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The real face of CPEC : Destroying Pakistani Industry

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http://tribune.com.pk/story/821418/fta-with-china-pakistan-offers-to-scrap-duties-on-50-of-products/


ISLAMABAD:
As domestic industries are at risk of being wiped out due to dumping of cheap Chinese products, Pakistan has offered to eliminate duties only on half of the total product lines in the second phase of the free trade agreement (FTA) instead of 90% under the original plan.

Both the countries agreed on four broad principles for implementing the second phase of FTA, which would protect the interest of local industries, said Khurram Dastgir Khan, the Minister of Commerce.

“One of the main principles is that tariff concessions will not be on a reciprocal basis, rather these will be in favour of Pakistan,” Khan said.

Firstly, tariff reduction modalities of the second phase will be independent of the first phase, meaning there will be fresh negotiations on all aspects of the agreement.

Secondly, the tariff reduction will not be on a reciprocal basis and China will give more incentives to Pakistan to make up for the adverse impact of the first phase.

Thirdly, both sides offered different timelines for bringing down duties and on the pace of lowering tariff and in Pakistan’s case it will be slow.

Lastly, if imports surge beyond a threshold, the two countries can apply trigger mechanisms and impose safeguard duties.

Pakistan offered immediate reduction in duties to zero on 50% of product lines, which was far less than the original plan of lowering the duties on 90% of product lines, said Dr Robina Ather, Additional Secretary of Commerce Ministry.

At present, Chinese exporters were enjoying zero duties on 35% of total product lines, she added.

In comparison, China has offered to immediately slash duties to 70% of product lines. It has also suggested that after five years it will reduce duties on another 10% and the 90% target will be achieved in the next 10 years.

However, Pakistan would lower duties on 90% of product lines in the next 15 to 20 years, she added.

These timeframes will be taken up in the next round of negotiations that will be held in Beijing at the end of March.

Intricacies of FTA

Both the sides are negotiating the FTA afresh after Pakistani industries complained about the 2006 agreement that was highly in favour of China. Negotiations for implementing the second phase were due but fresh principles were agreed to address the concerns of both the countries.

Dastgir said critics of the 2006 agreement believed that the FTA was not in favour of Pakistan, adding Pakistan had conveyed three main concerns to the Chinese team during the third round of negotiations for implementing the second phase.

Free trade access to China could not be sufficiently utilised as Beijing did not reduce duties on products where Pakistani sectors enjoyed a competitive advantage, said the minister.

Secondly, the margin of preference over other countries that Pakistan should have enjoyed effectively came to naught after China signed similar free trade accords with other countries, particularly the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean).

Finally, Pakistan had been persistently sustaining a loss of Rs22 billion on account of tax exemptions granted to imports from China.

Pakistan did not fully exploit the FTA due to the energy crisis and dumping of Chinese products, the minister remarked. Dumping was the main concern of Pakistani industries, particularly of steel products, polyester staple fibre and many other products, he said.

The commerce ministry has been receiving individual complaints about the dumping of Chinese products.

At present, the balance of trade is in favour of China. Against exports worth $2.5 billion, Pakistan imported $7.5 billion worth of products from China.

However, while defending the FTA, the minister said it was beneficial as well as Pakistan’s cotton exports, particularly, increased from $329 million in 2006 to $1.3 billion in 2014.

Published in The Express Tribune, January 14th, 2015.

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KARACHI:
Developing countries sign free trade agreements (FTAs) with trading partners mainly to increase exports and create better-paying jobs at home.

In Pakistan’s case, however, tariff revisions under FTAs have clearly not worked in its favour, numbers show. Pakistan has signed trade agreements with five countries, namely China, Indonesia, Malaysia, Sri Lanka and Mauritius.

“None of the major trade agreements Pakistan has signed have shown a significant increase in its exports. However, imports have shown a healthy increase post-all major FTAs signed by Pakistan,” according to an assessment of trade agreements carried out by the Pakistan Business Council (PBC), an advocacy platform consisting of 47 of Pakistan’s largest businesses.

Pakistan had a trade deficit with China, Malaysia and Indonesia when it signed FTAs with them in 2006, 2008 and 2013, respectively. Its trade balance was still in negative with these countries at the end of 2014, data shows.

However, Pakistan has managed to maintain a trade surplus – albeit a small one – with Sri Lanka ($217 million) and Mauritius ($21.3 million) in post-FTA years. With the exception of China, none of these countries was among Pakistan’s top-five import and/or export partners at the end of 2014. As for China, it became Pakistan’s largest import partner, leaving behind Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, in the post-FTA years.

