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World markets plunge as sell off continues

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World markets plunge as sell off continues - Aug. 23, 2015

Asian markets suffered major losses on Monday, extending a sell off that has touched nearly every corner of the globe.

The benchmark Shanghai Composite opened dramatically lower, shedding 8.5% in early trading and wiping out all gains made this year. Many companies listed in Shanghai, including some large state-owned firms, fell by the maximum daily limit of 10% within the first hour of trading.

The smaller Shenzhen Composite also declined more than 7.5%.

In Japan, the Nikkei was 3.2% lower in early trading, and Australia's ASX All Ordinaries was down 3.6%. Seoul's KOSPI Composite lost 2.5%. Asian currencies were trading lower against the U.S. dollar.

Three factors continue to weigh on markets:

1. Concerns that China's economy is slowing faster than analysts had anticipated.

2. Uncertainty over when the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark interest rate.

3. The effect of exceedingly cheap oil -- crude is now trading near $40, its lowest point in more than six years.

Related: Why stocks are a sea of red

Last week, the Dow plummeted by more than 1,000 points -- its worst five-day trading period since 2011. The Shanghai Composite fell 11.5% over the same period.

Analysts at UBS said that central banks stand ready to provide support if sentiment worsens.

"Investors should brace for further volatility," they wrote in a research note. "But we expect this bout of risk aversion to pass, with equities in developed markets resuming their upward trend."

Concerns mounted after a key gauge of China's manufacturing activity tumbled to its lowest level in 77 months. This week, investors will get a closer look at Chinese imports, a key gauge for many countries that rely on China as a trade partner.

Many investors and economists had bet on a Fed rate hike in September, something it hasn't done since 2006. But in the Fed's minutes published last week, committee members sent the market mixed messages.

A rate hike would increase borrowing costs -- interest on loans -- for companies in emerging markets. It would also make American debt more attractive to investors, which means they could dump emerging market debt.

And then there's oil. A year ago, a barrel of oil cost about $100 -- now it's trading near $40.

Oil is a lifeline of economic growth for many developing countries, which are also seeing their currencies lose value because of their economic exposure to China.

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Whats going on folks ?
 
Seems to be a lot of concern about the health of China and commodities prices, which a lot of nations ranging from Russia to Norway to Saudi Arabia and Venezuela have exposure too - it's not just oil and gas neither, copper is hitting Australia bad.

Japan's stocks? Down:

Japan’s Topix Heads for Correction as Shanghai Leads World Rout - Bloomberg Business

China's? Completely erased 2015 gains:

China Stocks Erase 2015 Gain as State Support Fails to Stop Rout - Bloomberg Business

Expect US and European markets to continue this trend.

Indian stock markets are down 1000 points, its a blood bath in Asia
 
What about Indian Rupees ? Whats the issue here ? why are the currencies and stocks so fucked up

It has more to do with the Chinese devaluation of the Yuan in response to worsening economic situation in china.

In Indian banking sector non-performing assets are high especially in steel and textiles. With the RMB losing value, the price of Chinese steel will decline further, and the Indian government has to dynamically adjust import barriers upwards, or provide a subsidy to domestic manufacturers—thereby putting pressure on the fiscal. Rupee devaluation is a natural response to this. Especially since we import more than we export.

Since the Yuan is expected to devalue further, India rupee too might follow trend for a short term. The only alternative to this is to improve and increase our share in the global trade. That will take a few more years as Modi reforms process will take time to kick in.
 
It has more to do with the Chinese devaluation of the Yuan in response to worsening economic situation in china.

In Indian banking sector non-performing assets are high especially in steel and textiles. With the RMB losing value, the price of Chinese steel will decline further, and the Indian government has to dynamically adjust import barriers upwards, or provide a subsidy to domestic manufacturers—thereby putting pressure on the fiscal. Rupee devaluation is a natural response to this. Especially since we import more than we export.

Since the Yuan is expected to devalue further, India rupee too might follow trend for a short term. The only alternative to this is to improve and increase our share in the global trade. That will take a few more years as Modi reforms process will take time to kick in.

So whats happening with China and the west right now ? Any idea how long this will go ?
 
So whats happening with China and the west right now ? Any idea how long this will go ?

Its something similar to what happened during the Great Depression. Only this time its known and can be controlled.

China has excess capacity and the rest of the world economy is not growing enough to sustain the goods manufactured in china.

Which means China will have to devaluate its currency and dump goods in countries like India and that will affect our local manufacturing and also put pressure on our rupee.

This is just the beginning............ the end is a LONG way off. :lol:

The chickens hatched during the super duper rate of growth of China and easy money in the west is coming home to roost.
 
Its something similar to what happened during the Great Depression. Only this time its known and can be controlled.

China has excess capacity and the rest of the world economy is not growing enough to sustain the goods manufactured in china.

Which means China will have to devaluate its currency and dump goods in countries like India and that will affect our local manufacturing and also put pressure on our rupee.

This is just the beginning............ the end is a LONG way off. :lol:

The chickens hatched during the super duper rate of growth of China and easy money in the west is coming home to roost.

Is this one of those Shit hits the fan scenario's ? o_O
 
Is this one of those Shit hits the fan scenario's ? o_O

Since we have history to guide us, the impact of the shit hitting the fan will be much less.

Second, India and Africa is just freeing up and starting to grown unlike the great depression where half the world was enslaved so this will result in realignment of the global economics.

India will ride out this bump since we have a LOT of Internal growth potential. Not so easy for the rest of the world, hence their interest in India.
 
Obviously modi didn't take any foresightful steps. So were taking a beating.
 
lower commodities will cushion us to an extent, IT and possibly pharma will have better numbers, lower rupee is good for exporters of all sizes too.

Obviously modi didn't take any foresightful steps. So were taking a beating.
you trolling ?

this has absolutely nothing to do with the BJP :disagree:
 
Obviously modi didn't take any foresightful steps. So were taking a beating.

Our @ss is save BECAUSE of Modi and his terrific Leadership. He is just the man the GLOBAL Economy needs.

With MSS, we would have sunk with the rest of the word.

The ONLY step Modi can take in such a scenario is invite foreign investments into India and boost the Internal economy of India. Only people grudge him for taking "too many foreign trips"

lower commodities will cushion us to an extent, IT and possibly pharma will have better numbers, lower rupee is good for exporters of all sizes too.

For the moment, Yes. Weaker Rupee is now in alignment with cheaper Oil. So the Impact of rupee devaluation is Minimal and at the same time it will boost Exports and improve our Balance of Trade.
 
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