I think we should all hold our horses a bit and wait for the fall of Kabul, which seems inevitable as of nowbut exactly how that plays out will determine what the future holds for Afghanistan and the region in general.
It was Pakistan under Gen Musharraf who allied with Bush and the neocons who joined the war on terror against the taliban in Afghanistan, not India. It is also a very different world from the late 90s when Pak had actual clout within Afghanistan.
An all out bloody civil war will have a spillover effect in Pakistan wrt not just a refugee crisis but more instability and related security issues. Maybe most importantly, is the CIA really leaving for good ? the troop presence will be gone but their networks will remain. The Afghan Taliban also appear to have aspirations of playing a different kind of innings this time around, they're looking for international legitimacy. Not many benefits to going back to being a pariah state stuck in medieval times.
Will be interesting to watch how it unfolds but an unstable Afghanistan is neither good for India, nor is it for Pakistan.
stop watching Arnab or any other Indian news channels please.. all they care about is ratings for ad revenue money's sake.. he's not a dumb guy, he could easily have a much smaller and vetted panel to debate both sides of any given issue but he still insists on have a dozen loudmouths all screaming over each other.. can't stand his nightly debate program, nobody should watch that garbage, or any of his other scream fest crapshows..
