What's new

Trade in a Time of Protectionism (In SAARC)

Godman

SENIOR MEMBER
Joined
Aug 5, 2015
Messages
2,707
Reaction score
0
Country
Sri Lanka
Location
Sri Lanka
Trade in a Time of Protectionism
  • SupportProject Syndicate’smission
    Project Syndicate needs your help to provide readers everywhere equal access to the ideas and debates shaping their lives.

    LEARN MORE

    Today, we Asians are witnessing, on an almost daily basis, fierce political assaults on the tools and policies that have helped lift hundreds of millions of our citizens out of poverty. Indeed, this year, free trade appears to be the scapegoat of choice among the world’s assorted populists and demagogues.

    In the United States’ presidential election campaign, for example, the leading candidates in both the Republican and Democratic primaries have questioned the wisdom of seeking greater openness in world trade. In the United Kingdom, euroskeptics campaigning for the country to leave the European Union denigrate the benefits of the single European market. Elsewhere in Europe, populists are demanding that the drawbridges of trade be raised.

    Open trade is under attack even in parts of Asia. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe had to drag some of his country’s special-interest groups kicking and screaming into the Trans-Pacific Partnership. Similarly, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been unable to convince state governors to lower trade barriers within the country. And in Sri Lanka, the “economic and technology agreement” that my government recently planned to sign with India, in order to bring about greater economic integration, has come under ferocious political attack.

    For the most part, however, Asia’s political leaders retain a very positive view of the benefits of open trade. After all, much of the past four decades of robust growth can be attributed to the fact that world markets were receptive to Asian goods. All we needed to do to get our economies growing, it seemed, was to identify our comparative advantage, produce quality goods at competitive prices, and then export as much as we could.

    For decades, this model worked extraordinarily well, and China, Japan, South Korea, and the countries of Southeast Asia benefited greatly from it. Even today, with world trade in the doldrums, regional trade remains a key component of these countries’ growth strategies. In South Asia, however, we have been much slower to take advantage of the opportunities that can arise from more open trade – with regrettable consequences: The region is home to 44% of the world’s poorest people.

    We have an obligation to try to use trade to lift our people out of poverty. But with free trade rapidly becoming a global bugbear, the window for generating growth by tapping into world markets appears to be closing quickly. If trade is to become a key driver of growth in Sri Lanka or elsewhere in the region, we will most likely have to generate it ourselves – by transforming South Asia from one of the world’s least economically integrated regions into one of its most integrated.

    Today, intra-regional trade accounts for just 5% of South Asia’s total trade, compared to 25% for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. This vast untapped potential presents the region with an opportunity for growth that does not rely on the strength of the world economy. Last year, the World Bank estimated that annual trade between India and Pakistan could jump from $1 billion today to $10 billion – if tariffs and other barriers were slashed to levels recommended by the World Trade Organization.

    Tariffs and other needless restrictions hobble trade among all South Asian countries. These obstacles were supposed to be swept away with the establishment of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation, the largest of all the world’s regional trading blocs, with close to two billion people. But SAARC’s reliance on bilateral negotiations has slowed the process to a crawl, keeping the region much poorer than it needs to be. If SAARC is to succeed, a new multilateral mechanism for cooperation will be needed.

    As climate change takes its toll, the stakes will only get higher. Our still largely agrarian countries, with much of their territory in low-lying coastal regions, are dangerously exposed to rising sea levels and violent weather. Receding Himalayan glaciers will disrupt the lives – and livelihoods – of some 600 million people in Pakistan, Nepal, and northern India.

    The political obstacles to effective action will be stiff. Indeed, there is political opposition to greater regional economic integration in every SAARC country. But the scale of the challenges facing the region should impel all of SAARC’s members toward greater cooperation.

    It is time for SAARC’s member governments to rise to the challenge. By working together, we can lay the foundations of a regional economy as dynamic as that of our neighbors to the east.


