Pak-US ties at the lowest ebb
Thursday, April 09, 2009
By Hamid Mir
ISLAMABAD: Pakistan suffered a loss of more than US$34 billion and received only US$11 billion as aid in the last seven years for participating in the war against terror. Pakistan Army, the FC and the police lost more than 2,100 lives in the tribal areas and the NWFP. Over 50 officials of the ISI were also killed and 74 injured by the militants but even then the Army and the ISI are not trusted by the US government.
All these losses and causality figures were shared with top US officials Richard Holbrooke and Michael Mullen in their visit to Islamabad by their Pakistani counterparts. They were told repeatedly that the US must stop its drone attacks in Pakistan but Holbrooke and Mullen did not make any promise.
Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani chaired a high-level meeting on law and order just one day before the arrival of top US officials in Islamabad. Four chief ministers and Interior Adviser Rehman Malik were also present in that meeting. DG of Intelligence Bureau Shoaib Suddle informed this meeting that US drones had missed their actual targets in most of the cases. Only 10 per cent of the attacks were successful and in 90 per cent cases only innocent people were killed. Next day, it was not only PM Gilani who opposed the drone attacks but PML-N leader Nawaz Sharif and Chief Minister of Punjab Shahbaz Sharif also condemned the drone attacks in strong words in their meetings with Holbrooke and Mullen.
While their was no positive response from the visiting guests, the US defense secretary announced the same day that he was going to buy 50 more drones for the US Army next year at the cost of two billion dollars.
Pakistani officials told the US visitors that some recent statements from top US advisers and many CIA leaks to the American media against the ISI had increased the frustration level within the Pakistan Army ranks.
This mistrust is not only a total waste of sacrifices and losses of Pakistan in the war against terror but also a political and diplomatic failure of the new civilian government. Pakistan has become a very complicated case for most of the Americans not only in the State Department but also in top US think-tanks and universities.
Many Pakistani officials in Washington do not try to defend their country, in fact they agree privately with US officials. Top American universities are running after Pakistani government to help them in hiring the services of some Pakistani scholars to teach about Pakistan in the US but they are not getting any positive response.
Quaid-i-Azam Chair of Pakistan Studies at University of California Berkeley is empty for the last four years. This chair was established in the Centre for South Asia Studies, UC Berkeley, in the 1990s for prominent Pakistani scholars to come to the one of the most prestigious universities of the world and teach American students about Pakistan. Only one Pakistani professor utilised this opportunity for one year in 2004. UC Berkeley has repeatedly written to the Pakistani government for filling the vacant Quaid-i-Azam Chair but nobody from Islamabad or the Pakistan Embassy in Washington DC felt any urgency for promoting Pakistan Studies in a country where Pakistan is being viewed as the worlds most dangerous place these days.
The Centre has also managed a Berkeley Urdu Language program for 30 years, which was permanently based in Lahore. This program trained a large number of American scholars in advanced Urdu for a long time.
Unfortunately, this language program was suspended after 9/11 because US State Department travel warnings for Pakistan stopped American students from visiting Pakistan and now this program is temporarily run through the American Institute of Indian Studies in Lucknow, India.
Pakistan is under discussion in the American media for many years for many reasons. Lots of young American students want to understand Pakistan but they are missing Pakistani experts in their universities. What should the university do then?
They are trying to provide understanding about Pakistan to their students through non-faculty experts. Last week, the Centre for South Asia Studies and the Graduate School of Journalism in the UC Berkeley jointly invited me to speak about the rising wave of terrorism in Pakistan. I was also invited to the prestigious Commonwealth Club of California in San Francisco, the Asia Society in New York and the Yale University in New Haven to discuss the security situation in Pakistan with young students as well as prominent American scholars, journalists and the State Department officials. It was a great opportunity to understand the thinking of American intelligentsia about Pakistan. I can say without any doubt that Pakistan is the most misunderstood country in America today. Pakistan can do a lot to remove these misunderstandings by simply presenting some facts but unfortunately some of the high-ups are not doing that because they have high stakes in America not in Pakistan.
