1) Sure I agree with you . That If necessary BD should be willing to cross the NAF river. But the way situation in Burma is lowering the generals will not want another enemy. Why wage war when hands are full.
2) The way Sanghi's are discriminating against Indian Muslims, Just because Indian Muslims are not demanding a separate land today . can you guarantee that tomorrow they wont want a separate state ?
2) How the guns will end up in Indian Muslim's hands ? First thing is that arming freedom fighters is no easy task. Only elite agencies have been able to do this . for example RAW, ISI, CIA , MOSSAD, KGB, level organizations can do this. This means BD intelligence agencies will have to work with a foreign agency to do this. As BD intelligence agencies are simply not up to the mark to achieve this task on its own.
Say in the Hypothetical scenario. It is the Chinese intelligence agencies that BD works with. This means that When the Rohingya state is formed the Anti India elements of BA will simply divert those weapons to the India Muslims/naxals who are against India ( with full blessing of China). Also black market infiltration of such weapons will find their way into the hands of these organizations anyway. What will BD do when India accuses BD of sponsoring anti india elements and becomes hostile ? West and GCC imposes sanctions to bully BD on Indian wish ( India is more important to them than BD) ? Pakistan got away with it because Pakistan has Nukes. what can BD in such a situation ?
Script can also be turned and say BD works with CIA/RAW. The independent Rohingya state will serve as a training ground for TTP type organizations that in the future will be used against BD if BD goes against the interest of RAW/CIA.
3) Providing Rohingya's with arms will also create condition where terrorists can thrive. Lets not go there. Terrorists of any religion are evil. Terrorists should be eliminated .
If BD wants to show courage against India. Simply developing a Strong national air force and / or a strong missile force is sufficient. This will deter India from bullying behavior and bring Burma to the negotiating table to solve the Rohingya Issue.
