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Bangladesh to overcome power shortage next year

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Bangladesh to overcome power shortage next year

Bangladesh to overcome power shortage next year - thenews.com.pk

Sabir Shah
Wednesday, June 06, 2012
From Print Edition

As Pakistan continues to struggle with possibly the worst electricity crisis witnessed by any nation on the planet ever, even countries like Bangladesh have chalked out a strategy to bridge the gap between the demand and supply of this basic utility through diversification of energy sources for power generation to ensure the country’s future.



Bangladesh, which also produces electricity through high-cost rental power plants, will have an overall electricity generation of 9,839 megawatts (MW) by 2013 against the demand for 8,340 MW.



Moreover, this country (called East Pakistan till 1971) has set a target to generate around 30,000 MW of electricity by the year 2030.



According to a recent edition of “The Financial Express,” an esteemed Bangladeshi daily newspaper, the country’s Finance Minister AMA Muhith has said that the country would have no electricity crisis after 2013 when the generation would exceed total demand for power.



The government of Bangladesh has set a target to generate around 30,000 MW of electricity by 2030.




“The Financial Express” had quoted Finance Minister Muhith as saying: “The government has taken steps to ease the country’s electricity crisis, which was rampant after 1991. We are implementing projects to change the scenario and are hopeful that it will surpass the demand by next year. Our overall export witnessed a 41 per cent growth in last fiscal year 2010-11, compared to that of the previous year, only due to increase in electricity supply. Bangladesh has now proved its potentials to be a prospective country in the international arena. We, however, need to diversify our energy sources for electricity generation.”



A tentative research conducted by The News International in this context reveals that although rolling blackouts have commonly been seen in many developing countries like Pakistan, India, South Africa, North Korea, Philippines and Tajikistan, even developed nations like the United States, Japan and Ireland have also witnessed temporary electricity crises in not-so-distant past.



In 2000 and 2001, the American state of California had to bear an acute shortage of electricity caused by market manipulations by Messrs Enron and illegal shutdowns of pipelines by some Texas-based energy consortiums.



The California state hence suffered from numerous serious rolling blackouts (load shedding), which were actually triggered by drought, delays in approval of new power plants and market manipulation, eventually leading to an 800 per cent increase in wholesale prices from April 2000 to December 2000.



The intentional stoppage of electricity delivery for non-overlapping periods had resultantly affected many businesses dependent upon a reliable supply of electricity; besides causing massive inconvenience to a large number of Californian retail consumers.



At the time of this crisis, California had an installed generating capacity of 45 Giga Watts (GW) ——-that is equivalent to one billion Watts or 1000 MW—- against the demand of 28 GW. The crisis had cost California between $40 and $45 billion.



Traders were thus able to sell power at premium prices, sometimes up to a factor of 20 times its normal value.



During that time, California issued licenses to 38 new power plants, amounting to the addition of 14,365 megawatts of electricity production when completed. Rolling blackouts were again imposed in late August 2005 in Southern California due to the loss of a key transmission line.



This transmission line had shut itself off because of a faulty sensor.



It is important to note that in April 2006, parts of Texas State had also reportedly experienced blackouts due to excessive air conditioner use in unexpectedly high temperatures.



The longest power outage lasted for a period of five hours, affecting areas in the Middle to the South of Texas.



In February 2011, North and Central Texas had experienced rolling blackouts due to 50 power plants tripping offline.



California had become the first US state in 1996 to deregulate its $23 billion electric utility industry. Until that time, the investor-owned utilities — Pacific Gas & Electric, Southern California Edison and San Diego Electric — controlled both power production and supply. But the law promised to deliver cheaper rates to consumers by ending their monopolistic hold over the energy market and increasing competition.



While former Californian Governor Gray Davis’s critics continue to blame him for not responding properly to the crisis, his defenders attribute the crisis to the power trading fraud and corporate accounting scandals.



(References: The San Francisco Chronicle archives, Arianna Huffington’s book “Governor Davis and the failure of power,” Christopher Weare’s book “The California Electricity Crisis: Causes and Policy Options” and the Associated Press reports etc)



In Japan, power outages starting on March 14, 2011 had raised many an eyebrow across the globe. These power shortages, which are still persisting, were caused by the 2011 earthquake and tsunami. The Tokyo Electric Power Company, which normally provides approximately 40,000 MW of electricity, was left with no other option but to announce that it could only provide about 30,000 MW, a shortfall of 25 per cent.



