Saif al-Arab
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The Iranian community in Dubai (which is relatively large) is quite concerning too. I hope the UAE leadership will consider a civilized way of gradually reducing the number of Iranian residents there. Examples include sharp rise in visa fees, prolonging visa issuance/renewal time, random rejection cases of visa approval for security suspicion...etc. It could also include so many bureaucratic measures on the receipt and dispatch of money from and to Iran in strict implementation of anti-money laundering, and anti-terror laws.
Expats (non-nationals) can always be dealt with relatively easily using legal measures. Some of which that you have mentioned. An easy solution would be economic measures that would make life intolerable for 99% of them. Thus forcing them to leave gradually. Anyway as things stand now UAE gains from their presence and the UAE-Iran trade is also hugely in favor of UAE. Goes for all GCC states. I think this is the main reason that they are tolerated. Aside from the historical relations (pre-Mullah regime) that people of Eastern Arabia and Southern Iran have.
In fact in case of a war those expat communities could become an asset.
Basically I would not worry as even nationals of GCC can be stripped of their nationality and this has been used in Bahrain for traitors and Qatar (Al Ghafran) has been using this some 10 years ago or so if I recall.
Anyway once the Mullah's are toppled (question of time) I think that things can return to a more sane relationship as pre-1979. So my measures are only due to the ground realities. I don't really have any problem with some Iranian (regardless of ethnicity) in Bandar Abbas, Bushehr, Ahwaz, Shiraz or elsewhere. Of course my opinion and that of 99,9% of all Arabs (I assume this to be the case quite confidently) is that as long as you are not anti-Arab we will not be hostile to you.
For instance I also believe it is a duty of GCC citizens to report any anti-local sentiments of expats (regardless of where they are from) so such hostile people can be deported.
Perhaps you are right. But the UAE is more than capable of finding a better trading partner than Iran. Keep in mind also that the sanctions played a role in increasing the trading between the UAE and Iran as Dubai was shomhow the breathing point for Iranians.
The UAE-Iran trade balance is hugely in favor of UAE.
https://financialtribune.com/articl...3/upward-trend-in-iran-uae-trade-transactions
Let us not forget that GCC is the center of capitalism in the region. Money will always win in the end and this is what makes the world go around. A lot will be tolerated for the sake of money. Even things that are not ideal. I have discussed this problematic a few times with Emiratis. However they have all the cards in their favor so I would not worry.
However obviously in the current regional climate everyone should be on their toes. However the GCC is still one of the most cosmopolitan and open areas of the world for outsiders and that has its benefits as well obviously.
A healthy balance needs to be found for the smaller GCC states and that is an ongoing process. Obviously the percentage of expats whether fellow Arabs or non-Arabs, will fall gradually.
I don't think so it is happening soon..keeping in view Iran is the 3rd or 4th largest trading partner of Iran...correct me if am wrong ....What you are suggesting can only be done once the relationship at trade level decreased too..
This could be very easy for Kuwait and Bahrain ...
Qatar is also close to Iran and taking a different line i believe due to there economic reason..Though i believe and agree UAE on geopolitics is aligned with KSA ..
Qatar is not allied to Iran at all. The only thing that plays any role here is the shared gas field. Qatar is nowhere near aligned to Iran politically. The current dispute won't change anything in this regard.
Besides we are talking about a country (Qatar) with a native population of barely 300.000 people. If anything it is a large US military base. If not for that base and US/regional fear of KSA hegemony (natural resources and in the GCC) KSA would have invaded that country (in theory) within 1 hour.
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