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This is How China Plans to Rival US Dominance in Global Trade

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17:16 17.08.2016
http://sputniknews.com/business/20160817/1044362712/us-china-trade-rules.html
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American companies see the Chinese initiative of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) as a real alternative to the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) led by the United States.

David Abney, head of United Parcel Service (UPS), said that the US runs the risk of missing out on setting the terms for international trade by not approving the TPP.

Abney also said that his company will lobby members of US Congress to approve the deal.

"We think there's a sense of urgency there," Abney told Reuters.

He also referred to the negotiations China is holding with 15 countries to work out an alternative trade deal. On August 10-19, the 14th round of the talks are underway in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. The negotiations involve China, the ten ASEAN country members, Australia, India, Japan, South Korea and New Zealand.

The next round is scheduled for October 16-22 in Tianjin, China. According to the Chinese news agency Xinhua, the participants are determined to reach a mutually beneficial and commercially important agreement.

"If that goes through, that would be China setting the rules for trade in that part of the world," Abney added.

Meanwhile, currently even close allies doubt that the US will determine the rules of the global trade. The role of the global trade leader will soon be vacant, said Alexander Salitsky, an expert at the Institute of Global Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences.

However, China does not want to be a trade hegemon and would like to assume the leading role, he said.

"Chinese capital does not fit in the domestic market anymore. There are major state-owned companies in China, but private companies are also getting strong. Chinese private capital is now crossing the borders. More actively than American capital," Salitsky told Sputnik.

According to the expert, American capital is mostly financial and cannot provide appealing forms of partnership to other companies. At the same time, Chinese private companies are ready for expansion.

"China is ready to write the global trade rules. Moreover, Beijing can handle all current global trade tools, including within the World Trade Organizations. Many Chinese companies do not just copy. They have own intellectual property rights and defend them against American and South Korean firms. We’re witnessing the transition of global trade and financial leadership from the US to China," the expert said.

US President Barack Obama hopes that the TTP will be one of the most important parts of its political legacy. However, neither Donald Trump nor Hillary Clinton are expected to approve the initiative.

The US mounted serious pressure on its partners to accelerate the deal last year. Now, the deal has stalled due to inter-party political tensions in Washington. Many analysts say this situation would finally affect the ratification of the deal by each of the participating countries, especially Japan, Australia, New Zealand and Chile. In fact, if approved the agreement would seriously reduce their economic and trade sovereignty.

At the same time, Beijing respects the rights and sovereignty of other countries, Salitsky underscored.

"China is an avid supporter of national sovereignty. This is why Beijing’s stance on the issue is appealing for other countries, especially those interested in the RCEP. Some South Asian countries are already competing to have exclusive trade ties with Beijing," he said.

When Barack Obama said the US should define the rules of global trade many US allies in Asia and Latin America were not happy with this, the expert added.

"Currently, many Asian countries want to reduce US influence and boost national sovereignty. In this context, China is a better partner than the US. And this is very important for expanding Chinese influence," Salitsky concluded.
 
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"Chinese capital does not fit in the domestic market anymore. There are major state-owned companies in China, but private companies are also getting strong. Chinese private capital is now crossing the borders. More actively than American capital," Salitsky told Sputnik.
According to the expert, American capital is mostly financial and cannot provide appealing forms of partnership to other companies. At the same time, Chinese private companies are ready for expansion.

Comparatively speaking, Chinese capital is mostly industrial, mostly going out in form of non-financial ODI (i.e. outbound FDI).

Chinese financial capital, both state-run and private, are still young and in early stage of learning curve, it will take quite some time to mature. Being a trade surplus nation (world largest, running at US$600 billion per annum), a creditor nation (China mainland already second only to Japan; world's largest if combined with Taiwan, HK), it's a challenge. I am dissatisfied with PBoC's defensive management of FX as well as poor performance of the newly formed SWF's like CIC. China state-run capital should fast track on learning from the best performing counterparts in the global market e.g. Singapore GIC, Temasek, HKMA.

Untitled.png

"China is ready to write the global trade rules. Moreover, Beijing can handle all current global trade tools, including within the World Trade Organizations. Many Chinese companies do not just copy. They have own intellectual property rights and defend them against American and South Korean firms..." the expert said.

Since 2000, Chinese industrialists are beginning to use patent filing system to protect their own IP rights. R&D, intellectual rights are always central to industrialized economy.

untitled-png.326572

Innovation is one key driver making China world's largest exporter (US$2.284 trillion last year), exports dominated by high-value add electro-mechanical (57% of all) and electronics, also makes China top high-tech exporter exceeding Germany-Japan-US-combined.

