Total breakdown? US-Pakistan may go to war in 2012

[Devil Soul]

War with Pakistan top threat for US in 2012
Published: December 10, 2011
WASHINGTON (AFP) - A conflict with Pakistan, the euro crisis, and a political instability in Saudi Arabia and have emerged as top potential threats facing the United States in 2012, an influential think-tank said Friday.

The Council on Foreign Relation’s Center for Preventive Action anonymously surveyed US officials and experts to compile an annual list of the most plausible conflicts for the US in 2012.

The 2012 list elevated several contingencies to the top tier of risks: a US conflict with Pakistan prompted by an attack or counter-terrorism operation; an intensified euro crisis, which could plunge the US back into recession; and a Saudi instability, which would threaten global oil supplies. Threats that remained at the top of the list from last year included a potential incident between the US and China, internal instability in Pakistan, intensified nuclear crises with Iran or North Korea, and a spillover of drug-related violence from Mexico.

Micah Zenko, a fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations who focuses on conflict resolution, said the survey was designed to fill a gap as the US government has a poor record forecasting future instability and conflict.

“It is a perennial problem to get policymakers to focus on future challenges when dealing with the tyranny of the inbox,” Zenko said, referring to the overwhelming flow of messages. “But in an age of austerity it has never been more important to forecast, prevent or mitigate plausible contingencies that could result in an expensive and long-lasting US military involvement,” he said.

The survey elevated the risk of conflict with Pakistan amid high tensions in 2011 following the US operation that killed Osama bin Laden. But the think-tank removed the potential for military escalation between Pakistan and arch-rival India from the top tier of risks.

The survey also added Bahrain as a “tier-two” risk to the US, citing fears that growing instability in the Sunni-ruled kingdom could spur fresh military action by Saudi Arabia or Iran.

Other risks that were downgraded or removed from last year included:
- Intensified military conflict between Sudan and South Sudan.
- Renewed military conflict between Russia and Georgia.
- Violent instability in Thailand.
- Violent instability in Myanmar.
- A succession crisis in Zimbabwe.

 

[Red.Indian]

December 10, 2011
Washington:An influential think-tank has rated a conflict with Pakistan as among the top potential threats facing the United States in 2012, but downgraded the potential for military escalation between Pakistan and India.

A survey by the Washington based Council on Foreign Relations released.On Friday elevated the risk of US conflict with Pakistan triggered by an attack or counter-terrorism operation amid high tensions in 2011 following the US operation that killed Osama bin Laden.

"I can absolutely say that it wasn't something that we did intentionally," the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Martin E. Dempsey told the Atlantic Council, a Washington think tank Friday.

"Regrettably, the Pakistani military believes we did. We did not attack a Pakistan military border post intentionally. If you think we did, I'd have to ask you what in the world you'd think we would gain by doing that," he was quoted as saying by the US defence department website

But a severe Indo-Pak crisis that carries risk of military escalation, triggered by major terror attack was downgraded from the top to Tier Two contingencies affecting countries of strategic importance to the United States that do not involve a mutual defence treaty commitment.

The Council's Centre for Preventive Action anonymously surveyed US officials and experts to compile an annual list of the most plausible conflicts for the United States in the new year.

Besides a US conflict with Pakistan, the 2012 list elevated several contingencies to the top tier of risks: an intensified euro crisis, which could plunge the US back into recession; the threat of a cyberattack; and a Saudi instability, which would threaten global oil supplies.

Threats that remained at the top of the list from last year included a potential incident between the United States and China involving US or allied forces, internal instability in Pakistan, intensified nuclear crises with Iran or North Korea, and a spillover of drug-related violence from Mexico.

"The United States has a dismal record of forecasting instability and conflicts. Presently there is no systematic US government process linking forecasting to contingency planning. This survey is intended to meet that need," said CFR fellow for conflict prevention Micah Zenko, who conducted the survey.

http://www.hindustantimes.com/world...an-India-Pakistan-Survey/Article1-780364.aspx

 

[farhan_9909]

we are ready to split your united states

 

[Red.Indian]

we are ready to split your united states

the process of spliting of US for you would surely not so easy for you.....

