Hamartia Antidote
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Their moon rocket N1 exploded two weeks before Apollo 11 on the cosmodrome.
NASA knew it through CIA flights but proceeded with their expedited deadline since they were already ready for it. If that rocket hadnt exploded, we may have seen Soviets first on the moon too.
Rest is history.
Even if that rocket had not exploded I don't think they had the lander ready. Also remember their strategy required 2 launches to join up.