by Daniel Shane @CNNMoneyInvest

November 20, 2017: 7:49 AM ET


Electric cars of tomorrow

China is outmaneuvering the U.S. and other countries in the global scramble for a vital element for electric cars.

As demand for the vehicles surges, Chinese companies have been doing deals around the world to secure supplies of
lithium, a silvery-white metal mined from rocks in Australia and brine pools in South America.

China is the top market for electric and hybrid cars, accounting for roughly half of global sales, and the government is pushing the development of the industry within its borders. That calls for a lot of lithium, a key component of the vehicles' batteries.

"Whoever controls the lithium supply chain will control the future of the electric vehicle space," said Simon Moores, managing director at research and data provider Benchmark Mineral Intelligence. "There's a global battery arms race."

China has limited lithium resources of its own(wrong!:disagree:), so it's looking abroad.

In September, Chinese automaker Great Wall Motor (GWLLF) bought a stake in Pilbara Minerals(PILBF), an Australian lithium miner. Earlier this year, China's Ganfeng Lithium snapped up 20% of an Argentine project. Last year, China's Tianqi Lithium took a 2% stake in Chile's SQM (SQM), one of the world's top miners of the metal.

The Chinese government has been quietly instructing state-owned enterprises to hunt down lithium resources outside China, according to Francois Perrin, a portfolio manager at investment firm East Capital. He predicts that over the next few years, China will wield increasing influence over the supply of lithium and other metals used in electric batteries.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said he didn't have any specific information on the trend of Chinese investment in lithium supplies.

"We always strive to deepen economic cooperation with all countries in all fields, including in energy and auto sectors," he said in response to a question from CNN. "I wouldn't find it surprising if there is Chinese cooperation with other countries in mining certain minerals."

171031121154-salt-flats-lithium-bolivia-780x439.jpg

Some South American countries like Bolivia have large natural supplies of lithium in salt flats.

The Chinese firms involved in the recent deals didn't respond to requests for comment. Neither did the National Development and Reform Commission, which helps guide the country's economic policies.

Beijing has a track record of directing Chinese companies to do its bidding, such as squeezing South Korea's tourism industry earlier this year over a dispute with Seoul over a U.S. missile defense system.

It also has history of using crucial natural resources under its control as diplomatic weapons: it was widely accused of restricting exports in 2010 of a group of minerals that are vital for many high-tech devices.

The pursuit of lithium for electric cars fits with Chinese President Xi Jinping's plans, according to analysts.

"China's aggressive moves in the lithium sector speak to the country taking leadership around important issues such as public health and fighting climate change," said Chris Berry, founder of research firm House Mountain Partners. China wants to be a global leader in lithium, from mining the metal to processing it, he said.

Western companies haven't so far shown much interest in the kinds of investments for electric cars made by their Chinese counterparts, according to experts.

"They're late to the party," Moores said.

Like China, the U.S. and Europe have few lithium resources of their own and rely on supplies shipped from elsewhere. Tesla (TSLA) and other electric car makers could end up scrambling for a limited supply of crucial resources where China is the biggest player.

170725081602-electric-vs-electrified-cars-1024x576.jpg

What's the difference between electric and electrified cars?

The growing global appetite for lithium is already driving up its price. It's gained 40% since the start of the year to trade around $14,000 per ton, according to Benchmark Mineral Intelligence.

"This is an incredible bull market like lithium's never seen," Moores said.

A lot of the demand comes from China's large and growing battery manufacturing industry.

Tesla's huge Gigafactory in the Nevada desert gets a lot of headlines, but China produces about two-thirds of the global supply of batteries for electric vehicles, according to Benchmark Mineral Intelligence. And the firm estimates that China is building about half of the 20 or more battery mega-factories currently in the works.

With the biggest market for electric vehicles and the biggest battery supply, China is making itself an inescapable destination for global automakers. They have been lining up recently to announce plans to make their electric cars in the country.

171010180402-byd-car-780x439.jpg

A concept car unveiled by Chinese electric car maker BYD at the Shanghai auto show in April.

"The message to Tesla and other aspiring electric vehicle makers: 'You are free to produce anywhere in the world, but better to produce electric vehicles inside China,'" said Michael Dunne, head of Hong Kong-based consultant Dunne Automotive.

Tesla has said its working on plans for building its cars in China. Volkswagen (VLKAY), the world's biggest automaker, has just announced a $12 billion plan to make electric cars in the country. Experts say others will soon follow.

Related: Volkswagen needs batteries that would fill 4 Gigafactories

And it's not just lithium that China's locking down.

Cobalt, another metal used to make electric vehicle batteries, is even scarcer. Almost two-thirds of supply is mined in the Democratic Republic of Congo, a war-torn country in central Africa.

Last year, China bought a majority stake in Congo's biggest cobalt mine for more than $2.5 billion, helping secure long-term supply of the metal. Since that deal, the price of cobalt has more than doubled.