 

[Lankan Ranger]

Pakistan among top US risks in 2012

The euro crisis, political instability in Saudi Arabia and conflict with Pakistan have emerged as top potential threats facing the United States in 2012, an influential think-tank said Friday.

The Council on Foreign Relation’s Center for Preventive Action anonymously surveyed US officials and experts to compile an annual list of the most plausible conflicts for the United States in the new year.

The 2012 list elevated several contingencies to the top tier of risks: an intensified euro crisis, which could plunge the United States back into recession; Saudi instability, which would threaten global oil supplies; and a US conflict with Pakistan prompted by an attack or counter-terrorism operation.

Threats that remained at the top of the list from last year included a potential incident between the United States and China, internal instability in Pakistan, intensified nuclear crises with Iran or North Korea, and a spillover of drug-related violence from Mexico.

Micah Zenko, a fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations who focuses on conflict resolution, said that the survey was designed to fill a gap as the US government has a poor record forecasting future instability and conflict.

“It is a perennial problem to get policymakers to focus on future challenges when dealing with the tyranny of the inbox,” Zenko said, referring to the overwhelming flow of messages.

“But in an age of austerity it has never been more important to forecast, prevent or mitigate plausible contingencies that could result in an expensive and long-lasting US military involvement,” he said.

The survey also added Bahrain as a “tier-two” risk to the United States, citing fears that growing instability in the Sunni-ruled kingdom could spur fresh military action by Saudi Arabia or Iran.

The survey elevated the risk of conflict with Pakistan amid high tensions in 2011 following the US operation that killed Osama bin Laden.

But the think-tank removed the potential for military escalation between Pakistan and arch-rival India from the top tier of risks.

http://www.dawn.com/2011/12/10/‘pakistan-among-top-us-risks-in-2012’.html

 

[Shardul.....the lion]

December 10, 2011
Washington:An influential think-tank has rated a conflict with Pakistan as among the top potential threats facing the United States in 2012, but downgraded the potential for military escalation between Pakistan and India.

A survey by the Washington based Council on Foreign Relations released.On Friday elevated the risk of US conflict with Pakistan triggered by an attack or counter-terrorism operation amid high tensions in 2011 following the US operation that killed Osama bin Laden.

"I can absolutely say that it wasn't something that we did intentionally," the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Martin E. Dempsey told the Atlantic Council, a Washington think tank Friday.

"Regrettably, the Pakistani military believes we did. We did not attack a Pakistan military border post intentionally. If you think we did, I'd have to ask you what in the world you'd think we would gain by doing that," he was quoted as saying by the US defence department website

But a severe Indo-Pak crisis that carries risk of military escalation, triggered by major terror attack was downgraded from the top to Tier Two contingencies affecting countries of strategic importance to the United States that do not involve a mutual defence treaty commitment.

The Council's Centre for Preventive Action anonymously surveyed US officials and experts to compile an annual list of the most plausible conflicts for the United States in the new year.

Besides a US conflict with Pakistan, the 2012 list elevated several contingencies to the top tier of risks: an intensified euro crisis, which could plunge the US back into recession; the threat of a cyberattack; and a Saudi instability, which would threaten global oil supplies.

Threats that remained at the top of the list from last year included a potential incident between the United States and China involving US or allied forces, internal instability in Pakistan, intensified nuclear crises with Iran or North Korea, and a spillover of drug-related violence from Mexico.

"The United States has a dismal record of forecasting instability and conflicts. Presently there is no systematic US government process linking forecasting to contingency planning. This survey is intended to meet that need," said CFR fellow for conflict prevention Micah Zenko, who conducted the survey.

