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After Indonesia election, new crop of leaders in focus for 2024 vote

Two of Soeharto son and daughter are quite active in politics which are Tommy Soeharto and Siti Hediati, both are in Prabowo camp in last election.

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Tommy Soeharto being interviewed by Najwa Shihab. The location is in Cendana, the resident of his father, Soeharto. It will become a museum according to Tommy.

 
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In Indonesia politics, the wife of the leaders also have prominent position in in formal context, many needs to do some public speech, but not as intense and important as campaign in US politics where the President candidate wife needs to do long speech to the whole nation.

President wife and Local leaders wife (Governors and major).

 
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PDI-P opposes General election delay, Puan Maharani looks like will enter the competition for Presidential election, more likely will be VP candidate due to low pooling result, she has party with 20 % votes, legally the party doesnt need to make coalition to put their man/woman to enter Presidential election.

Puan Maharani, Soekarno grand daughter and current Parliament Chairman

 
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University students in Jakarta are also opposing any attempt to delay Election and to extend President maximum ruling period.

In Indonesian politics, university students have important place, beside their importance role during Dutch occupation to fight for independence, Indonesia democracy in particular will not likely to happen if there is no student protest nationwide.

Unlike what happen in Philippine, Egypt, Tunisia and others, the pro democracy demonstration happening within 1997-1998, that in the end topple Soeharto from power, were only conducted by university students with support coming from the media, intellectuals, and university lectures and Professors.

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PPP, Democrat, and Nasional Demokrat (Nasdem) look like will make coalition and support Anies Baswedan. PPP Chairmant has previously said the party constituent support Anies Baswedan,

More likely Anies-Ridwan Kamil will be supported by these parties, PAN has previously been interested with Ridwan Kamil. PKS as Islamist party is also favoring Anies Baswedan.

Democrat party leader, Agus Yudhoyono met with Nasdem party leader, Surya Paloh

 
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This survey company has been seen as credible, non partisan, and quite accurate lead by Burhanuddin Muhtadi, a respected political analyst which I also recommended.

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Survey of Indicators: Prabowo's Electability Thin Wins from Ganjar, Followed by Anies Baswedan


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Kompas.com - 03/04/2022, 22:19 WIB

JAKARTA, KOMPAS.com - The results of a national survey of Indonesian Political Indicators show that there are 33 names of presidential candidates who have dominant electability in an open simulation.

The name of the Minister of Defense (Menhan) Prabowo Subianto is at the top with 21.9 percent, followed by the Governor of Central Java Ganjar Pranowo at 19.8 percent. "According to the public, based on the simulation of 33 names, there is indeed no dominant candidate name.

In fact, the name Pak Prabowo has no significant advantage over Ganjar Pranowo," said Executive Director of Indicator, Burhanudin Muhtadi in a survey release, Sunday (4/3/2022) . "So he (Prabowo) only got 21.9 percent, Ganjar Pranowo 19.8 percent," he explained.

The names of presidential candidates under Ganjar are Anies Baswedan with 16.4 percent; Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono with 5.4 percent and Ridwan Kamil with 5.3 percent , there is the name Sandiaga Salahuddin Uno 4 percent; Khofifah Indar Parawansa 2.1 percent; Tri Rismaharini 1.7 percent; Susi Pujiastuti and KH Ma'ruf Amin were at 1.3 percent and Erick Thohir at 1.2 percent. "Anies is quite competitive with 16.4 percent, namely the top 3," said Burhanudin.

Furthermore, other names under 1 percent are Puan Maharani; Gatot Nurmantyo; M Mahfud MD; Hary Tanoesoedibjo; Sri Mulyani Indrawati; Andika Perkasa; Airlangga Hartarto; Ust Abdul Somad and Habib Rizieq Shihab. Then Surya Paloh; Muhaimin Iskandar; Ahmad Shaikh; Nadiem Makarim; Bambang Soesatyo; Salim Segaf Al-Jufri; Tito Karnavian; Suharso Monoarfa; Abdurachman; Budi Gunawan; Moeldoko; Zulkifli Hasan and La Nyalla Mattalitti. Meanwhile, 1.3 percent answered other names and 11.3 percent did not know and did not answer.

 
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Jokowi Still Enjoys 65% Approval Rating, but Cracks in Support Appear​

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President Joko "Jokowi" Widodo, center, interacts with a trader at Tempurejo market in Magelang, Central Java, on Wednesday. (Photo courtesy Presidential Press Office/Laily Rachev)

BY :JAKARTA GLOBE
MARCH 31, 2022

Jakarta. President Joko "Jokowi" Widodo has enjoyed a 64.6 percent approval rating in March, thanks to improving economic conditions and the Covid-19 handling pandemic, a recent survey from Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting, or SMRC, showed on Wednesday.

"Most of the public are still satisfied with President Jokowi's performance as president in the last survey," Deni Irvani, SMRC's research director, said.