China is also top importer of major primary resources like crude oil, iron ore, copper, alumina and many others, making China top trade partner for 100+ countries and world's largest trader.

"...We’re witnessing the transition of global trade and financial leadership from the US to China," the expert said.


"Witnessing" transition of global trade leadership? Did this expert write this years ago or still living in the past?
 
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Comparatively speaking, Chinese capital is mostly industrial, mostly going out in form of non-financial ODI (i.e. outbound FDI).

Chinese financial capital, both state-run and private, are still young and in early stage of learning curve, it will take quite some time to mature. Being a trade surplus nation (world largest, running at US$600 billion per annum), a creditor nation (China mainland already second only to Japan; world's largest if combined with Taiwan, HK), it's a challenge. I am dissatisfied with PBoC's defensive management of FX as well as poor performance of the newly formed SWF's like CIC. China state-run capital should fast track on learning from the best performing counterparts in the global market e.g. Singapore GIC, Temasek, HKMA.




Since 2000, Chinese industrialists are beginning to use patent filing system to protect their own IP rights. R&D, intellectual rights are always central to industrialized economy.

untitled-png.326572

Innovation is one key driver making China world's largest exporter (US$2.284 trillion last year), exports dominated by high-value add electro-mechanical (57% of all) and electronics, also makes China top high-tech exporter exceeding Germany-Japan-US-combined.

China is also top importer of major primary resources like crude oil, iron ore, copper, alumina and many others, making China top trade partner for 100+ countries and world's largest trader.




"Witnessing" transition of global trade leadership? Did this expert write this years ago or still living in the past?


Among the many points you have made, I will answer regarding some, and ask few questions:

  1. I will stick to my guns that you can't compare patents filed in one country with that filed in another country, and deduce anything equivalent to a comparison of research strength. The better way to measure relative research strengths is comparing PCT patents.
  2. Flowing from 1, the other better ways to measure research strengths is in seeing University Rankings, and Published Research, whether through the Nature Index, or using SciVal.
  3. China is seemingly in incredible debt. The Corporate debt in particular is more than the GDP!
  4. In terms of financial leadership, China has actually taken a step back from 2014, due to stock market collapse and other vulnerabilities. Investor Confidence is at all time lows. China needs bold reforms, and measures that can boost investor sentiment. (Capital has been flowing out of China at record rates.)
 
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Comparatively speaking, Chinese capital is mostly industrial, mostly going out in form of non-financial ODI (i.e. outbound FDI).

Chinese financial capital, both state-run and private, are still young and in early stage of learning curve, it will take quite some time to mature. Being a trade surplus nation (world largest, running at US$600 billion per annum), a creditor nation (China mainland already second only to Japan; world's largest if combined with Taiwan, HK), it's a challenge. I am dissatisfied with PBoC's defensive management of FX as well as poor performance of the newly formed SWF's like CIC. China state-run capital should fast track on learning from the best performing counterparts in the global market e.g. Singapore GIC, Temasek, HKMA.




Since 2000, Chinese industrialists are beginning to use patent filing system to protect their own IP rights. R&D, intellectual rights are always central to industrialized economy.

untitled-png.326572

Innovation is one key driver making China world's largest exporter (US$2.284 trillion last year), exports dominated by high-value add electro-mechanical (57% of all) and electronics, also makes China top high-tech exporter exceeding Germany-Japan-US-combined.

China is also top importer of major primary resources like crude oil, iron ore, copper, alumina and many others, making China top trade partner for 100+ countries and world's largest trader.




"Witnessing" transition of global trade leadership? Did this expert write this years ago or still living in the past?
And in 2050....that country will be "infested" with the less intellectual....
 
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RECP and TPP are not mutually exclusive. Most countries want to be in both due to the market size of the US and China. So no one can define the rule via one or the other trade deal. It's not a zero sum game here.
 
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Among the many points you have made, I will answer regarding some, and ask few questions:
  1. I will stick to my guns that you can't compare patents filed in one country with that filed in another country, and deduce anything equivalent to a comparison of research strength. The better way to measure relative research strengths is comparing PCT patents.
  2. Flowing from 1, the other better ways to measure research strengths is in seeing University Rankings, and Published Research, whether through the Nature Index, or using SciVal.

Below is WIPO data from 1883 till modern days.

untitled-png.326572


What would you say about US and Japan of the 20th century?

Among the many points you have made, I will answer regarding some, and ask few questions:

  1. I will stick to my guns that you can't compare patents filed in one country with that filed in another country, and deduce anything equivalent to a comparison of research strength. The better way to measure relative research strengths is comparing PCT patents.
  2. Flowing from 1, the other better ways to measure research strengths is in seeing University Rankings, and Published Research, whether through the Nature Index, or using SciVal.

