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Analysis: Will Israel pick up tab for assault on Libya?

iPakMan

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Israel, wisely, has largely kept quiet about the international military intervention in Libya.

Clearly, Jerusalem will be pleased if the action succeeds in preventing the slaughter of innocents. And Israel will shed no tears if the zany, anti-Semitic Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi is finally deposed and removed from the world’s stage.

Yet the last thing Israel needs – with strains of “the Jews got the US into the Iraqi mess” still audible in various quarters – is to be seen as prodding the world to attack another Muslim country. And so, in the days preceding Thursday night’s UN Security Council resolution imposing a no-fly zone on Libya, no Israeli official spoke publicly about the hotly debated matter.

Only the same night the resolution was passed, in a pretaped CNN interview, did Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu relate to the issue, and then only when asked by his interviewer for his take on the issue.

The prime minister chose his words carefully. Asked what he thought about what was happening in Libya, Netanyahu said, “Well, Gaddafi is no friend of Israel. He’s no friend of the Jewish people. And I think his people can see now, he’s no friend of the Libyan people. This is a man who helped explode civilian airlines in the skies. He’s fostered terrorism. He’s done a lot of terrible things. So I don’t think anybody would be sorry to see him go. I wouldn’t.”

Pressed specifically if he would “bring in a no-fly zone,” Netanyahu said he wouldn’t want to “second-guess” US President Barack Obama or others who have to make that decision – but that he “certainly wouldn’t be against” military action if America decided to go that route.

Well, the international community did decide to go that route.

Although no rational person could lay that decision – soon to be much more controversial as the situation in Libya gets “messy” – on Israel’s doorstep, the decision to drop bombs in Libya will certainly impact policy toward Jerusalem, if not from Washington, then certainly from Paris and London.

One does not need to have a particularly fertile imagination to envision French President Nicolas Sarkozy or British Prime Minister David Cameron needing to repair damage with the Muslims and the Arab world after causing “collateral damage” – meaning civilian casualties – and going beyond what the Arab League is already saying it empowered the Western powers to do in the first place.

And, on a superficial level, there seems no better way – no easier formula – to mend ties with the Muslim world than to come down on Israel.

Early last week – even before the bombing of Libya started – France’s new foreign minister hinted at the possibility of the EU unilaterally recognizing a Palestinian state. Alain Juppe, speaking to the French parliament’s foreign affairs committee, said that while France would not recognize a Palestinian state on its own, the possibility of the entire EU doing so “should be kept in mind.”

Were Juppe’s comments to the French parliament tied to Libya? Tough to tell. Even Carl Bildt, the foreign minister of Sweden – and arguably one of the EU foreign ministers least favorably disposed to Israel – said in an interview with The Jerusalem Post early this month that Sweden would oppose such a move.

But one can easily imagine the French and the British proposing hard lobbying inside the EU for a unilateral declaration after pulverizing Libya. This would be a relatively cost-free way of showing the Arab world and the Muslim public – both domestic and global – that those bombs were not a Western crusade against Islam. It’s a move that would earn wide applause among many Muslims worldwide.

And such recognition may very well be just one manifestation of what could turn into a full-court press on Israel to take the steps that these countries think are necessary for an Israeli-Palestinian peace accord.

With key EU countries flying sorties over Libya, it is not unimaginable that they will try to soften the impact, for example, by lobbying inside the EU for a tougher stand against Israel in the next Quartet statement expected in a couple of week’s time.

Calm will, of course, eventually follow the current Libyan storm. But during that calm, expect some of the countries in the newest “coalition of the willing” to ask Israel – without explicitly saying so – to pick up part of the tab for cleaning up the mess.

Analysis: Will Israel pick up tab for assault on Libya?
 
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I wonder how Israel is going to make up in this grand reshuffle of the Middle East.
 
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Well the latest fire is in Syria, which is in Israel's neighbourhood, what do you make of a change of leadership there?

Well, the entire middle east is Israel`s neighborhood since most if not all are hostile Nations(Excluding former Egyptian government and current Jordanian government) with hostile populations(Egypt,Jordan included).
I would say with regards to Syria, that even before the Baath party which now controls Syria, this country attacked Israel numerous times. So unless there is a fundamental change in the Syrian mindset about Israel (unlikely) , it will do Israel no good.Especially since, at least with Assad we know who`re we dealing with. A new more extreme regime is quite probable in these Arab revolutions who will use Israeli hatred to assume leadership under the masses.
 
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Well, the entire middle east is Israel`s neighborhood since most if not all are hostile Nations(Excluding former Egyptian government and current Jordanian government) with hostile populations(Egypt,Jordan included).
I would say with regards to Syria, that even before the Baath party which now controls Syria, this country attacked Israel numerous times. So unless there is a fundamental change in the Syrian mindset about Israel (unlikely) , it will do Israel no good.Especially since, at least with Assad we know who`re we dealing with. A new more extreme regime is quite probable in these Arab revolutions who will use Israeli hatred to assume leadership under the masses.

