Somehow I think this should not be about GDP now or decades or centuries before. Both Indians and Chinese are 'hardy' and 'pragmatic' people with huge populations--tens of millions of exportable people. India, per my understanding, is a little better than China on the 'demographic' challenges and India is being courted by the global rich countries and their allies; Advantage India!
India is where, or probably considerably ahead, where China was in late 1970s: China shunned its dogmatic communism and embraced whatever it took to advance. India is doing it since the early 1990s.
I can't tell who will be where by 2100. But going by my understanding, India has a fair chance to be ahead of China by then. I kind of suspect I will be gone by then
If you don't understand the gap between China and India. Let me remind you.
India became independent in 1947. The same year. China began a full-scale civil war.
In 1947, India had more companies and factories than China.
India has more steel production than China.
India has more gold reserves than China.
India has more railways and infrastructure than China.
India has never suffered large-scale war damage like China.
India has never been subject to systematic sanctions like China.
…………
Go along this road. Now India should be richer and stronger than China. Unless a miracle happens... isn't it?
oh unfortunately. Miracles happen.
in 2022, China's GDP per capita is 5 times that of India. China's urbanization rate is twice that of India. China's steel production is 10 times that of India. China's high-speed railway is N times that of India. Chinese literacy rate, life expectancy, HDI, average height etc. are much higher than India............
I guess. China and India want to ask each other the same question ~ How did you do it?
Of course, if miracles happen in India. China is like India in 1947. India may lead China at 2100...