Kathin_Singh
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My Analysis:
Akhilesh Yadav is going to win clear majority riding the wave of coup against father Mulayam and Uncle Shivpal Yadav. Akhilesh would have support from traditional vote bank of Yadavs and Muslims. His well crafted image of being YOUTH and development man is going to be a major attraction among urban youth.
BJP has no local leader in UP . It is often called as BINA DULHE KI BARAAT.
Mayawati would get tradional vote of Dalits but alone Dalits are not enough to form a government. She lacked Brahmins who goes back to BJP or Muslims who are consolidating behind Akhilesh-Congress combine.
To put into numbers,
SP coalition would get ~250 seats out of 404.
BJP+ would come second with ~90 seats .
BSP would come third with ~60 seats.
Akhilesh Yadav is going to win clear majority riding the wave of coup against father Mulayam and Uncle Shivpal Yadav. Akhilesh would have support from traditional vote bank of Yadavs and Muslims. His well crafted image of being YOUTH and development man is going to be a major attraction among urban youth.
BJP has no local leader in UP . It is often called as BINA DULHE KI BARAAT.
Mayawati would get tradional vote of Dalits but alone Dalits are not enough to form a government. She lacked Brahmins who goes back to BJP or Muslims who are consolidating behind Akhilesh-Congress combine.
To put into numbers,
SP coalition would get ~250 seats out of 404.
BJP+ would come second with ~90 seats .
BSP would come third with ~60 seats.
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