This was because about 40 percent of the electricity used in the greater Tokyo area was supplied by nuclear power plants, and two of these installations were shut down when the first earthquake occurred and sustained major damage related to the earthquake and subsequent tsunami.



Very recently on May 18, 2012, the Japanese government had asked companies in the Chubu area, where Messrs Toyota Boshoku is based, to cut electricity usage by five per cent compared with 2010 on business days from July 2 to September 28 this year.



(Reference: Bloomberg TV report)



“The Japan Times” (May 15, 2012 edition) writes: “Two weeks after the last working nuclear reactor was shut down as a result of the Fukushima nuclear crisis, the energy-hungry nation is struggling to figure out how to bridge the gap. While the government has not yet issued a target for industrial power cuts, significant reductions appear certain and could reportedly climb as high as 20 percent in the Kansai region, which includes the commercial hubs of Osaka, Kyoto and Kobe.”



The prestigious Japanese daily further maintains: “The world’s worst nuclear accident in a generation, sparked by a devastating quake and tsunami in March 2011, turned public sentiment against nuclear power, which supplied one-third of the import-dependent nation’s electricity. That has stoked a search for expensive alternatives, with utility Kansai Electric last month booking a $3 billion annual loss from reviving its mothballed thermal power plants, which burn fossil fuels.”



On several occasions in the 1970s and 1980s, trade union strikes in Ireland’s power utility, the Electricity Supply Board, had led to rolling blackouts.



However, blackouts have not occurred for this reason since 1991.



According to a BBC report of January 4, 2012, about 35,000 people had suffered power cuts due to storms at the start of this year.



BBC had quoted the Northern Ireland Electricity in its afore-cited report.



In India too, rolling blackouts are common in areas like New Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Bihar, West Bengal, Assam, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Andhra Pradesh, though the states of Punjab, Goa, Gujarat and Kerala are largely free of any load shedding due to surplus power. Karnataka and Orissa still occasionally experience power cuts.



In its May 31, 2012 edition, “The Times of India” writes: “Courtesy, the unscheduled and unannounced cuts in addition to the regular ones, more than 5,000 medium and small scale industries are forced to bear the brunt of production loss, in addition to facing the heat of expenses incurred by them in day-to-day running of their units. So is the case of residents as well as farmers of the three district districts who are sweating it out on account of longer power cuts varying between four to nine hours daily.”



South Africa, North Korea, Philippines and Tajikistan are some of the other countries that have been ‘greeted’ by painful power cuts during the last few years.
 
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Reality is, we have power shortage of 10,000 mw or more this year. Inept govt of Bangladesh has so far failed to address the problem of today's shortage. But, the govt is always good at futuristic projections.
 
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Reality is, we have power shortage of 10,000 mw or more this year. Inept govt of Bangladesh has so far failed to address the problem of today's shortage. But, the govt is always good at futuristic projections.

Funny thing is most of these Awami future predictions gets international media coverage. You have to admit the BALs are
master of publicity stunts.
 
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Funny thing is most of these Awami future predictions gets international media coverage. You have to admit the BALs are
master of publicity stunts.

Because bal's master is the best in the world in media based fake publicity stunts, spreading false propaganda etc. ..lolz.
 
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Reality is, we have power shortage of 10,000 mw or more this year. Inept govt of Bangladesh has so far failed to address the problem of today's shortage. But, the govt is always good at futuristic projections.

:woot: shortage of 10,000 MW means that you want to say that BD requires 18,000 MW

8,340 MW present generation capacity + 10000 MW shortage (as per u)
 
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:woot: shortage of 10,000 MW means that you want to say that BD requires 18,000 MW

8,340 MW present generation capacity + 10000 MW shortage (as per u)

Shortage is in between 1000-1500 mw. He just made a typing mistake. Current government has made a road map to produce 15000 MW by 2015 and 9000 by 2013. Thats what the minister said. Whether they will be able to achieve that or not its a different issue.
 
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পাগলে কিনা বলে, ছাগলে কিনা খায়ে! :lol:
 
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Shortage is in between 1000-1500 mw. He just made a typing mistake. Current government has made a road map to produce 15000 MW by 2015 and 9000 by 2013. Thats what the minister said. Whether they will be able to achieve that or not its a different issue.

