Turkey’s Election Results Stink of Fraud
by DANIEL PIPES November 3, 2015 11:54 AM
Like other observers of Turkish politics, I was stunned on Nov. 1 when the ruling Justice and Development Party (Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi, or AKP) was reported to have increased its share of the national vote since the last round of elections in June 2015 by 9 percent and its share of parliamentary seats by 11 percent.
The polls had consistently shown the four major parties winning about the same number of seats as in June. This made intuitive sense; they represent mutually hostile outlooks (Islamist, leftist, Kurdish, nationalist), making substantial movement between them in under five months highly unlikely. That about one in nine voters switched parties defies reason.
Polling results between the June and November 2015 Turkish elections.
The AKP's huge increase gave it back the parliamentary majority it had lost in the June 2015 elections, promising President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan a semi-legal path to the dictatorial powers he aspires to.
But, to me, the results stink of fraud. It defies reason, for example, that the AKP's war on Kurds would prompt about a quarter of Turkey's Kurds to abandon the pro-Kurdish party and switch their vote to the AKP. As news of irregularities comes in, Michael Rubin of AEI summed up the problems at Commentary:
Turkish political analysts attribute Erdoğan's cheating quotient at around 5 percent – that takes into account stuffed ballots, shenanigans on the state-run Turkish Airlines as it transports ballots from abroad, disappeared ballot boxes from opposition-run towns and districts, and pretty much everything involving the mayor of Ankara. In the case of Sunday's elections, it appears that Erdoğan's AKP won the votes of hundreds of thousands of dead people..
Given the history of fraud in Turkey's elections, that this one was rigged should come as no shock, especially as rumors swirled in advance about sophisticated efforts to manipulate the results. (For methods, think the Volkswagen emissions scam.)
The citizens of Turkey now face the decisive question of whether to accept or reject the results of this election. Which will prevail – fear of Erdoğan's ruthlessness or anger at his swindle? Sadly, because his electoral coup d'état has blocked the path of democracy, should Turks resist, they are compelled to do so in non-democratic ways. (November 3, 2015)
CHP are strong secularists...their vote stayed the same.
Kurds...economic reasons...MHP economic reasons... Dollar was 2.55 Lira 5 months ago...due to politic instability. It rose to 3.10.
Also maybe you know there was 3 term rule in AKP. A parlimenter can't be re-elected for the 4th term (self established rule by AKP on their members). Because of that many acknowledged MPs couldn't been candidate in July elections. Caused a decrease in AKP's votes. This time, AKP brought all of them back which helped it's vote to increase in certain cities, towns.
There are many many many reasons....like AKP's promises if they got elected, Erdogan didn't involved and didn't talked about presidency which irked voters in the last election, two smaller parties entered the last election (SP and BBP, one ultra-conservative, other one strongly conservative and nationalist) in an alliance.They scored 2.7% in the last elections. This time they scored %0.6, remaining 2 percent shifted to AKP.
There are many reasons...which allowed AKP to raise their votes by 9 percent.... AKP skillfully review the reasons of the fall of their votes in June elections...and done their homework good this time.
MHP's leader lost 14 elections, last night he said that he is not going to resign.
CHP's leader lost 5 elections (not counting municipality elections), he said that his party rosed it's votes. (0.4 percent rose and he sees at as a win.) And he is not resigning.
Opposition is extremely weak against AKP, their leader's lost all of their charisma, losing elections one after another and they still do not resign.
Turkish political analysts attribute Erdoğan's cheating quotient at around 5 percent – that takes into account stuffed ballots, shenanigans on the state-run Turkish Airlines as it transports ballots from abroad, disappeared ballot boxes from opposition-run towns and districts, and pretty much everything involving the mayor of Ankara. In the case of Sunday's elections, it appears that Erdoğan's AKP won the votes of hundreds of thousands of dead people..
All of these things are absolute BS. But "won the votes of hundreds of thousands of dead people"...really ???
"Turkish political analysts" saying this based on what ???
There were many observants near the ballot boxes, from AKP,MHP,CHP, HDP and other civil platforms like "oy ve ötesi ".
They together, check voters name and ID, before you vote. Only one guy tried to cheat when he tried to vote for his brother and got apprehended.
After the voting, observers counts the votes and write down to final number. They photograpgh it and send to their Party headquaters and news agencies, "AA", "Cihan"
Votes and put into a bag, and send to local building where the votes get counted by government officials. While votes are being transported a police car escorts the van where all of observant rides in it.
Counted votes gets listed by YSK (High Election Council)
And parties can check the votings of each ballot box with their data base. If there had been any cheating, opposition would detect it.
This system eliminates "stuffed ballots, shenanigans on the state-run Turkish Airlines as it transports ballots from abroad, disappeared ballot boxes from opposition-run towns and districts, votes of hundreds of thousands of dead people"
Like, i want to ask this person..."which ballot box got disappeared ?, i you are saying so, give the exact number of the ballot box".....it's impossible.
Mate, you posted this stuff, what's it's connection with fraud ???