Still, the rating has fallen by 7.1 percentage points from 71.7 percent in December as concerns about rising staples prices undermine people's support. The poll also marked Jokowi's lowest approval rating as measured by SMRC in the last two years.

The pollster arrived at that result after asking 1,027 Indonesians above the minimum voting age of 17 years from March 13 to 20. SMRC said the survey result had a margin of error of 3.12 percent at a 95 percent confidence level. That means the pollster was 95 percent sure that Jokowi's actual approval rating was somewhere between 61.5 percent and 67.7 percent.

Deni said Jokowi's approval rating moved in tandem with people's perception of the economic, political, security, and law enforcement situation.

About 54.5 percent of respondents in the SMRC survey said they were satisfied with the central government's economic recovery policies in the Covid-19 pandemic. The number fell from 60.1 percent in December.

In particular, people have been concerned about rising staple prices in the past few weeks. More than 41 percent said they were not satisfied with the government's policies in making basic needs more affordable. That was the highest disapproval rating among other economic, political, education, and security policies asked in the survey.

That was also the highest disapproval rating about the price policies in the past three years, SMRC wrote in its survey report.

In the past month alone, cooking oil prices has risen by more than 40 percent, data from the trade ministry showed. People are standing in line for buying cooking oil at the government capped price—about half of the market price—that comes in increasingly scarce supply.

Other staples like soybean, sugar, eggs, and chicken have also risen by at least 2.8 percent in the four weeks ahead of the Islamic fasting month of Ramadan, which usually drives up demand for the commodities.

A group of small business owners even visited the State Palace on Wednesday to air their concerns about rising prices. "We asked the Presidential Staff Office to check out the prices of basic needs," Sujanti, one of the business owners, said.

"Before the fasting month, everything goes up, especially cooking oil," she said.

 
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University students in Jakarta are also opposing any attempt to delay Election and to extend President maximum ruling period.

In Indonesian politics, university students have important place, beside their importance role during Dutch occupation to fight for independence, Indonesia democracy in particular will not likely to happen if there is no student protest nationwide.

Unlike what happen in Philippine, Egypt, Tunisia and others, the pro democracy demonstration happening within 1997-1998, that in the end topple Soeharto from power, were only conducted by university students with support coming from the media, intellectuals, and university lectures and Professors.

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The banner they hold is not a typical banner of how we people in Indonesia do during a protest.

It's not our way actually.

It's the CIA.
 
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The banner they hold is not a typical banner of how we people in Indonesia do during a protest.

It's not our way actually.

It's the CIA.

It is genuine, in 11 April BEM SI ( Student Executive Body of All Indonesian universities) will be demonstrating and one of the issues is related to the possible delay of 2024 General Election. University of Indonesia BEM will take the lead for the demonstration.

Any way Jokowi has already stated that he will not delay election and stated the first round of election will be held in February 2024. The budget for general election is quite high, Rp 110 trillion or about less than 10 billion USD, this is for both President, Parliament, Governor, and Local province parliaments.

The election will be like in previous 2019 general election, President and Parliament election will be in the same day. Local election for Governor and Local parliament will be in November 2024.

 
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It is genuine, in 11 April BEM SI ( Student Executive Body of All Indonesian universities) will be demonstrating and one of the issues is related to the possible delay of 2024 General Election. University of Indonesia BEM will take the lead for the demonstration.

Any way Jokowi has already stated that he will not delay election and stated the first round of election will be held in February 2024. The budget for general election is quite high, Rp 110 trillion or about less than 10 billion USD, this is for both President, Parliament, Governor, and Local province parliaments.

The election will be like in previous 2019 general election, President and Parliament election will be in the same day. Local election for Governor and Local parliament will be in November 2024.


Maybe...

You must know there are two components inside a protester group.

One is the main protester or the organizer which is organized and paid for by CIA thru local political parties and NGOs.

The second is public participation, who knows nothing but gets called by the organizer, from university students, even high school students.

It's multilayers.

Public participation seems to be innocent, they are just idiots.

Local political parties and NGOs seem to be genuine local organizations that has nothing to do with a foreign power.

But the funny is when it comes to real people's needs, the real democracy, they are not protesting, if there's a protest, it's small, the government makes an announcement to fix the problem, people are giving a time for the government to fix the problem, and everything is calm and fine.

But when it comes to foreign interest, it's a massive protest and well organized. Even government announcement means nothing, there will be destruction everywhere, and the media is legitimizing it and supporting the destruction.

We'll see, where this protest is going.
 
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Maybe...

You must know there are two components inside a protester group.

One is the main protester or the organizer which is organized and paid for by CIA thru local political parties and NGOs.

The second is public participation, who knows nothing but gets called by the organizer, from university students, even high school students.

It's multilayers.

Public participation seems to be innocent, they are just idiots.