In July 2010 Awami League regime said Power crisis to be solved by 2012
Power crisis to be solved by 2012: Muhith | Politics | bdnews24.com

In Dec 2010 Awami regime said Power crisis to end by 2015
http://www.thedailystar.net/newDesign/news-details.php?nid=167461

In 2012 Awami regime saying power crisis will end magically by next year (conveniently just before election). Can we bet on your a $ $ for paddling Awami league regime lie and deception? Don't call me or anyone "rajakar" for nailing you down paddling Awami lie and deception. And dont change your alias, we are counting on your paddled promise.
 
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:woot: shortage of 10,000 MW means that you want to say that BD requires 18,000 MW

8,340 MW present generation capacity + 10000 MW shortage (as per u)

Present real generation capacity is only less than 4000mw. So, we need to produce at least another 10,000 mw. Note, Pakistan's installed capacity is 23,000mw, and its population is almost same as ours. With this much output Pakistan still lacks power. So, you can guess how high is our demand. But, all the govt people dump the demand figure and camoflage it with unbelievable figure(s).
 
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In July 2010 Awami League regime said Power crisis to be solved by 2012
Power crisis to be solved by 2012: Muhith | Politics | bdnews24.com

In Dec 2010 Awami regime said Power crisis to end by 2015
Power crisis to end by 2015: Muhith

In 2012 Awami regime saying power crisis will end magically by next year (conveniently just before election). Can we bet on your a $ $ for paddling Awami league regime lie and deception? Don't call me or anyone "rajakar" for nailing you down paddling Awami lie and deception. And dont change your alias, we are counting on your paddled promise.

I always hate people like you those who instead of doing constructive criticism are very fond of launching political propaganda without mentioning a bankrupt policy that your 4 party BNP alliance had left behind without adding a single watt to the national grid.

Yes no one denying the fact that lots of irregularities happened and Tawfique E Elahi is prime responsible for that. He took big amount for giving all the quick rental plant contracts for political consideration without making proper policy. Thats why most of the plants has brought over used old generators which is consuming more fuel and due to rise of fuel price is out of service and also for many mechanical fault.

But provided this bankrupt rental power plant project was initiated by BNP government and out of 1400 MW that is expected to be produced by quick rental power plant 900 MW was given permission to be set up during caretaker government. This fact has been indicated by prothom-alo today. But later in 2010 this energy adviser when there were lots of energy crisis to make quick electricity gave permission for the rest of the rental power plant permission to be run by diesel which is priced twice then the furnace fuel.

But then again without this power plants power shortage would be more then 3000 MW as when this BAL government came to power generation was 3200 MW and now capacity has increased to 6600 MW.

MINISTRY OF POWER, ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES

Situation in 2009 (at the time of assumption of power of the present government):

On 6th January, 2009 power generation was 3267 MW against national demand of 5200 MW.

Commitment in power sector as per Election Manifesto:

To raise the power generation up to 5000 MW by 2011 and 7000 MW by 2013.


Plants Commissioned During 2009 - 2011

YEAR


2009 (MW)


2010 (MW)


2011 (MW)


TOTAL (MW)

Public





255


800


1055

Private


356


270


125


751

Q. Rental





250


838


1088

Total


356


775


1763


2894

Achievements till December 2011:

52 contracts for new power plants with a capacity of about 5500 MW have been awarded, of which 25 plants with a capacity of about 2000 MW have already been commissioned and 27 plants with capacity of about 3500 MW are under construction;

30 projects with a capacity of about 5600 MW are under tendering process and expected to be awarded within 6 month;

Highest generation so far was recorded on 29/08/2011, which was 5244 MW and it is increasing gradually;

With proper load management, irrigation for agriculture was given the fullest support which contributed to bumper harvests during the last crop seasons.

