Protest_again
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India has been tightening regulations regarding bad loan scenario. The growth rate we observed before was based on exorbitant loans extend to capitalists for growth. That led to somewhat fake growth (based on loan over loan) till the reality caught up and growth faltered by the middle of UPA-2 term. Now the loans are mainly extended to small and medium enterprises than to crony capitalists. Also our construction sector was key growth driver before because of the flow of illegal money into that sector. That was hindered by RERA Act.I think you're right on major parts and I am interested in exploring this further.
I agree that fraudulent accounting and crony capitalism have eroded confidence in brand India. Honestly, I think it was well deserved. Far too many of these iconic Indian companies(Singh brothers, Essar, etc) were running shams. Accounting sector had no regulator (they had self-regulation), the banks were evergreening loans, losses were socialized, profits were privatized.
Now, there is an accounting regulator, but we don't know how effective it will be. Certainly accounting firms have been made to pay a steep price for their indiscretions, so I think general accounting quality would have improved. Secondly, now that there is limited to no instructions to PSU banks to keep evergreening loans, a lot of companies have gone under IBC. That, in my opinion, has been a crowning achievement of this Government.
However, that means that the corporate sector that thrived on debt over the last decade will take another decade to recover before they invest again and many will not survive.
Demonetization and ensuing economic malaise have led to stagnation but that is in the 'real economy' so to speak, not in the digital economy. If anything, they have gotten a boost with demonetization and GST. So ideally, the other tech companies and startups should still be lining up investors, but that has not happened.
There's many factors to explore on two things -
1. India is hitting far below its potential in getting global IB to fund Indian companies
2. Indian economy is going to go back to its average of 5 to 6% growth next year onwards. What are the factors that are preventing it from growing at 8%
There were several policy measures that present government took (including demonitisation) for formalization of economy that no other govt has ever done before. We are in correction because we are laying foundation for future real growth. We Indians just need to be patient.
How India Is Moving Toward a Digital-First Economy
I suggest you to read the above article from HBR and see why the demonitisation was needed.
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