Can anyone else forsee a War between Afghanistan and Pakistan??

[Spring Onion]

with which weapon they will fight with us ? a super tocano aircraft

with the same weapon which they had been using against NATO.

 

[Imran Khan]

with the same weapon which they had been using against NATO.

you means BAD-DUA ? ahahahahha

 

[Indian_Devil]

So Taliban is more important than Afghanistan for Pakistan???

 

[graphican]

No chance of war with Afghanistan. You fight wars when you have exhausted all other avenues of influence and on Afghanistan, we have sufficient control.

 

[Paksanity]

Let's put sentiments aside for a while.

I'm afraid some of Ghani,s advisor will prompt him to go for such strategic gamble. I hope he is wise enough not to take this advice and other players san India will drive some sense into him. Why such advice and what they would seek to gain from it?

Diversion. In the wake of recent losses to TTA, ANA needs to turn attention of masses to Pakistan. Government also needs to save it's face. Pakistan serves as go to place for diverting all blame from their internal failures in Afghan psyche.

Unity. Afghan society is divided and that is no good for fighting TTA. Creating a war hysteria serves as a tool to unite Afghans against perceived proxy of Pakistan; TTA. Afghans have traditionally united against common enemy.

Diplomatic mileage. Afghan government will seek to gain some diplomatic mileage from regional and international enemies of Pakistan at the pretext of being victim of Pakistan. Gaining support from India and perhaps from US and probably Iran. This will be critical to curtail Pakistan's military muscle which they can not match. Given continued US presence in Afghanistan and security agreement, Pakistan will not be able to launch severe blows deep inside. Recent withholding of CSF by US on pretext of sparing Haqqani network is a hint for a wise to sense.

Dilemma game with Pakistan. Answering to Afghan agression will, no doubt put Pakistan in a dilemma. Destroying ANA will be portrayed as Pakistan fighting on behalf of Taliban. Indian camp will be like "look, we told you so!". Not fighting will only embolden aggression.


This however is a gamble. It can ruin Afghanistan. If Pakistan destroys already miserable ANA, Taliban will run over Afghanistan's cities including Kabul. Forcing refugees back will also put them in lot of trouble. Add stringent border control especially smuggling of commodities, arms and narcotics and Afghanistan might desend into chaos. This is a situation that might force US to rethink it's exit schedule, something they definitely are not looking forward to.

Let's not forget regional players here. China, Russia and US favour some form of normalcy for their economic gains like pipelines, regional access as well as terrorism spreading to their societies. Afghan establishment lives off their aid. They can punish ANA leadership by denying them this free money. Hostile Afghanistan will however complicate our terrorism fight and we might continue to see sporadic attacks. Our forces will also get engaged on western border, something we don't look forward too.

In the end, all I can do is pray Afghans come out of suicide mindset. They are like "if there is no peace in my country then I will not let you live peacefully" . They should be like "let's admit peace in both countries is reliant on each other. I will cater for your concerns and you cater for mine".

 

[Armstrong]

@Icarus - Can't we kick out a few thousand illegal Afghans just to drive home the 'gravity' of our 'potential' displeasure ?

 

[mpk1988]

Nope. There will not be a full fledged war. Maybe a proxy war, along with border skirmishes and other stuff, but that's it. Tensions will rise and they will fall. Afghanistan cannot afford a full-fledged war and it is not in the interest of India too.

 

[Icarus]

@Icarus - Can't we kick out a few thousand illegal Afghans just to drive home the 'gravity' of our 'potential' displeasure ?

We could but the government is not convinced that its such an issue that it should be escalated like that.

 

[Spring Onion]

We could but the government is not convinced that its such an issue that it should be escalated like that.

sensible unconvincing

you means BAD-DUA ? ahahahahha

 

[smhd834]

Pakistan is trying so hard to tie good relations with Afghanistan...I Don't see Pakistan vs Afghanistan in coming wars

 

[kaonalpha]

I think my cat can take on Afghanistan just need to give laser weapons and and a mind controlled nuclear capable cat Plane.

 

[Stealth | Hawk]

Afghanis know that they can't afford a full scale war with Pakistan.What can they deploy exactly? Their Army is not trained and they might use Taliban against us but in a conventional war they will fall like insects.Afghanistan has no solid Air defence.It will take 24 hours for our Air Force to wipe out all major cities.

 

[Spring Onion]

I think my cat can take on Afghanistan just need to give laser weapons and and a mind controlled nuclear capable cat Plane.

then you can be rich man please sell your cat to NATO

Afghanis know that they can't afford a full scale war with Pakistan.What can they deploy exactly? Their Army is not trained and they might use Taliban against us but in a conventional war they will fall like insects.Afghanistan has no solid Air defence.It will take 24 hours for our Air Force to wipe out all major cities.

India thinks the same about Pakistan but at the end of that no sensible nation and country can afford a war including Pakistan otherwise by now INdia would have attacked Pakistan and Bangladesh and Pakistan would have attacked Afghanistan

 

[Stealth | Hawk]

then you can be rich man please sell your cat to NATO



India thinks the same about Pakistan but at the end of that no sensible nation and country can afford a war including Pakistan otherwise by now INdia would have attacked Pakistan and Bangladesh and Pakistan would have attacked Afghanistan

Not exactly.India might have thought that way in the past but after 4 wars I am sure they consider us serious threat.If not then they are plain stupid.We are Nuclear power.We have solid Air defence.In comparison Afghanistan is plain dependent on Pakistan.The only way they can harm us is through proxies which they are doing.I am praying that they start a conventional war because in that case the proxies would end and they have nothing to defend themselves.

 

[Mughal-Prince]

Using a word war is somewhat over kill. I foresee a total control of Pakistan over Afghanistan in near future. How it's been tackled that will time tell.