Government has prepared the Power Sector Master Plan 2010. According to the Master Plan the estimated demand for power would be 19,000 MW in 2021 and 34,000 MW in 2030;


Power Generation

Installed Capacity of BPDB Power Plants as on June 2012
Unit Type Capacity(Unit) Total(%)
Coal 250.00 MW 3.74 %
F.Oil 110.00 MW 1.64 %
Gas 5086.00 MW 75.99 %
HFO 335.00 MW 5.01 %
HSD 682.00 MW 10.19 %
Hydro 230.00 MW 3.44 %
Total 6693.00 MW 100 %
Derated Capacity of BPDB Power Plants as on June 2012
Unit Type Capacity(Unit) Total(%)
Coal 200.00 MW 3.3 %
F.Oil 85.00 MW 1.4 %
Gas 4651.00 MW 76.74 %
HFO 248.00 MW 4.09 %
HSD 657.00 MW 10.84 %
Hydro 220.00 MW 3.63 %
Total 6061.00 MW 100 %

Max Generation

Maximum generation in 2012 : 6066.00 MW as on 22/03/2012
Maximum generation in 2011 : 5174.00 MW as on 23/11/2011
Maximum generation in 2010 : 4698.5 MW as on 20/08/2010
Maximum generation in 2009 : 4296 MW as on 18/09/2009
Maximum generation in 2008 : 4036.7 MW as on 19/09/2008
Maximum generation in 2007 : 4130 MW as on 17/09/2007
Maximum generation in history : 6066.00 MW as on 22/03/2012

Generation Planning

BANGLADESH POWER DEVELOPMENT BOARD



Fiscal Year


Peak Demand (MW)

2010


6,454

2011


6,765

2012


7,518


2013


8,349

An investigation report on Rental Power Plant Bangladesh...


Bottom line ... if you say that this government has not tried to develop the electricity crisis from the position that they inherited it will be utter lie. But while saying so one must also include like the khamba business done by koko and corruption by tuku this government got involved into corruption mainly while giving contracts with political consideration, without proper regulation, internal corruption. N engery adviser Tawfique E Elahi hold the prime position in all these cases. N most of these plants could not produce power at full capacity mostly due to short of fuel despite it was decided earlier 10000 cr taka will be given as subsidy that finance ministry did not provide fully. N many already pre installed power plants are off line due to mechanical failure and lack of proper maintenance.

Instead of saying a single word how to tackle the 2500 mw rise of demand on top of 2000 MW of shortage is nothing but a biased political propaganda. N this government is fully aware of the fact that electrion will be just after 2013 ... in this case if they can not come up to their promise they will face a dire consequence. But we know it pretty well in every Bangladeshi projects there are project delay... so instead of 9000 MW that they have said if they can produce even 7000 mw smoothly this will be a big relief to the country as 1000 MW shortage out of 8000 mw demand will be tolerable as in this case shortage will reduce from 33% now to 12.5%.
 
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some time this guy captain planet annoy me so much.....comparing bangladesh with Pakistan...lol only Karachi produce more electricity than the whole bangladesh.....

plus our ministers have also claims several times abt to overcome energy crisis lets hope that bangladesh get out of it but the prob of Pakistan & Bangladesh is totally different soo dont compare...
 
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some time this guy captain planet annoy me so much.....comparing bangladesh with Pakistan...lol only Karachi produce more electricity than the whole bangladesh.....

plus our ministers have also claims several times abt to overcome energy crisis lets hope that bangladesh get out of it but the prob of Pakistan & Bangladesh is totally different soo dont compare...

where did you find that I am comparing with pakistan??? Do not talk this sort of rubbish here!!!
 
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@ javed never mind him he can't be helped. its new trend in BD talk abut future 2030 2050 2020 big talks .i think awami guys learn it from india .everyday he open a thread on future :lol:
 
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@ javed never mind him he can't be helped. its new trend in BD talk abut future 2030 2050 2020 big talks .i think awami guys learn it from india .everyday he open a thread on future :lol:

Why not you too open thread about pakistan's future too if anything is published somewhere. I know and you know well why its not gonna happen.

This is off topic. Dnt bring Bangladesh pakistan comparison in this thread.
 
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Why not you too open thread about pakistan's future too if anything is published somewhere. I know and you know well why its not gonna happen.

This is off topic. Dnt bring Bangladesh pakistan comparison in this thread.

enough for us . first of all we never live in dream world we face reality here .no need to talk big abut future only god know what will happen in future .best example is Pakistan since 2002 to 2007 we was second growing GDP of asia then what happened ? look it today .same look at indian growth .every nation has up-down .another i can daily see you post things which have nothing to do with defense in BD DEFENCE section .post abut weapons forces military affairs which hardly come 1 news from BD after 1 month so guys pass your remains 29 days with such jokes i have no problem carry on .GOD is with BD
 
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