    Read more at Trade in a Time of Protectionism by Ranil Wickremesinghe - Project Syndicate

_______________________

We south Asians should cooperate more economically to improve our selves. Sri Lanka is willing so if the rest of SAARC agrees we could solve many issues. Sri Lanka shouldn't just talk but lead the way and play the role of a mediator for SAARC.
The goal isn't to end rivalries between countries (There won't be much fun without those fights) but for mutual cooperation so everyone can prosper.
What do you guys think?

@ranjeet @Gibbs @Nilgiri @Kashmiri Pandit @Sam. @nair @That Guy @Ryuzaki
 
.
Ranil Wikramasinghe has no vision on economy, He's strategies are to look for foreign investors. Seeking IMF loans and selling government holdings which are unprofitable.

The recent raw about ECTA between India and Sri Lanka is also shown his immaturity on choosing strategies.
 
.
Trade in a Time of Protectionism

We south Asians should cooperate more economically to improve our selves. Sri Lanka is willing so if the rest of SAARC agrees we could solve many issues. Sri Lanka shouldn't just talk but lead the way and play the role of a mediator for SAARC.
The goal isn't to end rivalries between countries (There won't be much fun without those fights) but for mutual cooperation so everyone can prosper.
What do you guys think?

@ranjeet @Gibbs @Nilgiri @Kashmiri Pandit @Sam. @nair @That Guy @Ryuzaki

First of all - India neither wants nor needs any mediators for any bilateral relationship between India and any other country. We deal on a bilateral basis with every country.

Secondly, South Asia minus Pakistan is already moving ahead to cooperate and integrate economically.

Since Pakistan is not just willing to integrate with South Asia but is also going to the extent of ensuring no one else in South Asia is able to do it (by blocking SAARC), we have decided to move ahead without them.

As a start, India, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal and Myanmar are integrating ourselves economically under multi-lateral forum.
We have already signed treaties allowing each other's motor vehicles to go through everyone else's land. We are in the process of opening corridors such that any country might use the other country's land and infrastructure (like ports, highways) etc. And we are synchoronizing our grids such that we have a common electricity grid that drives down costs and increases availability for all.

All of this has been done in 2015 itself when we all realized that Pakistan is trying to hold the entire South Asia back when every other country except for Pakistan voted in favour of economic proposals. In fact , every SAARC country even tried to convince Pakistan as well.

To no avail. Pakistan blocked treaties for all.


Once all this is done in the next couple of years, we would welcome Sri Lanka and Thailand to the grouping. We know Thailand is willing to join in 2017 and our and their ministers have already made the decision to start signing treaties in 2017 once the infra is in place, we donot know yet about Sri Lanka. That said, we all (India, BD, Bhutan, Nepal and Myanmar) share nothing but good will for Sri Lanka, so it should be a breeze to do it.
 
.
Ranil Wikramasinghe has no vision on economy, He's strategies are to look for foreign investors. Seeking IMF loans and selling government holdings which are unprofitable.

The recent raw about ECTA between India and Sri Lanka is also shown his immaturity on choosing strategies.


The Sri Lankan prime minister Ranil Wickremesinghe is a hypocritical bastard. His aim is to sell off Sri Lanka to the highest bidder as long as he maintains power and priviledge. He has run Sri Lanka into the ground.
 
.
We south Asians should cooperate more economically to improve our selves. Sri Lanka is willing so if the rest of SAARC agrees we could solve many issues. Sri Lanka shouldn't just talk but lead the way and play the role of a mediator for SAARC.
The goal isn't to end rivalries between countries (There won't be much fun without those fights) but for mutual cooperation so everyone can prosper.
What do you guys think?

SAARC trade might prosper or not but every member trying to increase trade bilaterally.

To promote intra-regional trade the SAARC countries have taken various initiatives through several bilateral, regional and multilateral agreements. Several bilateral trading arrangements are also in place among members of SAARC, including, among others, India and Nepal (FTA); India and Bhutan (FTA); India and Sri Lanka (FTA); India and Afghanistan (PTA); Pakistan and Afghanistan (Transit Trade Agreement); and Pakistan and Sri Lanka (FTA).

