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World at 8 Billion: Pakistan is Fourth Largest Contributor to Last Billion

Humanity is turning a leaf... median global age is growing fast.
The boom brought in by capitalism is fast bringing it's bust! Debts of the past will be tough to pass on...
And there if any the primary argument for the great replacement. It only reflects... die was cast long ago.
Now is the fruition ...
Which is why a great war now will push the global median age beyond replacement levels for much of the world...

Step back and observe.
 
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So basically 70 years from now there will be 2.5X more Indians than Chinese and Pakistan's population will be 60% of China's. China's population is collapsing.
I doubt that kind of collapse in China unless prosperity changes the culture

Humanity is turning a leaf... median global age is growing fast.
The boom brought in by capitalism is fast bringing it's bust! Debts of the past will be tough to pass on...
And there if any the primary argument for the great replacement. It only reflects... die was cast long ago.
Now is the fruition ...
Which is why a great war now will push the global median age beyond replacement levels for much of the world...

Step back and observe.
who is fighting the war ?
 
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Fueled by rapid growth in Africa, global population hits 8 billion
As the global population pushes 8 billion people, Africa and Asia are leading the growth. Nigeria could soon become the world’s fourth most populated country, while India is expected to overtake China as the world’s most populous country next year.

By Dan Ikpoyi and Chinedu Asadu Associated Press
November 15, 2022
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LAGOS, NIGERIA


https://www.csmonitor.com/World/202...th-in-Africa-global-population-hits-8-billion

Among them is Nigeria, where resources are already stretched to the limit. More than 15 million people in Lagos compete for everything from electricity to light their homes to spots on crowded buses, often for two-hour commutes each way in this sprawling megacity. Some Nigerian children set off for school as early as 5 a.m.

And over the next three decades, the West African nation’s population is expected to soar even more: from 216 million this year to 375 million, the U.N. says. That will make Nigeria the fourth-most populous country in the world after India, China, and the United States.
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The upward trend threatens to leave even more people in developing countries further behind, as governments struggle to provide enough classrooms and jobs for a rapidly growing number of youth, and food insecurity becomes an even more urgent problem.

Nigeria is among eight countries the U.N. says will account for more than half the world’s population growth between now and 2050 – along with fellow African nations Congo, Ethiopia, and Tanzania.

“The population in many countries in sub-Saharan Africa is projected to double between 2022 and 2050, putting additional pressure on already strained resources and challenging policies aimed to reduce poverty and inequalities,” the U.N. report said.

It projected the world’s population will reach around 8.5 billion in 2030, 9.7 billion in 2050, and 10.4 billion in 2100.

Other countries rounding out the list with the fastest growing populations are Egypt, Pakistan, the Philippines, and India, which is set to overtake China as the world’s most populous nation next year.

In Congo’s capital, Kinshasa, where more than 12 million people live, many families struggle to find affordable housing and pay school fees. While elementary pupils attend for free, older children’s chances depend on their parents’ incomes.

“My children took turns” going to school, said Luc Kyungu, a Kinshasa truck driver who has six children. “Two studied while others waited because of money. If I didn’t have so many children, they would have finished their studies on time.”

Rapid population growth also means more people vying for scarce water resources and leaves more families facing hunger as climate change increasingly impacts crop production in many parts of the world.

“There is also a greater pressure on the environment, increasing the challenges to food security that is also compounded by climate change,” said Dr. Srinath Reddy, president of the Public Health Foundation of India. “Reducing inequality while focusing on adapting and mitigating climate change should be where our policy makers’ focus should be.”

Still, experts say the bigger threat to the environment is consumption, which is highest in developed countries not undergoing big population increases.

“Global evidence shows that a small portion of the world’s people use most of the Earth’s resources and produce most of its greenhouse gas emissions,” said Poonam Muttreja, executive director of the Population Foundation of India. “Over the past 25 years, the richest 10% of the global population has been responsible for more than half of all carbon emissions.”

According to the U.N., the population in sub-Saharan Africa is growing at 2.5% per year – more than three times the global average. Some of that can be attributed to people living longer, but family size remains the driving factor. Women in sub-Saharan Africa on average have 4.6 births, twice the current global average of 2.3.
 
