Can I start with point 3, Turkey has been kicked out of F-35 project, France is regularly standing with Greece which is the opposing end of Turkey as is Germany, i am not sure how long Turkey would stay in NATO but chances are slimming down every day.
China has bilateral relations with Israel but that does not stop Israel from going against Iran. Russia has bilateral relations with Israel as well, did it stop Israel from hitting Syria and even destroying Russian assets?
Russia has bilateral relations with India but we have seen how India has firmly hedge its bets on US and the bear isnt happy about it. They have already showed their annoyance by warming up to Pakistan. Let me make a prediction right here and when it happens if anyone remembers can quote me, India will also get out of the S-400 deal just as it did with the FGFA project. India is getting firmly in US camp and it is only a matter of time. Remember there are no permanent friends but only permanent interests.
Bro,
You are allowed to critic my viewpoint - no issue.
Turkey was booted from F-35 program due to Erdogan administration sourcing S-400 defense systems from Russia. USA was not comfortable with this development.
Please read this piece:
https://ahvalnews.com/turkey-economy/turkish-business-group-calls-government-repair-ties-west
Perhaps Turkey and US will come to an understanding in the near future?
Turkey is not going to DROP its relations with the Western hemisphere and go straight into Russian lap. Turkish economy will take a significant hit and new challenges will surface for the country to cope with.
Remember this; there is always a PRICE to pay for a "paradigm shift." It may lead to prosperity or it may lead to ruin.
It is BEST PRACTICE to forge bilateral relations with [all] major powers of the world. In this manner, a lesser country has 'options' and can better navigate its way through the twists and turns of global developments.
Regional inter-connectivity is also WELCOME but it deliver results on the ground when 'external pressures' are not overbearing in relation.
Recent Iran-China dealing is expected to produce many effects (celebration time?). However, if people think that USA and Israel will just sit around and give no response to this development then they are living in a fools paradise. Middle East have problems of its own on top; GCC vs. Iran dynamic; increasingly assertive Turkey in the mix.
I suspect numerous worrisome developments in the next 3 years because there will be regional moves followed by counter-responses from distant powers.
My concern is all about Pakistan. I hope that Pakistani leaders can see things through. Pursue regional inter-connectivity but also strive for better relations with all major players in the field. Be a partner of any entity in PEACE only.
Cold War sound very exciting in the beginning but it is
very damaging in the long-term. Just wait for new lines to be drawn, punches to be thrown around, and millions more perishing in the process. 5 - 10 years from now, many faces will be blank with more bickering and cussing in the mix. I told ya... I told ya...
Previous Cold War lasted 43 years straight and several countries suffered tremendously in the process. New Cold War will bring further death, destruction and misery with it. More countries will suffer tremendously in the process. Modern-age superpowers are like chess players - pit lesser countries against each other instead of exchanging blows directly.
It would be much better for Islamic countries to come together and create a fresh bloc for mutual benefits and defense in the long-term; OIC is useless and should be replaced. This would be a true game-changer for all Muslims in the world. This should be the long-term objective.
If the above sound confusing, then I offer a short explanation below.
Geopolitics:
- in the nutshell.