In spite of efforts made by SAARC member nations, intra-SAARC trade remained somewhat stagnant at a modest level below 5 per cent of the total trade much below that of EU-27 (around 59 per cent), ASEAN (around 25 per cent) and CIS (around 20 per cent). While intra-regional exports (5.8 per cent of total exports from the region) stood much higher compared to intra-imports (3.4 per cent of total imports of the region), it remained below that of other trade blocs.

SDF – The Way Forward: Trade finance plays an important role in facilitating trade by securing finance, and thus becomes an essential element of enhancing export capabilities. Among South Asian countries, India is the only country to have a dedicated export credit agency exclusively for financing exports from the country. Further, the South Asian region also does not have a dedicated regional development bank (RDB). As a long term strategy, the SAARC Development Fund, therefore, could assume the role of multilateral financial institution for the region, with active support from member countries. Some of the roles and functions of SDF also may be further fine-tuned with focus on trade financing as well as financing trade promoting infrastructure within the region.

tulNZef.png

dkCWFo1.png

okpE5e1.png

9LjBo4r.png

x1BdJsU.png

@Riyad @SHK There is a huge potential on this for Bangladesh.




iIFNLNt.png

@PARIKRAMA @Abingdonboy @MilSpec
 
.
The Sri Lankan prime minister Ranil Wickremesinghe is a hypocritical bastard. His aim is to sell off Sri Lanka to the highest bidder as long as he maintains power and priviledge. He has run Sri Lanka into the ground.
Srilanka tasting ground not because of the new regime but because of the old policies of previous regime, whose effect you people are feeling in the bad times.
Go, check you debts how much increase and in which period then comment.
 
.
First of all - India neither wants nor needs any mediators for any bilateral relationship between India and any other country. We deal on a bilateral basis with every country.

Secondly, South Asia minus Pakistan is already moving ahead to cooperate and integrate economically.

Since Pakistan is not just willing to integrate with South Asia but is also going to the extent of ensuring no one else in South Asia is able to do it (by blocking SAARC), we have decided to move ahead without them.

As a start, India, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal and Myanmar are integrating ourselves economically under multi-lateral forum.
We have already signed treaties allowing each other's motor vehicles to go through everyone else's land. We are in the process of opening corridors such that any country might use the other country's land and infrastructure (like ports, highways) etc. And we are synchoronizing our grids such that we have a common electricity grid that drives down costs and increases availability for all.

All of this has been done in 2015 itself when we all realized that Pakistan is trying to hold the entire South Asia back when every other country except for Pakistan voted in favour of economic proposals. In fact , every SAARC country even tried to convince Pakistan as well.

To no avail. Pakistan blocked treaties for all.


Once all this is done in the next couple of years, we would welcome Sri Lanka and Thailand to the grouping. We know Thailand is willing to join in 2017 and our and their ministers have already made the decision to start signing treaties in 2017 once the infra is in place, we donot know yet about Sri Lanka. That said, we all (India, BD, Bhutan, Nepal and Myanmar) share nothing but good will for Sri Lanka, so it should be a breeze to do it.

The countries which has open it's trade barriers for India has enslaved themselves to India one or the other. Take the examples of Nepal and Bhutan. They have are virtually become Indian colonies. Sri Lanka should not share such a bad fate. Therefore it is necessary to isolate India from Sri Lankan economy except for the general trading.

Srilanka tasting ground not because of the new regime but because of the old policies of previous regime, whose effect you people are feeling in the bad times.
Go, check you debts how much increase and in which period then comment.

The debts increased from last year, right after the new government took over. Before that SL economy was in a healthy position way ahead of even India. So don't try to spill BS here.
 
. .
The countries which has open it's trade barriers for India has enslaved themselves to India one or the other. Take the examples of Nepal and Bhutan. They have are virtually become Indian colonies. Sri Lanka should not share such a bad fate. Therefore it is necessary to isolate India from Sri Lankan economy except for the general trading.
Thankyou for insinuating that India, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Nepal, Myanmar and very soon Thailand are all run by fools or sell outs.
 
