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@Sina-1 All static and large strategic radar assets face the problem to be destroyed in the first wave, but whats important is that they allow you to be aware of the first wave and counter it in the best way possible. Iran has never shown any OTH radar up until now. Very long wavelenght VHF...

Very good analysis: It also talks about those two run-way hits, that are clear capability display of the IRGC-ASF to the USAF: High terminal velocity impacting Qiam-2 hitting the runway: I expect that the kinetic power and the intense shock wave create cracks and deformations in the runways...

Construction of Irans surface wave OTH radar has started a few months ago. Ships are one detection goal but low flying CM or aircraft are added to that. Also a key capability for Irans future AshBM's for targets in the Indian Ocean.

From the interview the Soroosh is actually a (years away) 4m liquid fuel SLV. The Qaem is probably a military SLV program at this point and only IRGC deals with it.

So a Vega-like, even larger SLV is coming for satellites. Simorgh evolution to Sarir could have following background: Iran needs a liquid fuel missile for its potential manned program. A liquid fuel SLV can be shut down if a problem occurs, is lower on vibration and most importantly: After 20...

The aircraft would only fly at over 10km altitude after starting and certainly while flying over enemy territory of the Taliban. Weather or mountains are no issue at those altitudes. Those aircraft are very reliable with two even more reliable engines that would of course allow safe landing...

Commander of the IRGC today said threatened that U.S generals will be killed and a U.S.A.F VIP aircraft crashes in Afghanistan... Those aircraft may crash due to technical failure but they are not threatened by MANPADs during transit. Only Iran has a alleged man portable SAM system that could...

Missle tech. is very exclusive tech. those who sell it make great profits because there afe only few. Turkey got tech-transfer with their deal with China and have still not managed to build something in Irans 2000's vintage Fateh-110 gen-2. Sardar Hajizadeh made statements on the internal IRGC...

IRGC is only able to build up that missile arsenal and underground bases because the possess all the chain. From mining to machining. Same for Russia. They don't buy raw materials on the market. That's a path outside the capitalist system of those countries. So when a Fateh costs $<100k it's...

Irans claim of a 700-800km AshBM was uprated to a AshBM with 2000km range. That report of a MaRVed Sejil is the key to such a capability: The Sejil series is the only long range missile that can be launched on demand. It can basically stay on alert for months and launch within 5 minutes. This a...

U.S population does think Iran striked empty fields somewhere. Their mass media or sites like the warzone never reported to the U.S public what really happend. So their people still think Iran is unable and the U.S has complete superiority... The big picture is: Iran has now set the clock with...

No. But Raefipours rouge IFF signal or data-link jamming of the Tor systems could have been enemy actions that could have caused this disaster.

Relevant to this thread:

They talk about vacuum optimized small upper stage engines. In best case cryogenic, but given Iran's low publicised skills in developing indigenous liquid engines, that's rather unlikely. However a vacuum testing stand on it's own is already a impressive job.

Now two technical details on these two ABM systems and the two types of Iranian missiles used in the operation: Patriot PAC-3 is the system able to engage both. THAAD is the system able to engage the Qiam-2 when it is outside the atmosphere. THAAD can't engagement Fateh series relaiably...

Generally ground crews for liquid missiles must train regulary to retain their skills. Sejil-like missiles are much easier to handle with less training requirements. Sejil is a time critical strike asset, probably mainly meant to attack enemy active defenses. Hence yes, it's numbers are...

Your arms control analyst here is IISS, and if I'm not mistaken, the guy behind that claim recently estimated Fatehs on ain al-assad to have a CEP of 100m... this man lives in the past. I have credible open source information on Sejil being operational, but no need to share it here. Yavar has...

I don't talk about numbers but General Hajizadehs post strike statements are credible: Plans to counter a possible U.S retaliation with several hundred (~200) on that night and further plans for a limited skirmish of 3-7 days with several thousands (2000-3000). With 28 major U.S bases in the...

2000 is a joke considering the number of OSINT known Iranian missile bases and they know it. Dezfuls purpose is easy to explain: Iran can cost effectivly strike northern Israel and provide fire support for Hezbollah. Fateh family future is a cost issue: what's the difference between a 300km...

I neither claimed you lie, so please be more careful mentioning me. Whether there was a Patriot somewhere around the base remains a possibility. What's important is the big picture, in anyway it is a failure. Lack of assets is a failure, lack of operational assets is a failure, again: this is...