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Will China ever allow India to be part of the Nuclear Suppliers Group?

ito

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Before the start of the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) plenary session in Seoul on June 24, 2016, the word was out that China would not be supporting India’s membership into the NSG. China had exhibited a similar reluctance towards India’s bid for a permanent seat in the UN Security Council.

Although China managed to stonewall India’s application, what came as a total surprise to them was that out of 48 countries, 44 countries openly supported its membership; evidence of India being recognised as an emerging global power. In fact, the Chinese negotiator was pulled up because of the unprecedented support India received at the meeting.

Those who have been following China’s rise as a dominant force know that it aims to challenge the US on a global platform. They are also equally aware that China has always resented India’s growing status in South Asia. Moreover, as part of its strategy, it had always used Pakistan as a counterweight to India.


The NSG was made in 1974 as a response to India’s nuclear test in May earlier that year. The group was formed with the avowed objective of preventing nuclear proliferation by controlling the export of materials, equipment and technology that are used to manufacture nuclear weapons. Strangely, it is the same group that India now wishes to gain access to.

One wonders why India is so desperate to be a part of the NSG – given the fact that the US and Russia have already been supplying it with all the equipment and materials it needs. According to experts, it is actually the US that has shown interest in India joining the NSG.President Obama himself has been lobbying very hard for India to gain access to the atomic control group. In fact, it was President George Bush who was instrumental in getting the waiver clause granted to India to enable it to import equipment and material critical for nuclear power generation. He personally spoke to Hu Jintao, former President of China, and enlisted China’s support for the said waiver. The waiver meant that India had the legal right, under the world nuclear regulatory regime, to trade for civilian nuclear fuel and technology.

India miscalculated the US’ ability to push through its case without realising that China would scuttle any move regarding India’s membership. Unlike President Bush, Obama did not make any attempt to reach out to the Chinese for support in India’s case. China has become more assertive over the years and is now competing with the US as a world major economic power.

India made the tactical mistake of moving an application this May on the strength of the support received from the US, UK, France, Mexico and Russia but failed to see the elephant in the room – China. China stonewalled India’s membership mainly on two grounds: it did not want India to challenge its growing influence in global politics and, secondly, it felt that the US was supporting India to contain its growing influence by hyphenating India with it. China also wanted to send the message that it is now in the same league as the US.

However, India feels that NSG membership will enable it to become an international player in nuclear commerce, as it will not only be able to access the latest nuclear technology, but will be in a position to supply its indigenous technology. It will also end isolation from global nuclear commerce that the international community had forced India into – after it conducted the first nuke test in 1974.

On its part, India felt that with growing bonhomie between Modi and Xi Jinping, China would support its cause. China, on the other hand, had other ideas. The fulcrum of the Chinese foreign policy is to contain India in the global scene. Modi failed to grasp the hard realities of the Chinese politics.

All is not lost, as any delay to the membership will not affect India’s immediate needs of procuring equipment and material for nuclear power, as it can rely on both the US and Russia to meet its energy needs.

India should bide its time and adopt a mature approach by engaging with China. It should also impress on the Chinese leadership that it can’t keep India away from obtaining an NSG membership for long, and the Chinese strategy of blocking its entry will prove counterproductive, apart from straining the relations between the two powerful neighbours.

However, amidst this gloomy scenario, India has been admitted to the Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR), which has so far proved elusive to China. MTCR membership will enable India to buy high-end missile technology and also enhance its joint ventures with Russia. Indeed, a small consolation to its efforts to gain international acceptance of its economic status.

http://blogs.tribune.com.pk/story/3...ia-to-be-part-of-the-nuclear-suppliers-group/
 
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Its not about India.
Its about China which is unable to accept the raise of India.
China wants to be the ruler of Asia, unfortunately India's raising has kept them frustrated.
China is desperate to equal India with pakistan.
China cannot keep India away for long from NSG.
 