Local political parties and NGOs seem to be genuine local organizations that has nothing to do with a foreign power.

But the funny is when it comes to real people's needs, the real democracy, they are not protesting, if there's a protest, it's small, the government makes an announcement to fix the problem, people are giving a time for the government to fix the problem, and everything is calm and fine.

But when it comes to foreign interest, it's a massive protest and well organized. Even government announcement means nothing, there will be destruction everywhere, and the media is legitimizing it and supporting the destruction.

We'll see, where this protest is going.

The concern raised by university students is real and alligned with people concern as many survey has been conducted about the matter. Indonesian public opposes the delay in election, around 70 % opposes it.

I dont know why you relate it to CIA. No, CIA doesnt have connection to BEM SI, BEM SI is university own political government, the leaders are picked by election among students. No way they have relation with CIA. Many are actually part of Islamic movement like what I see in University of Indonesia and Institute Technology Bandung when I was still students, these guys dont like USA behavior in relation with Palestine-Israel conflict.

Yup, you are right, that Indonesian in general dont like to demonstrate, only university students and labor unions. This is good and it should be because people concern can be detected by survey and pooling companies where the directors are political analysts like Burhanudin Muhtadi, Eep Syaifullah Fatah, etc.

Foreign funding usually goes to civil activism like Greenpeace some thing like that. Many civil activism organization like LBH and ICW are actually part of warriors for Indonesians, they help the poor and help democratization and has strong anti corruption agenda.
 
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When I was in university, I barely had time outside studies. A lot of liberal arts students are very free but they just want to find girlfrend and hang around in high class coffee shop. The government is not that evil that students got to go on the streets time to time.

I think in Indonesia, a lot of these protesters are getting paid. Their organizer are those NED funded NGO, or activists who profit handsomely by stirring identity politics. Arts students are stupid and incapable of logical thinking, and they need monies. They will be seduced and go into streets brandishing their fist and shouting slogans.
 
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Parties who support Election delay ( thus more time for Jokowi as President ) like Golkar, PKB, and PAN are backing down after Jokowi refusal to extend its administration period by delaying election or changing constitution to allow him to get elected for third time.

After reformation in 1998-2002, Indonesia's constitutions are changed and ones of the changes are limiting President maximum period into only 2 term and having direct Presidential Election.

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Golkar does 180, backs Jokowi on scheduled 2024 elections


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Golkar Party deputy chair Nurul Arifin speaks to reporters on Sept. 12, 2017 in this file photo. (kompas.com/Ambaranie Nadia)

News Desk (The Jakarta Post) Jakarta ● Mon, April 11, 2022

The Golkar Party leadership issued a statement on Monday supporting President Joko "Jokowi" Widodo’s decision to go ahead with the 2024 general election as scheduled, in an about-face from the party’s earlier proposal to extend Jokowi’s term.

Golkar deputy chair Nurul Arifin said that the party fully endorsed the government's decision to hold the general election on Feb. 14, 2024.

Nurul also claimed that Golkar had been consistent in pushing for the President to step down when his second and final term ended in 2024, saying that party chairman Airlangga Hartarto’s call for Jokowi's term to be extended was a reflection of voters’ aspiration.

"Such a proposal was never the official position of the party. We never called for an extended term or postponing the elections," Nurul said. Along with politicians from the National Awakening Party and the National Mandate Party, Airlangga called for delaying the 2024 elections to allow Jokowi to serve a beyond his final five-year term.

President Jokowi told a limited Cabinet meeting Sunday that the general election would be held as scheduled on Feb. 14, 2024, ending speculation that his government was trying to delay the polls and extend his term beyond the constitutional limit.

“Let the people know that the stages and schedules for the simultaneous general and regional elections have been set,” the President said at Bogor Palace. “This needs to be made clear to avoid speculation [...] that the government is trying to delay the elections or extend the presidential term and [add] a third term,” he said.

 
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Jokowi, a lower class PDI-P party members ( previously only major of one small city in Java) can actually get stronger where big parties like PDI-P, Golkar, and Gerindra are under his full control. This one reason is due to direct Presidential election we have so he has people direct backing and the other reason is due to Jokowi personal strength and charisma.

I hope next Indonesian President coming from younger leaders ( I oppose Prabowo to be our next President ) can do the same thing. The strongest candidates are not even part of any parties like Anies Baswedan and Ridwan Kamil, and the strongest one, Ganjar Pranowo, Central Java Governor, is not among first elite in PDI-P. Even Soekarno grandaughter, Puan Maharani, is against him.

The legacy shown by Jokowi should be continued............
 
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Indonesian university student across the nation is united. I think this is good to show there should be no attempt to delay election. I am Jokowi supporter, but we need to think long term instead of short term. Jokowi is a good leader but if we allow election delay or getting third term for Jokowi then it will ruin what we have fought during reformation period.


Parliament building


 
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