As of now,
PTI and smaller parties:
116(PTI) + 4 (PMLQ) + 2 (GDA) + 6 (MQM) + 2 (BNP) + 13 (INDP) + 1 (AML) =
143
But candidates with multiple seats will reduced PTI and allied count to = 6 (PTI) + 2 (Ch. Elahi) =
135
Seats on Quota: [ in total there are 70 reserved seats]
PTI is expected to get 39 reserved seats i.e. 25 (women) + 4 (minorities) = 29
MQM-P = 1
GDA + AML + PMLQ = 0 (I think)
Which makes Grand total to = 135 + 29 + 1 = 165
Grand Opposition:
64 (PMLN) + 43 (PPP) + 13 (MMA) + 4 (BAP) + 1 (JWP) + 1 (ANP) =
126
Hamza Sharif will leave his MNA seat as well so Opposition final count will likely be
= 125
Seats on Quota:
PMLN : ?? 16 to 18
PPP : ?? 8 to 10
BAP : 1
MMA : 2 or 3
Grand total of opposition = 125 + 18 + 10 + 1 + 3 = 157
Here is where IK will be elected as PM after second round of polling since no one was able to secure 172 mark during first polling. I am not sure about about reserved seats of opposition but PTI and allied reserved quota seats are CONFIRMED by Express Tribune. If PTI manages to secure the support of BAP and 1 seat of JWP than IK might be selected during first round voting itself. For now, 4 NA INDPs are confirmed. Needs 9 more fast.
@BHarwana @PakSword @Zibago @IceCold