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Can Turkey Cause a Global Power Shift in Joining the SCO?

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20 February 2013

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Is Turkey about to join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)?

After years of delay on its application to join the European Union (EU) as a full member, Turkey has made overtures to the SCO as an alternative to the EU.

Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan said after a meeting with Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin that Turkey was seriously considering becoming a member of the SCO instead of continuing its efforts to join the EU.

‘The European Union needs to stop stalling us,’ Erdogan said. ‘We have a strong economy. I told [Putin], “You should include us in the Shanghai Five [the former name of the SCO] and we will say farewell to the European Union.” The Shanghai Five is much better off economic-wise. It is much more powerful. We told them, “If you say come, we will”.’

What’s the Shanghai Cooperation Organization?​

The SCO’s full members are China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. Mongolia, India, Iran and Pakistan have observer status in the SCO while Turkey is a dialogue partner along with Sri Lanka and Belarus.

Originally formed in 1996 to demilitarize the border between China and the former Soviet Union, the SCO was expanded in 2001 to include Uzbekistan.

According to a background study by the Council on Foreign Relations, the SCO has the potential to be an important body for regional energy and security cooperation in Central Asia, but has so far not achieved anything substantial.

Both China and Russia have secured bilateral agreements with other SCO members to build pipelines from the energy-rich Caspian Sea region to their respective home markets but this has taken place outside of the SCO.

‘The competing efforts of Russia and China to secure influence in the region are a potential obstacle to extensive SCO energy cooperation,’ the Council on Foreign Relations concluded.

If genuine energy cooperation could be achieved by the SCO, particularly if it included Iran, that would be a boon for Turkey, which depends on imported energy to fuel its rapidly growing economy.

Would SCO Bid Affect Turkey’s NATO Status?​

Turkey is a member of NATO, while the SCO is seen as acting as a counterweight to American interests in Central Asia – if not outright anti-American.

The SCO has called for U.S. troops to leave the region but the U.S. has military bases in several Central Asian countries, including SCO members Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, to support the war in Afghanistan.

Although those bases are subject to bilateral agreements with the countries involved and not with the SCO, the issue of what happens to those bases when the U.S. withdraws from Afghanistan at the end of 2014 will be a thorny one.

Of course, the U.S. has a major military presence in Turkey. If Turkey joins the SCO, what will happen to the U.S. bases there? Will Turkey want to withdraw from NATO?

As the U.S. State Department said, if Turkey joins the SCO, it will be ‘interesting’.

SCO a Cover for Big Power Diplomacy?​

Many experts feel that the SCO can never be an effective security or energy cooperative organization because of its membership.

Russia has a proprietary interest in the Central Asian countries Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, which used to be part of the Soviet Union, and clearly wants to keep rival China out.

For its part, China wants to get access to the energy-rich area around the Caspian Sea which, according to the BP Energy Survey, holds about 21% of the world’s oil and 45% of the world’s natural gas.

Would Russia or China really welcome Turkey, a significant power with regional ambitions of its own, into the SCO?

That, too, would be ‘interesting’.

Can Turkey Cause a Global Power Shift in Joining the SCO? | Money Morning - AU
 
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Its better to stay away from EU and SCO,we are doing just fine.
We could be a bridge between both organisations(EU-SCO),so east and west.
We could be the only country with that status,good ties with both sides.
 
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Its better to stay away from EU and SCO,we are doing just fine.
We could be a bridge between both organisations(EU-SCO),so east and west.
We could be the only country with that status,good ties with both sides.

That sounds like a good idea actually. :tup:
 
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That sounds like a good idea actually. :tup:

Actually, the only better choice is if Turkey is joint to both organizations. It can serve as a better bridge that way. There are plenty of countries between SCO and EU that is not part of either org. But if Turkey can be part of both, it would be unique. And no one said that if you are in one, you cannot join another.
 
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Actually, the only better choice is if Turkey is joint to both organizations. It can serve as a better bridge that way. There are plenty of countries between SCO and EU that is not part of either org. But if Turkey can be part of both, it would be unique. And no one said that if you are in one, you cannot join another.

That's right. It is possible to be in NATO and join the SCO as well, there are no rules against that.

Since the SCO is not an aligned block, it is actually a mutually cooperative group.
 
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Turkey is in transition process both internally and externally, i will take another 5 to 10 years time to fix its axis. No country with the geography, religiosity, ethnicity, economy and military of Turkey's stature remain indifferent to its near abroad.

In my view Turkey will elevate its association with SCO from dialogue partner to observer in coming years and later will fix its course according to its natural inclination. One thing is sure about Turkey that it cannot stay away from the Europe as it has always been European (transcontinental) power.

EU is no more an economic advantage to Turkey, if ever Turkey gets the membership it will go to Norway’s way of referendum. More importantly Turkey’s relationship with NATO that will get affected with the advancement of SCO not the EU so Erdogan faultlessly smacked two birds with stone.
 
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Actually, the only better choice is if Turkey is joint to both organizations. It can serve as a better bridge that way. There are plenty of countries between SCO and EU that is not part of either org. But if Turkey can be part of both, it would be unique. And no one said that if you are in one, you cannot join another.
If possible,that would be a better idea.
I dont think that would be acceptable by both sides,but if so why not?
 
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Nobody knows what SCO is. If Turkey joins a no-name club, it is going to shake nothing.
 
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Turkey is a member of NATO, it seems impossible that Turkey will be in both organizations simultaneously with conflicting ideologies.
 
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Nobody knows what SCO is. If Turkey joins a no-name club, it is going to shake nothing.

China will never want Turkey in SCO because Turkic nation of Central Asia shares same cultural and linguistic bonds with Turkey putting challenge to China intention of domination in Gas rich central Asia. Infact, because of same fear China don't want India too as full member of SCO.
 
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Turkey is a member of NATO, it seems impossible that Turkey will be in both organizations simultaneously with conflicting ideologies.

Even US has applied for observer status but declined by the SCO. Russia has permanent observer in NATO, Turkey will only be observer for say, coming 5-6 years .
 
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