Most of the Americans think that Muslims in general and particularly Pakistanis are terrorists. They fear that Taliban and al Qaeda will soon take over Pakistan and this country may collapse within six months. Top-level American policy makers have no trust in the new Pakistani civilian government. They think that President Asif Ali Zardari is weak and surrounded by corrupt people and he has no capability to lead Pakistan.
In a dinner hosted at the US Embassy in Islamabad, Holbrooke met many politicians, journalists and civil society activists. He mostly asked the same questions from most of his guests: Do you think President Zardari must be removed now? How can you remove him? Lawyers leader Athar Minallah responded by saying that Zardari could be removed only through parliament and not through any undemocratic way. But the questions of Holbrooke surprised many on the table, including Sartaj Aziz and PPP MNA Farah Naz Isphahani, who militantly defended her president.
Moreover, the Obama administration now has some serious reservations about Army Chief General Ashfaq Pervez Kayani as well. During my visit to the Asia Society in New York, one senior journalist and Asia Society member Mary Anne Weaver openly claimed that the State Department officials provided her an opportunity to listen to the alleged telephonic conversation between General Kayani and al-Qaeda leader Jalaludin Haqqani.
A top Pakistani diplomat was present in the meeting. He looked very disturbed on that allegation. Mary Anne confirmed his suspicions that the State Department and the CIA were secretly sponsoring the propaganda campaign against the Pakistan Army and the ISI in the American media. Holbrooke was the head of the Asia Society until a few months ago and he also spoke negatively many times about the Pakistan Army with many American journalists. Washington Post correspondent David E Sanger mentioned the changed thinking of the US administration about General Kayani in his latest book The Inheritance. He quoted some top-level US intelligence officials who have telephonic intercepts of Pakistani Army chief in which he is saying that Jalaluddin Haqqani is an asset for Pakistan.
Despite all the tall claims of friendship, the two countries have lot of mistrust at the top level. Pakistani security officials suspect the Americans are playing a double game to destabilise the only Muslim state with nuclear weapons in the world. They think that violence in Balochistan province was escalated only after the arrival of the US troops in Afghanistan. They have complained to American officials many times that India is allegedly helping the Baloch separatists.
Americans too have complained many times that the ISI is secretly helping the Taliban in Afghanistan.
Pakistani officials have tried to convince Holbrooke and Michael Mullen that the main trouble spot in the country is the tribal area, which is just three per cent of Pakistan. US drone attacks in these areas are providing justification to the tribal militants to organise attacks in big cities like Lahore and Karachi. If US wants to stop the cross border movement of these militants into Afghanistan, it must improve the security on border.
Presently, the Pakistan Army has deployed 117,000 troops on the 2,700- kilometer-long Pak-Afghan border and established more than 821 check posts. On the other side, the ISAF coalition troops have only 25,870 troops in the east and 22,330 troops in the south of Afghanistan, with only 120 check posts.
Causality rates of coalition troops in Afghanistan are far less than Pakistani casualties. Pakistani officials are of the view that it is not only the tribal area that is becoming a safe haven for the militants but east and south of Afghanistan is also ruled by the Taliban and the coalition forces need to improve the situation on their side also.
Prime Minister Gilani has now decided to implement a new strategy to fight terrorism with the support of parliament. A special parliamentary committee on national security will come up with this new strategy on April 9. This strategy will focus on dialogue and development in the tribal areas. It will recommend inflexible attitude towards the drone attacks. PM Gilani will no more tolerate any diplomats, ministers and advisers who are not ready to follow this new strategy.
Despite all the Pak-US misunderstandings, I am hopeful that we can move forward together with a new agenda with new priorities. I am hopeful because lot of young American students told me that they wanted peace not war. Many of them condemned the US drone attacks in the Pakistani tribal areas because these attacks were a violation of the international law.
They wanted to separate fiction from reality. We can definitely make each other secure by identifying the real problems with right solutions.
Pak-US ties at the lowest ebb