. .
Sri Lanka should join BBIN framework since its already in BIMSTEC.

SAARC is not going to get anything done trade wise multilaterally because of India-Pakistan mutual contempt.
 
.
Srilanka tasting ground not because of the new regime but because of the old policies of previous regime, whose effect you people are feeling in the bad times.
Go, check you debts how much increase and in which period then comment.


The current SL government is an Indian puppet... so of course you will drop shiv lings to try and protect them. Nice try. They have literally destroyed the SL rupee and economy in one year.
 
.
Srilanka tasting ground not because of the new regime but because of the old policies of previous regime, whose effect you people are feeling in the bad times.
Go, check you debts how much increase and in which period then comment.

Ignore those those guys. They are just jumping into these threads shouting nonsense
They think their Rajapaksa will be able to return to power if they shout all kinds of nonsense.
The former govt used SOEs to take loans most of these SOEs are also loss making ones.
State Debt Rose To 9.5 Trillion Rupees After Revealing Hidden Dues: PM | Lanka Business Online

The current govt took a policy of taking more loans to repay them but it's pretty short sighted. So now they are doing what's recomended and Sri Lanka needs.
Increasing VAT to 15% and bringing back capital gains tax.
I would prefer 20% VAT without capital gains tax though.
Our tax revenue per GDP is currently at 11% way below the level needed.

Sri Lanka should join BBIN framework since its already in BIMSTEC.

SAARC is not going to get anything done trade wise multilaterally because of India-Pakistan mutual contempt.

If Pakistan and India could improve things a little Pakistan may be able to get more benefits than India.
India with its rising population with rising income is a big market for Pakistani industries

First of all - India neither wants nor needs any mediators for any bilateral relationship between India and any other country. We deal on a bilateral basis with every country.

Secondly, South Asia minus Pakistan is already moving ahead to cooperate and integrate economically.

Since Pakistan is not just willing to integrate with South Asia but is also going to the extent of ensuring no one else in South Asia is able to do it (by blocking SAARC), we have decided to move ahead without them.

As a start, India, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Nepal and Myanmar are integrating ourselves economically under multi-lateral forum.
We have already signed treaties allowing each other's motor vehicles to go through everyone else's land. We are in the process of opening corridors such that any country might use the other country's land and infrastructure (like ports, highways) etc. And we are synchoronizing our grids such that we have a common electricity grid that drives down costs and increases availability for all.

All of this has been done in 2015 itself when we all realized that Pakistan is trying to hold the entire South Asia back when every other country except for Pakistan voted in favour of economic proposals. In fact , every SAARC country even tried to convince Pakistan as well.

To no avail. Pakistan blocked treaties for all.


Once all this is done in the next couple of years, we would welcome Sri Lanka and Thailand to the grouping. We know Thailand is willing to join in 2017 and our and their ministers have already made the decision to start signing treaties in 2017 once the infra is in place, we donot know yet about Sri Lanka. That said, we all (India, BD, Bhutan, Nepal and Myanmar) share nothing but good will for Sri Lanka, so it should be a breeze to do it.

Pakistan will have to open up too. I am pretty sure Chinese investors will try persuade Pakistan for that.
 
.
If Pakistan and India could improve things a little Pakistan may be able to get more benefits than India.
India with its rising population with rising income is a big market for Pakistani industries

True. But they are reluctant to even operationalise trade that is circumvented through UAE through direct cross border trade. They believe Indian goods will swamp Pakistan that way and are not looking at long term benefit.

Anyways that is between India and Pakistan. SL can create whatever trade deals it needs with Pakistan.

But for multi lateral trade platforms, BBIN is probably your best bet in South Asia...to take advantage of multi-sourced products and logistics. There is actual action taking place in this framework to reduce barriers and promote more trade.
 
. .

Pakistan Affairs Latest Posts

Country Latest Posts

Back
Top Bottom