A geostrategic scenario of a "HOT WAR" at the Western border of Pakistan

[Dil Pakistan]

Let us create a Hot War Scenario on the Western border of Pakistan, in the context of events in the last 72-hours:

• COAS of Pak Army giving an in-camera briefing in Senate - an unprecedented event.
• USA blowing hot air from it's front and "back side" towards Pakistan.
• An "existing air" that something "serious" is about to happen.
• Pakistan ringing Russia on a daily basis, and Russia listening and responding.
• China, fully aware and remain involved; but keeps a cool composure.
• Neutralizing CPEC being the main target for US
• US bringing ISIS inside Afghanistan
• US wants to establish a "buffer zone" inside Pakistan, using action against Haqqani network as a 'smoke screen'.
• Gen Asif Ghafoor's call to nation in his press conference: "hum sab mil kar khatroan ka muqablah karein gey".

Given the above, if a "hot war starts", what will be the possible 9/11 like "false flags" that could happen:

False Flag Scenario -1: PAF is cornered into a situation where it has no option but to shoot down a US drone. After this all hell breaks loose.

False Flag Scenario -2: A Salah type attack on a Pakistani check post and PA has no option but retaliate to save the lives of its soldiers. US declares that PA attacked US to protect Haqqanis - which were under attack from US. After this all hell breaks loose.

False Flag Scenario -3: US army enters Pakistan in an apparently declared "hot pursuit" of terrorists. PA responds. After this all hell breaks loose.

Your comments on the most likely "false flag" scenario from above.... OR any other even more likely scenario.

How will the WAR then unfold?
Keeping China, Russia, India and Iran in context.

@PakSword ; @Zarvan ; @Windjammer ; @Realistic Change ; @WaLeEdK2 ; @Tameem ; @Imran Khan ; @ghazi52 ' @eagleeye ; @war&peace ; @ziaulislam ; @AZADPAKISTAN2009

 

[Indus Pakistan]

Your comments on the most likely "false flag" scenario from above

Non of the above. USA is a superpower. All they have to do is decalare at the UN Assembly that nuclear weapons were siezed at Kennedy New York Airport and that they have proof that Pakistan was complicit. US secretary of state pulls out a piece of paper and says this is testimony of a Pakistani smuggler.

Gives Pakistan 2 weeks to destroy it's nukes. Meantime prepares a force in Afghanistan to launch "Operation Enduring Indus" in 14 days. End off. Meantime gets Saudia Arabia, GCC, Kuwait, Europe, Japan, India etc to join in condemning Pakistan.

Have you seen this before? Yes Iraq 2004.

 

[Leviza]

Something is cooking up for sure but it’s not going to be hot war straight away

Iraq sort of lies cant be happening now as Pakistan have a close friend China

Any such move will get veto straight away

They want to punish Pakistan and this time I think it’s going to be first somehow taking away China closeness first

 

[Taimoor Khan]

Preemption is the best policy. Activate assets in Afghanistan and start neutralising all perceived threats.

 

[VCheng]

When is this movie being released?

Seriously guys, there will be no such need for direct war on Pakistan's western front, or even its eastern front.

 

[war&peace]

Non of the above. USA is a superpower. All they have to do is decalare at the UN Assembly that nuclear weapons were siezed at Kennedy New York Airport and that they have proof that Pakistan was complicit. US secretary of state pulls out a piece of paper and says this is testimony of a Pakistani smuggler.

Gives Pakistan 2 weeks to destroy it's nukes. Meantime prepares a force in Afghanistan to launch "Operation Enduring Indus" in 14 days. End off. Meantime gets Saudia Arabia, GCC, Kuwait, Europe, Japan, India etc to join in condemning Pakistan.

Have you seen this before? Yes Iraq 2004.

All due respect.....that's Mega Crap and totally impossible

 

[xyxmt]

The ones who cannot control few thousand Taliban are going to go to war with Pakistan who has few hundred thousand Talibans beside a large army...get real people.

 

[Valar.]