What you do think of the new Egyptian government? I am under the impression that the army is still in charge and the army is dependent on the US thus Israel should not face a threat coming out of there.
 
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Well, the entire middle east is Israel`s neighborhood since most if not all are hostile Nations(Excluding former Egyptian government and current Jordanian government) with hostile populations(Egypt,Jordan included).
I would say with regards to Syria, that even before the Baath party which now controls Syria, this country attacked Israel numerous times. So unless there is a fundamental change in the Syrian mindset about Israel (unlikely) , it will do Israel no good.Especially since, at least with Assad we know who`re we dealing with. A new more extreme regime is quite probable in these Arab revolutions who will use Israeli hatred to assume leadership under the masses.

It looks bad for Israel.

Anti-Israeli sentiment has been soaring in the Middle East. Especially recently.

Whatever regimes emerge from these revolutions, they will most likely take this position as well.
 
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Well the current regime in control is the Military but when this new referendum that changed so many laws of the past is put into motion, the army will no longer be in charge. On the short run, no military threat maybe just verbal abuse of Israel/Jews. On the long run, unless hate for Israel which has prospered even under Mubarak is fundamentally challenged, Egypt might just stop cooperating with Israel and throw the Peace Accord away.
There have been more than few people saying that this peace agreement needs to be changed so that the Egyptians get more(even though they lost each time during the wars) and this was under Mubarak`s Iron Fist. Now that Islamic Brotherhood is free to go into politics without restraint, they might become the leaders of Egypt.

@Chinese-Dragon

There is nothing recent about Anti-Israeli sentiment i`m afraid, and yes it does look like no matter what, it looks bad for Israel.
 
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Well the current regime in control is the Military but when this new referendum that changed so many laws of the past is put into motion, the army will no longer be in charge. On the short run, no military threat maybe just verbal abuse of Israel/Jews. On the long run, unless hate for Israel which has prospered even under Mubarak is fundamentally challenged, Egypt might just stop cooperating with Israel and throw the Peace Accord away.
There have been more than few people saying that this peace agreement needs to be changed so that the Egyptians get more(even though they lost each time during the wars) and this was under Mubarak`s Iron Fist. Now that Islamic Brotherhood is free to go into politics without restraint, they might become the leaders of Egypt.


Time will tell but I am not so sure that the military will relinquish the reins completely.
 
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Seriously, what has Israel got to do with whats going on presently in Libya? Or for that matter in Syria?

Arent these grass root level driven revolutions to dispose of dictators?

And what did Israel have to do with UNSC resolution? IIRC, the no-fly zone was proposed a long time back.

And why has Israel got to 'pick up the tabs' on this?

Edit: re-reading the article, it is really rubbish.
NATO/UNSC intervention in Libya is a humanitarian intervention not an invasion, not an assault against an Islamic nation.
And to somehow imply that this UNSC authorized military action will have repercussions on Israel's affairs vis-a-vis Palestinian cause is stretching ones imagination.
 
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Seriously, what has Israel got to do with whats going on presently in Libya? Or for that matter in Syria?

Arent these grass root level driven revolutions to dispose of dictators?

And what did Israel have to do with UNSC resolution? IIRC, the no-fly zone was proposed a long time back.

And why has Israel got to 'pick up the tabs' on this?

No better solution to any problem than to blame Israel.
 
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No better solution to any problem than to blame Israel.

Though I agree on the statement, its not exactly a blanket statement. In this particular scenario, the author is trying to connect the uprising in Libya and UNSC authorized military intervention to Israel's role in the Palestinian cause. This is ridiculous and utterly rubbish, IMHO.
 
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No better solution to any problem than to blame Israel.

Strange though perhaps there might be some small win for Israel out of this. The people cry for jobs, homes food on the table and the dictators wave the Israel card, perhaps people are realising it is time to worry about what the people in Cairo and Tripoli are up to not the people in Tel Aviv.
 
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Though I agree on the statement, its not exactly a blanket statement. In this particular scenario, the author is trying to connect the uprising in Libya and UNSC authorized military intervention to Israel's role in the Palestinian cause. This is ridiculous and utterly rubbish, IMHO.
Nothing to do with the Palestinians really, other than the fact that when Europe wants to please Muslim countries, there is no easier way than to blame Israel for everything and come down on Israel to give more concessions to the Palestinians.
 
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Yawn. Here we go again...

The Israeli persecution complex kicking in and Israelis feeling sorry for themselves.
It's amazing how the Israelis make themsleves out to be the victims in every scenario.

As to anti-Israeli "hatred", a thief must always sleep with one eye open.
 
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