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And inflation too, in Mumbai avg middle class family can barely afford to raise a single child that too with both parents employed. Today my nephew/nieces Montessori and Kindergarten school fees are more than what my college fees was around 10-12 years back.
Don't want to say, but seems South Asia needs a nature call to control the population ....
 
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Global Food supply will run out and ocean will be over fished
In Past when food resources become scarce war is imminent

It is the way it is 8 Billion Total population

The 1 billion that survives restarts the civilization after a global war

Alternative is the Rich will force the poor to go out on Mars and do farming for them
 
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@AZADPAKISTAN2009

Global Food supply will run out and ocean will be over fished

Nothing of that sort will happen. The population is stabilising even as we speak and we have barely tapped the biological potential of the world. For instance, each and every square metre of the ocean can give you 10 kg of seaweeds (dry basis) a year without a single ounce of fertiliser being used. Those seaweeds can be converted into feed for humans either directly as food or as animal feed. Now how much food does humanity need?

Regards
 
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Yeah thats a worldwide problem.

Its a big problem. Without population growth the need to colonize other planets and space travel becomes redundant, eventually leading to death of civilization few thousand years into the future. Population can never remain static, either has to increase or will decline. Sooner or later, people will need to start breeding like rabbits again,
 
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I believe India and China have controlled the population to a certain extent. Their growth rate seems to have leveled out.

Pakistan’s case seems to be problematic. Lets hope the government takes this seriously.
 
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. Lets hope the government takes this seriously.
GOP babus
FLO2QVwX0AUqE8q.jpeg
 
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India is about to cross China as most populous country in the world.
 
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Look at the last billion people added to the world.

Look at the number Pakistan added as a ratio of its total population. And compare to China and India.

Pakistan is in RED territory folks.
 
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Pakistan’s case seems to be problematic. Lets hope the government takes this seriously.

No chance of that happening. Gilanis interview a couple of years ago sums up their attitude pretty well. They want people to leave the country (see below). Labor migration brings benefits in the short run in the form of $. Long term it's a foolish strategy as the world heads towards automation. Self driving taxis, shops without staff, robot cleaners etc. Gulf countries will be the first to adopt these new technologies. They won't think twice about kicking out all the Pakistani laborers who are of no use to them anymore.

Meanwhile our economy needs to grow at a minimum of 7% every year over a prolonged period of time to absorb the youth into the workforce. Something that we are incapable of due to numerous reasons. One is that exports lag behind imports as GDP growth increases as the middle class flexes it's purchasing power but is unable to or does not want to buy local luxury items. Unless societal attitudes and demands change or a government is able to seriously dent imports despite high growth, we will end up with a situation where a greater percentage of the population will be unemployed every passing year and they will be joined by the foreign workers eventually as well who will not be needed abroad in the numbers they were before. It's a depressing forecast. Millions of lives not working or contributing to GDP. Just driving food prices even higher.


"A consistent GDP growth rate of over 7 per cent is required to absorb the young workforce. "
 
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@AZADPAKISTAN2009

Global Food supply will run out and ocean will be over fished

Nothing of that sort will happen. The population is stabilising even as we speak and we have barely tapped the biological potential of the world. For instance, each and every square metre of the ocean can give you 10 kg of seaweeds (dry basis) a year without a single ounce of fertiliser being used. Those seaweeds can be converted into feed for humans either directly as food or as animal feed. Now how much food does humanity need?

Regards

I thought eating grass was not great. Seaweed is the whole new dimension

Its a big problem. Without population growth the need to colonize other planets and space travel becomes redundant, eventually leading to death of civilization few thousand years into the future. Population can never remain static, either has to increase or will decline. Sooner or later, people will need to start breeding like rabbits again,
breeding is not an issue :enjoy: :enjoy: :enjoy:
 
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@Olympus81

Pakistan is in RED territory folks.

There is no need to be alarmist. The problem is not that the Pak population is too high or growing too fast. The real challenge is to ensure that they are healthy, educated and productive. Once you do that the problem sorts it out on its own.

1. As the population becomes more educated and wealthy, they start having fewer children.
2. The population can create its own earning opportunity. If not available, foreign countries facing labour shortage will find a space for them.

Regards
 
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