"The cobalt supply situation is a serious concern," Perrin said.

http://money.cnn.com/2017/11/20/investing/lithium-china-electric-car-batteries/index.html
 
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China has limited lithium resources of its own(wrong!:disagree:), so it's looking abroad.

According to this source, China has the second largest reserves of lithium.

https://investingnews.com/daily/res...g/lithium-investing/lithium-reserves-country/

However seeing that China accounts for around 2/3rd of lithium battery production perhaps it's not enough?

Also, I have heard, and I am not sure about this so I am looking deeper into this, that Chinese reserves are not high quality and some are in the form if brine in qinghai lake all of which are not easy to extract.

Anyways the biggest bottleneck today js not lithium, but cobalt. That is one huge issue. One country sits over 2/3rd of the supply and it is politically and economically unstable and unreliable.
 
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This century Question will be...
Who's gonna find the next ( red/blue/White/yellow) gold under his soil...? And Who's gonna be the next Lith"currency" of the new age...

For those who didn't understand... who's gonna be the Next KSA...who's gonna be the next currency aligned to that new gold...

Afghanistan is said to have the biggest Lithium reserve...
 
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Western companies haven't so far shown much interest in the kinds of investments for electric cars made by their Chinese counterparts, according to experts.

This, unfortunately, is an advantage that a state-owned/supported enterprise has over a private company. Most private CEOs (especially ones without technical background) are only interested in short-term earning/returns and are naturally risk averse. This explains why only a select few private companies like Tesla are making forays into electric cars.
 
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This, unfortunately, is an advantage that a state-owned/supported enterprise has over a private company. Most private CEOs (especially ones without technical background) are only interested in short-term earning/returns and are naturally risk averse. This explains why only a select few private companies like Tesla are making forays into electric cars.

Tesla is frankly the example of companies not having a hold over their reserves. Tesla literally relies on Panasonic for the metals and supply chain which buys it largely from Chinese suppliers.
 
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Tesla is frankly the example of companies not having a hold over their reserves. Tesla literally relies on Panasonic for the metals and supply chain which buys it largely from Chinese suppliers.
His hyper loop is a financial scam.
 
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His hyper loop is a financial scam.

Half of his stuff is a financial scam. He is a huge purveyor of Bullshit.

Though I personally don't know that mcih about his hyper loop.

However some of his businesses are indeed revolutionary. Space X for example is incredibly amazing.
 
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This, unfortunately, is an advantage that a state-owned/supported enterprise has over a private company. Most private CEOs (especially ones without technical background) are only interested in short-term earning/returns and are naturally risk averse. This explains why only a select few private companies like Tesla are making forays into electric cars.

Especially considering EV is a rapidly growing industry. EV like any other auto/manufacturing business is high CAPEX, requiring financing. For the finance department it makes much more sense to scale up production and reduce unit costs (increase margins) than it is to vertically integrate which will increase losses and payback period. Vertical integration only comes into play after market saturation.

Western private companies will likely be less invested in the Congo cobalt boom than China due to higher risks and concerns with fair trade, although they still want to access its supply. They will likely increase production in less risky countries such as Canada and Australia and buy the rest from Chinese suppliers in Congo. China can mitigate some risks in Congo with coordinated efforts between government and corporate.

I'm going to dig deeper into the cobalt industry to find some suitable investments, since the industry looks promising.
Cobalt-market-growth-trends-570x273.png


Very soon the cobalt squeeze will cause a global cobalt mining boom.
“Even in the most conservative assumptions, you’re looking at maybe a 20 percent gap between supply and demand for cobalt by 2025.”

“First Cobalt Corp., a Canadian miner exploring in the Cobalt area, has soared 90 percent this year. Cobalt 27 Capital Corp., another miner, based in British Columbia, has jumped almost 600 percent. Neither company has any revenue.”

The best speculation buys IMO are greenfield, exploration companies.
Congo-map-Bloomberg-570x383.png


China has a vertically integrated supply chain which will help reduce costs and have cobalt supply control advantage compared to Japan and South Korea.
22c9528b77427039f0e76316a93766631eac6863.jpg
 
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.. And here I thought the US troops insisted on staying there for the poppy field!!

How silly am I:rofl:
the reserve is in kunar provience bordered with Pakistan don't worry no one is getting it we just fired 500 missiles in a week over it.
 
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the reserve is in kunar provience bordered with Pakistan don't worry no one is getting it we just fired 500 missiles in a week over it.
You did the digging for them. :partay:

They had 1 dead. I hope it ends there and they don't return the favor. :sniper:
 
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Kudos to China.
Mining boom in Afghanistan will benefit Pakistan too. Many parts of the industrial supply chain for mineral refining will be placed in Pakistan. Minerals will be processed, refined, and shipped out through Gwadar and Karachi for China/international markets. Eventually the readily available supply of rare earths, lithium, cobalt, etc. will give Pakistan a secure base for developing its own vertically integrated electronics industry.

This chart is not counting the $2 trillion worth of lithium in Afghanistan.
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