'US-Pakistan conflict risk higher than India-Pak' - Hindustan Times

The last sentence gave it all by saying US has dismal record at predictions

 

[blood]

unfortunately , in recent years pakistan has become a threat to the entire world peace because of the growing instability

 

[sputnik]

I feel sad for Pak. The way they are getting treated now. India should be cautious regarding containing china which might tilt it towards US unnessary.

 

[Icarus]

unfortunately , in recent years pakistan has become a threat to the entire world peace because of the growing instability

How is Pakistan a danger for the entire world, kindly explain?

 

[VelocuR]

How is Pakistan a danger for the entire world, kindly explain?

Dumb Indians as usual. They have no clues, bro. Stupidity at its best.

 

[Awesome]

Pakistan is not going to fight with the US. It is the US that is coming to fight Pakistan, yet Pakistan is the danger or is Pakistan IN danger?

 

[wrigsted]

How is Pakistan a danger for the entire world, kindly explain?

Not necessarily Pakistan, but s. .. happens
Ok, so since you ask. Many here on the forum talking about revenge for 26.11.11 and want to shoot U.S.. drones down. It's a sentiment that widespread in Pakistan, yes? If there is a fu and U.S. and Pakistan are no longer friends, and the U.S.. believe that they will have to bomb a few places in Pakistan just to show who is boss. This makes Pakistan angry. The Pakistani military will not receive funds from the U.S.. More fu's.. Pakistan and Iran come together in a partnership for peace. The West, which is not as stable as it has been (read Weimar Republic) goes into paranoid mode .....

 

[Ambitious449]

I think only Pakistani nukes fallen into extremists hands is the only danger. But very risky for India and western world. Other than that I don't think Pakistan is risk to anybody including USA.

 

[Xracer]

unfortunately , in recent years pakistan has become a threat to the entire world peace because of the growing instability

yes you are right but in this way:unfortunately , in recent years pakistan has become a threat to the entire world peace because of the growing instability cause by USA
grab those fukin Americans from there filthi hair make them get out of our country

 

[Xracer]

December 10, 2011
Washington:An influential think-tank has rated a conflict with Pakistan as among the top potential threats facing the United States in 2012, but downgraded the potential for military escalation between Pakistan and India.

A survey by the Washington based Council on Foreign Relations released.On Friday elevated the risk of US conflict with Pakistan triggered by an attack or counter-terrorism operation amid high tensions in 2011 following the US operation that killed Osama bin Laden.

"I can absolutely say that it wasn't something that we did intentionally," the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Martin E. Dempsey told the Atlantic Council, a Washington think tank Friday.

"Regrettably, the Pakistani military believes we did. We did not attack a Pakistan military border post intentionally. If you think we did, I'd have to ask you what in the world you'd think we would gain by doing that," he was quoted as saying by the US defence department website

But a severe Indo-Pak crisis that carries risk of military escalation, triggered by major terror attack was downgraded from the top to Tier Two contingencies affecting countries of strategic importance to the United States that do not involve a mutual defence treaty commitment.

The Council's Centre for Preventive Action anonymously surveyed US officials and experts to compile an annual list of the most plausible conflicts for the United States in the new year.

Besides a US conflict with Pakistan, the 2012 list elevated several contingencies to the top tier of risks: an intensified euro crisis, which could plunge the US back into recession; the threat of a cyberattack; and a Saudi instability, which would threaten global oil supplies.

Threats that remained at the top of the list from last year included a potential incident between the United States and China involving US or allied forces, internal instability in Pakistan, intensified nuclear crises with Iran or North Korea, and a spillover of drug-related violence from Mexico.

"The United States has a dismal record of forecasting instability and conflicts. Presently there is no systematic US government process linking forecasting to contingency planning. This survey is intended to meet that need," said CFR fellow for conflict prevention Micah Zenko, who conducted the survey.

'US-Pakistan conflict risk higher than India-Pak' - Hindustan Times

well thats nice we should not make neighbours enemies they are like our own family and the fukin gov make India enemy and thats for GOOD