Remember PNS Mehran Attack couple of years ago? How about a similar attack on or near some nuclear reactor? Send the proxy terroists first and then cry about saftey of Pakistan's nuclear arsenal. Pressure Pakistan into submission to do whatever they want in Fata.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PNS_Mehran_attack

 

[Indus Pakistan]

that's Mega Crap and totally impossible

I agree. But that was sardonic reply to the OP's rather far fetched scenario if not bordering on delusional scenario.

 

[TOPGUN]

Nothing is cooking some of you people love living in the dream world playing with star wars toys.

 

[omegalamba7XL9]

There are few steps
1. Joint exercise with countries multiple exercises if possible one allied with US (Saudis) and one on the other side (Russians) and if possible joint exercise with US. What it will do is negate the incoming surprise attack if it's coming from anywhere because the aggressor will have something to think off at the last moment.
2. A recall of ex's retired personal' s and one thoroughly mapped special operation from North to south and west to east. Full accountability of everything that is moving with in the country.
3. Elimination of all possible rogue elements that can be eliminated within and outside the boundaries of country. So the possibilities of Trojan horse is at minimum.
4. Time for those 36 j10's to show up and the number should be raised to 60 on lease until 2020 or 2025.
6. Keep engaging with Iranian so we can cover south western flanks and have that at peace at least .

 

[Ahmet Pasha]

Uncertain times anything is possible

 

[Dil Pakistan]

Non of the above. USA is a superpower. All they have to do is decalare at the UN Assembly that nuclear weapons were siezed at Kennedy New York Airport and that they have proof that Pakistan was complicit. US secretary of state pulls out a piece of paper and says this is testimony of a Pakistani smuggler.

Gives Pakistan 2 weeks to destroy it's nukes. Meantime prepares a force in Afghanistan to launch "Operation Enduring Indus" in 14 days. End off. Meantime gets Saudia Arabia, GCC, Kuwait, Europe, Japan, India etc to join in condemning Pakistan.

Have you seen this before? Yes Iraq 2004.

I agree. But that was sardonic reply to the OP's rather far fetched scenario if not bordering on delusional scenario.

I agree that the smuggler scenario is crap.

However, my 3-scenarios are not far fetched.

• Another SALALAH is a distinct possibility.
• Hot pursuit inside Pakistan is a distinct possibility.
• PAF "has to shoot down a drone" is a distinct possibility.

There are few steps
1. Joint exercise with countries multiple exercises if possible one allied with US (Saudis) and one on the other side (Russians) and if possible joint exercise with US. What it will do is negate the incoming surprise attack if it's coming from anywhere because the aggressor will have something to think off at the last moment.
2. A recall of ex's retired personal' s and one thoroughly mapped special operation from North to south and west to east. Full accountability of everything that is moving with in the country.
3. Elimination of all possible rogue elements that can be eliminated within and outside the boundaries of country. So the possibilities of Trojan horse is at minimum.
4. Time for those 36 j10's to show up and the number should be raised to 60 on lease until 2020 or 2025.
6. Keep engaging with Iranian so we can cover south western flanks and have that at peace at least .

7. Engage with EU on a weekly basis via their ambassadors inside Pakistan. I can tell you EU is not happy with US at all - at the moment.

 

[omegalamba7XL9]

I agree that the smuggler scenario is crap.

However, my 3-scenarios are not far fetched.

• Another SALALAH is a distinct possibility.
• Hot pursuit inside Pakistan is a distinct possibility.
• PAF "has to shoot down a drone" is a distinct possibility.

7. Engage with EU on a weekly basis via their ambassadors inside Pakistan. I can tell you EU is not happy with US at all - at the moment.

If you see a threat coming to you then I'm sure before you engage directly with the threat you will put anything and everything between you and the threat to buy time and stop the momentum.

 

[Musafir117]

keep coming with false flag thingy I am enjoying it
There is no doubt American and Indian on something, America to save his neck and withdrawal from cursed land with some dignity, India how to stay in Afghanistan if Americans leave.