Do you even know what is PCT in the first place?

Administered by WIPO, the PCT is an international treaty with more than 145 Contracting States. The PCT makes it possible to seek patent protection for an invention simultaneously in a large number of countries by filing a single “international” patent application instead of filing several separate national or regional patent applications. The granting of patents remains under the control of the national or regional patent Offices in what is called the “national phase”.

overview-gif.326554

The PCT is a convenience facility used by inventors when they seek international patent protection in more than one nation. In other words, when inventors don't seek international protection, PCT is not applicable. PCT has no direct link with a nation's patent filings. Now that you know what is PCT, you tell me, does PCT has any direct link to a nation's R&D intensity? How you use it to gauge a nation's innovation "ranking"?
 
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Below is WIPO data from 1883 till modern days.

untitled-png.326572


What would you say about US and Japan of the 20th century?

That US and Japan can't be compared.

Also, China gives all sorts of incentives to patent holders, and filing companies, which further gives them incentive to file patents regardless of value.

Finally, most of the patents in China's case are utility patents, that means they are not really high end technology.

Do you even know what is PCT in the first place?

Administered by WIPO, the PCT is an international treaty with more than 145 Contracting States. The PCT makes it possible to seek patent protection for an invention simultaneously in a large number of countries by filing a single “international” patent application instead of filing several separate national or regional patent applications. The granting of patents remains under the control of the national or regional patent Offices in what is called the “national phase”.

overview-gif.326554

The PCT is a convenience facility used by inventors when they seek international patent protection in more than one nation. In other words, when inventors don't seek international protection, PCT is not applicable. PCT has no direct link with a nation's patent filings. Now that you know what is PCT, you tell me, does PCT has any direct link to a nation's R&D intensity? How you use it to gauge a nation's innovation "ranking"?

Yes I know, PCT. And we have had this talk before, and you used exactly the same graphic picked from WIPO's site.
 
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China is seemingly in incredible debt. The Corporate debt in particular is more than the GDP!


What "incredible" debt China is in, indebted to whom, you? Be specific.

If you mean corporate debt within China, alright, but do you even know what is it in the first place?

The professional term is Domestic Credit To Private Sector. In plain language, it's the money lend to private sector, both household and corporate, by financial institutions.
Check the definition and data: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS
World average is 131.5% (of GDP), China is 155%, US is 190.4%, OECD members 147.1%, South Sudan is 2.7%, Afghanistan is 4%. Sierra Leone is 4.9%,

Now you tell me, what does it imply? Are you trying to troll China or simply illiterate?
 
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What debt? You mean corporate debt? Do you even know what is it in the first place?

The professional term is: Domestic Credit To Private Sector. In plain language, it's the money lend to private sector, both household and corporate, by financial institutions. Check the definition and data: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS
World average is 131.5% (of GDP), China is 155%, US is 190.4%, OECD members 147.1%, South Sudan is 2.7%, Afghanistan is 4%. Sierra Leone is 4.9%,

Now you tell me, what does it imply? Are you trying to troll China or simply illiterate?
His major is in chemistry eng. from a secondary university of Asia.
 
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That US and Japan can't be compared.

Also, China gives all sorts of incentives to patent holders, and filing companies, which further gives them incentive to file patents regardless of value.


When US and Japan lead in patent filings, it's called "innovation", when China leads, you call it "regardless of value", are you a western journalist?

Finally, most of the patents in China's case are utility patents, that means they are not really high end technology.


Bull crap.

Patent and Utility Model are completely different things, don't fool around
http://www.wipo.int/sme/en/ip_business/utility_models/utility_models.htm

In 2014, China SIPO received 928177 patent applications,
In 2014, China SIPO received 868511 utility model applications
Check WIPO 2015 Edition, indicator A45 on page 60.
http://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo_pub_941_2015.pdf

Why are you faking numbers? You are illiterate or a blatant lier?
 
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When US and Japan lead in patent filings, it's called "innovation", when China leads, you call it "regardless of value", are you a western journalist?

I have never implied innovation by patents.
If you want to measure innovation, look at the citation numbers which are more robust.

Bull crap.

Patent and Utility Model are completely different things.
In 2014, China SIPO received 928177 patent applications,
In 2014, China SIPO received 868511 utility model applications
Check WIPO 2015 Edition, indicator A45 on page 60.
Why are you faking numbers? You are illiterate or a blatant lier?

I am wrong here. Yes. People can be wrong, or is that not allowed?
 
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