AAP: Landslide Victory Predicted

[Marxist]

Brother magudi,

Your brother Uma Shankar is on record stating that victim of Uttranchal flood brought that traged upon themselves by not accepting Christ as their saviour.

He should have been suspended permanently for this. It would have freed him to become full time evangelist.

Or He can Join AAP ,He will be a great addition for them ....

 

[metronome]

lundslide milni kerji ko

 

[SAMEET]

lundslide milni kerji ko

uske ga::d me !

 

[SarthakGanguly]

Congratulations to AAP for forming government in Delhi before elections.

IB collects reports on Election results?

Totally, manvan indrani and marxist will have heart attack reading that I am a hindutvadi @SarthakGanguly , mera gharvapasi poora hogaya...kaha he mera ration card..

@BDforever took it.

 

[ranjeet]

IB collects reports on Election results?


@BDforever took it.

Maybe RAW also does ... ask @BDforever for confirmation or Sri lankans.

 

[BDforever]

ppl are pulling me everywhere.. IS agent, RAW agent bla bla. @Armstrong @ranjeet @SarthakGanguly @DRAY
mein aisa ki kiya ?
mein sharif hoon

 

[SarthakGanguly]

ppl are pulling me everywhere.. IS agent, RAW agent bla bla. @Armstrong @ranjeet @SarthakGanguly @DRAY
mein aisa ki kiya ?
mein sharif hoon

Tareef sir jee tareef.

 

[ranjeet]

ppl are pulling me everywhere.. IS agent, RAW agent bla bla. @Armstrong @ranjeet @SarthakGanguly @DRAY
mein aisa ki kiya ?
mein sharif hoon

Sharif level Nawaz.

 

[JanjaWeed]

Or He can Join AAP ,He will be a great addition for them ....

& Kejri can add a cross to his topi!

 

[dray]

ppl are pulling me everywhere.. IS agent, RAW agent bla bla. @Armstrong @ranjeet @SarthakGanguly @DRAY
mein aisa ki kiya ?
mein sharif hoon

Nobody knows that you are Caliph Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi, hiding from US drones in Bangladesh.

An excellent overview of the moves and counter-moves, the shrewd directions taken by AK and the complete blunders done by BJP under AMit Shah. This might well be its waterloo.

I believe this is a fight Kejriwal deserves to win and one that BJP deserves to lose.


The tide of political fortune seldom flows unidirectionally for too long. The tide that brought Narendra Modi to power in May 2014 and seemed to overwhelm every party standing in its path is now hitting the rocks in Delhi. Arvind Kejriwal, who seemed to get nothing right in the first half of last year has now reversed his slide, aided by the complete misreading of his challenge in Delhi by the BJP.
The latest ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll shows a 51-40 split favouring Kejriwal's Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) against the BJP, a sharp rise from a fortnight ago when the BJP was a nose ahead. If this poll has got it right, AAP is not only going to get a majority, but a landslide win. A rising 10-percentage point difference in a largely two-horse race is unlikely to be reversed in the course of a week.
A HT-Fore survey published today (29 January) shows AAP and BJP tied with 38 percent of the vote each. While this means all is not lost for the BJP and a fight will go down to the wire, the momentum seems to be in AAP's direction taking all polls since December into account. So, unless something dramatic alters voters' minds over the next week before polling on 7 February, Kejriwal is still the man on the inside track.
So it is more than likely that on 10 February we will wake up to cries of "Paanch Saal Kejriwal". Barring an unforeseen miraculous shift in fortunes, Kejriwal's tenacity would have scored over Amit Shah's blunders. Shah, the man who had made winning a habit, may get his comeuppance this time.
What is going right for AAP and wrong for BJP all of a sudden?
<img class="size-full wp-image-2069473" src="http://s1.firstpost.in/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/arvind-kejriwal3AFP.jpg" alt="Arvind Kejriwal. AFP." width="380" height="285" />
Arvind Kejriwal. AFP.
In the main, it is obvious that Kejriwal made the right calls after his party's ignominious defeat in the Lok Sabha polls and ill-advised challenges to Modi from Gujarat to Varanasi.
The first call he made was to keep AAP away from all assembly contests and focussing exclusively on Delhi. This was shrewd for several reasons. A party that just lost almost everywhere needed to concentrate its efforts and limited resources in the one place it had the maximum chances of winning.
Kejriwal rightly calculated that losing once more in a state (Haryana) where the party was ill-prepared was not a risk worth taking. He calculated - correctly - that the BJP would be trying to win the bigger states. He concentrated his resources fully in the place the BJP had ignored till last month. He hit the enemy in his weakest spot, and he has gained as a result.
That he was helped by the BJP's strange mix of hubris and reluctance to give battle does not take anything away from what appears to be Kejriwal's likely win on 10 February. He would have earned this victory, assuming it happens as the polls predict.
The BJP developed an inexplicable ambivalence in Delhi despite winning 60 out of 70 assembly segments in the Lok Sabha elections. Logically, it should have administered the coup de grace by holding the Delhi assembly polls in June 2014 when AAP was staggering under defeat and demoralisation. The BJP's complete inability to grasp the chance must go down in history as possibly one of history's best examples of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.
Apart from the blunder of delay, which is likely to blot Amit Shah's all-win copybook so far, the BJP made three huge strategic errors that are simply unforgiveable.
First, it ignored the mess and infighting in the Delhi BJP till the end. With hindsight we can say that a rudderless state party should have been fixed first before if the idea was to delay the polls till after the other four assembly elections had been completed.
Second, the induction of Kiran Bedi into the party at the last minute now appears to have been a huge mistake. Not because she is a liability, but simply because there was too little time for the party to adjust to her and her to the party. Moreover, she appears inexperienced in electoral wordplay and seems a novice before the battle-tested Kejriwal. Kejriwal has spent two years in the trenches mixing with voters; Bedi has spent these two years in TV studios and in splendid isolation. She needed time to be coached on what to say and what not to, and also to acclimatise herself to the party she was joining. This lack of time and experience is costing her and the party.
I don't believe she is a misfit in politics; in fact, she is the right fit in the new politics of citizen involvement and improved governance. It is the old BJP which is in a time warp and needs change. Hopefully, the BJP will learn the right lessons the next time.
This writer also completely misread the impact of Kiran Bedi's entry and jumped to conclusion that she was a game-changer (I did my little contribution here by immediately comparing her to RG ). But, as explained above, it may already have been too late.
Third, Amit Shah is now belatedly pulling out all the stops by pushing central ministers and state leaders to stem the tide in Delhi by campaigning in the segments they may have influence over. While I give him full marks for trying to make a real fight of it, the chances are this will be seen as a panic move. Such last-minute manoeuvres are seldom enough to pull back for a douuble-digit vote difference. Delhi also is not the sum of people from various states. At best, Shah can hope to prevent a Kejriwal landslide. But its like putting your finger in the dyke when the dam is about to burst.
I may be jumping the gun by prematurely declaring victory for Kejriwal, and may have egg on my face on 10 February, but analysis with hindsight is no analysis at all. Karl Marx was brilliant in explaining history and poor in predicting its future course. I hope I am not Karl Marx.
I believe this is a fight Kejriwal deserves to win and one that BJP deserves to lose.