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Its not about India.
Its about China which is unable to accept the raise of India.
China wants to be the ruler of Asia, unfortunately India's raising has kept them frustrated.
China is desperate to equal India with pakistan.
China cannot keep India away for long from NSG.

From China, The NSG episode made choices very clear for India;

1. US is not the Sole Superpower anymore, don't bet too much on it.
2. US has its limitations.
3. If India need a rise to its potential then first it has to accommodates its northern neighbor more than falling in line with US.
4. Otherwise more confrontation with China on US whims simply evaporates all India's energy foolishly.
5. If India persists allying with US against China, then in return he will make sure India always equated with Pakistan forever.
 
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India is not against China.

And in a USA India v China pak scenario in any field Mooney power military trade there's one winner only
 
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Is that why India sold their sovereignty to America by agreeing to sign the CISMOA/LSA?

How exactly these bilateral agreements ONLY infringes upon Indian Sovereignty and not upon American Sovereignty ?

All international cooperation agreements may not be as lopsided as CPEC which not only infringes the Sovereignty of our western neighbour but in fact gives China total control of a strategic port along with free transit.
 
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So ultimately yes India will get nsg because USA will get this pushed through.

I'm glad you still have SO much faith in America, that you think they can somehow completely override veto power (despite them already having failed to get India the NSG seat). :lol:
 
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Is that why India sold their sovereignty to America by agreeing to sign the CISMOA/LSA?
Very ignorant analogy my dear Chinese sir.

How is LSA/CISMOA amounted to selling sovereignty, we use their Military hardware, we have geopolitical interest beyond Indian Ocean and both of these agreement are pivitol to our interest. US and India shall use each other logistics and supplies, it's a win win situation.

Moreover, India is a economic and military Giant so word like "selling sovereignty" is only laughable.

I guess you found out too late that your new boss couldn't actually get you the NSG seat in the first place. :P

Actually, there is no urgent requirement for NSG unless we are trying to export our own indigenous Nuclear Tech, which would take years to mature. But surely, if China promise to Behave according to law, India and USA might support her bid in MTCR not as a boss but as an Ally.

http://dae.nic.in/?q=node/179

http://www.thequint.com/hot-wire/20...s-an-applicant-bjps-yashwant-sinha-on-nsg-bid

As for the other perks of NSG member, India already got what she needs.

So tell us what can China a P5 nation can do to stop this, surely India is not a NSG member.


http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/UF-India-receives-first-uranium-shipment-from-Canada-0412155.html
 
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From China, The NSG episode made choices very clear for India;

1. US is not the Sole Superpower anymore, don't bet too much on it.
2. US has its limitations.
3. If India need a rise to its potential then first it has to accommodates its northern neighbor more than falling in line with US.
4. Otherwise more confrontation with China on US whims simply evaporates all India's energy foolishly.
5. If India persists allying with US against China, then in return he will make sure India always equated with Pakistan forever.


What supowerism has to do with it. Earlier italy blocked India's entry, does that mean italy is supowerpower? Any member of NSG can block India's entry.

But the recent vote shows China is totally isolated and if they do not accept us than soon they will be through out of NSG. No country will support China.
 
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China won't allow. It will be forced to accept out of fear for expose and international isolation in this specific issue.

China's rise was due to the sheer support of USA. No doubt in it even if manipulated Chinese intellects in this forum deny that over and over. Now that you have grown something and going on a collision course with the USA (which you will terribly lose) doesn't mean that whoever is having relationships with the USA are your enemies. One question, almost all of European countries are proper allies of the USA and why China is begging EU for business and trade opportunities instead of treating them as enemies like China treats India now ? Because EU have more rich people than India ? China runs after money is the harsh reality.
 
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Should I laugh or cry or this childish analysis.

Don't care what you do. When 44/48 members support India's bid what can China single-handedly do with just 3 member states who don't have a direct conflict with India. Just to appease China they will not oppose India. And, if you guys think Pakistan is stopping India from NSG then I will ask you to laugh (lunatic).
 
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