Chengdu J-20 5th Generation Aircraft News & Discussions

[LKJ86]

That's you assumption or you have a reliable backup for your claim @LKJ86

Wait and see.

 

[ozranger]

That's you assumption or you have a reliable backup for your claim @LKJ86

Different sources indicated that WS-15 will progress to higher level testing this year. By the time we are talking, it might have already happened.

 

[lcloo]

The two polar world, non-Chinese posters always insist on photo evidence to be convinced mainly because they can not decipher Chinese media, while Chinese posters filtered through pictorial and written media and do educated guess on current status of development and come to a personal conclusion.

Just agree to disagree on method of assessing current development, there is un-ending to and fro argument if we don't accept others, let the others think what they want. At the end either side could be wrong when the truth unveiled.

 

[LKJ86]

CG
https://m.weibo.cn/2149981442/4296799583761350

 

[samsara]

The J-20, China's 5th generation Stealth Jet Fighter, has been equipped with the new domestic engines — CCTV Short Clip 20181018

歼-20改进型细节首次曝光 已装备新型国产发动机 | 小央视频

 

[Figaro]

That's you assumption or you have a reliable backup for your claim @LKJ86

LKJ usually has credible sources ... I wouldn’t doubt him

 

[LKJ86]

LKJ usually has credible sources ... I wouldn’t doubt him

No No No, I am no one special.

 

[Deino]

No No No, I am no one special.

IMO you are ... and you are also very much modest.

 

[LKJ86]

IMO you are ... and you are also very much modest.

I just tell the true, and don't take me seriously.

 

[TruthHurtz]

How many J-20 in service now?

 

[lcloo]

How many J-20 in service now?

No one outside AVIC is to be told, so we don't really know.

There are rumour of four production lines (unconfirmed) for J20, even if this is half true it still equate to two production line. During this low production period (common on initial years for new type aircraft production) minimum out put, IMO would be one aircraft every 2 months or 6 aircrafts in a year. On maximum 3 aircraft roll out every 2 month, or 18 aircraft each year.

Taking the median of this assumption, i.e. (18+6)/2 = 12 aircraft a year.

Disregard the first production year's (2016) out put, we have 1 1/2 years production run by now, the factory rolled out would be around 18 aircrafts.

Add this to the 3 aircrafts sighted during 2016, the total would be 21, using statistical median method.

Bear in mind, this is just an assumption. Forget about official confirmed numbers, you won't get one for many years to come.

 

[LKJ86]

 

[LKJ86]

https://m.weibo.cn/1740979351/4298204029538236

 

[LKJ86]

 

[LKJ86]

J-20 & IL-78