Is this your own analysis?

 

[Guynextdoor2]

Then here comes the your yorker ,i know you will question the credibility of that link (as usual),then this is for you
Opinion polls predict BJP sweep in UP, AAP in Delhi - The Times of India

I never question your credibility man . You are among the few people I take seriously.

 

[Guynextdoor2]

Nobody knows that you are Caliph Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi, hiding from US drones in Bangladesh.



Is this your own analysis?

Not a bad bet that AK will win.

 

[wolfschanzze]

W

I never question your credibility man . You are among the few people I take seriously.

Will you QUIT AGAIN LIKE LOK SABHA ELECTIONS 2014? OR WILL YOU SHAMELESSLY COME AGAIN AS SOME OTHER PARTY'S AGENT?
You were Congress maggot before the Lok Sabha Debacle, You are AAPtard now, Do you change your Allegiances so easily?I am surprised
Shoooooo.................Kutta!

 

[Guynextdoor2]

W

Will you QUIT AGAIN LIKE LOK SABHA ELECTIONS 2014? OR WILL YOU SHAMELESSLY COME AGAIN AS SOME OTHER PARTY'S AGENT?
You were Congress maggot before the Lok Sabha Debacle, You are AAPtard now, Do you change your Allegiances so easily?I am surprised
Shoooooo.................Kutta!

Shooo chutiya bhakt......

ppl are pulling me everywhere.. IS agent, RAW agent bla bla. @Armstrong @ranjeet @SarthakGanguly @DRAY
mein aisa ki kiya ?
mein sharif hoon

No, I know who you are- you are Sukumara Kurup. @nair , @levina @Marxist . We found him all right. He's here.

 

[Utkarsh]

Looks like AAP is confient of victory

150 AAP members join BJP at rally of Smriti Irani - Firstpost

New Delhi: Over 150 members of Aam Aadmi Party on Thursday joined BJP at a rally in Shakur Basti attended by Union Minister Smriti Irani over "resentment" against the local AAP candidate Satyendra Jain.

The local joint-convener of AAP, Bhuwan Sharma led the breakaway group.

Later, addressing the rally, Irani wooed the middle class by pushing forth the issues of women security, corruption, education and development while urging voters to elect Kiran Bedi.

"People need a government here which will take care of women and issues of the middle class. And this can only be achieved under the leadership of Kiran Bedi. So vote for progress, employment and education," Irani said.

Later, at another roadside rally at the Model Town constituency, she struggled to draw crowd as volunteers of the AAP staged a "flash mob" close to where she was adddressing.

Canvassing for votes, she urged people to put an end to "instability" and to take Delhi towards the path of development by voting for Bedi.

"If you want to put an end to this situation of instability, vote for Bedi. We need Bedi at the state, while Modi is at the Centre," she said.....

 

[dray]

Not a bad bet that AK will win.

We will miss you on pdf from 10th Feb.