Read: PBC’s report on Pakistan-Indonesia trade

China’s share in Pakistan’s imports was less than 12% in 2009, but increased to more than one-fifth of its total imports at the end of 2014. China held a 5.6% share in Pakistan’s exports in 2009, which increased to 9.1% in 2014.

So what does the change show?

In its 2013 study on China-Pakistan trade partnership in the post-FTA era, the PBC found that Pakistan “appeared to have failed to benefit fully” from the agreement. The study said it was due to either Pakistani businesses were not part of the FTA negotiations or the Pakistani negotiators simply lacked the requisite information to negotiate the agreement.

In a separate assessment of the Malaysia-Pakistan FTA that was published earlier this week, PBC researchers noted that Pakistan’s exports to Malaysia have only “marginally increased” since the implementation of the FTA back in 2008.

“One reason for this failure lies in the fact that the items which have the highest potential for exports are either not part of Malaysia’s concession list or (where they are a part) competitors enjoy better tariff rates than Pakistan,” they said. Contrarily, Malaysia’s FTAs with India and China have tariffs that are lower than those in its FTA with Pakistan, putting Pakistani exports at a clear disadvantage.

Trade statistics paint a similarly gloomy picture in the case of Indonesia as well. Pakistan’s exports to Indonesia in 2014 were less than its exports in the preceding year, although Pakistan had signed a preferential trade agreement (PTA) with Indonesia in 2013.

In contrast, Indonesia’s exports to Pakistan surged 74.4% over the same year. Pakistan granted it duty preference for palm oil imports, doubling their value to $1.4 billion in a year. The PBC believes Pakistan failed to extract “any significant concessions” from its PTA with Indonesia.

One of the reasons Pakistan’s various trade agreements have not achieved the desired results is the lack of involvement of the Pakistani business community in the drafting of such agreements, according to the PBC.

Read: Data-sharing system planned to tackle misreporting

It says many local manufacturers and exporters are simply unaware of the exportable items that are part of the zero per cent tariff track in these FTAs.

“The government needs to ensure that the focus (in FTAs) is not only on concessions for agriculture-based exports, but that the value-added manufacturing sector has access to markets that allow it to develop critical mass,” it added.

The writer is a staff correspondent

Published in The Express Tribune, August 10th, 2015.

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KARACHI:
The influx of Chinese steel in the country is hurting the local industry, lamented an official, adding that the widening price difference is also causing imports to rise.

Apart from the private sector, Pakistan Steel Mills (PSM) – the only integrated steel mill in Pakistan – is also facing a stiff challenge due to Chinese imports.

“The PSM is finding it very difficult to compete in the current situation because the cheap imported steel is hurting its market just because of the price difference,” a PSM official told The Express Tribune.

Although, PSM is not producing billets – a thick steel bar that serves as a basic raw-material for different steel products – these days, it has been facing problems in selling its products owing to its higher cost of production.

According to industry officials, since January, over 100,000 tons of steel billets and hot-rolled coils have been imported from China at prices that are dramatically decreasing month after month.

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This is due to the difference of over Rs6,000 between locally produced billets and the imported ones. Current steel billet prices of PSM range between Rs67,000-68,000 per ton including sales tax while the price of Chinese billets after duties and taxes at today’s prices are in the range of Rs60,000-62,000.

As the Chinese economy slows down and domestic consumption drops, the world’s largest steel manufacturing nation has a massive oversupply problem. Over the past few months, cheap steel products from China have flooded the domestic markets due to subsidies on electricity and rebates on exports provided by the Chinese government to manufacturers.

Local steel makers say that Chinese manufacturers have resorted to dump their steel products in other countries by relying on government subsidies, tariff concessions through Free Trade Agreement (FTA) and marginal cost pricing mechanisms.

The two main products manufactured by PSM are steel billets and steel hot rolled coils. In a commodity product such as steel billets and coils, margins are usually thin and with price differentials of Rs6,000 per ton, PSM is facing problems in finding buyers.

Since cheap Chinese steel imports are poised to win a larger market share, the demand for PSM products is expected to decline – leaving its management once again with cash flow issues and having to go back to the begging bowl for further handouts from the government.

Countries such as Egypt, Vietnam, Mexico, Brazil, US and India have countered this threat through imposing counter-veiling duties, regulatory duties and other non-tariff barriers to protect their local steel industry. Due to concessions given through the Free Trade Agreement and mis-declaration of non-alloy steel goods as alloy steel, the appropriate tariff barriers are not in place to protect PSM and the rest of Pakistan’s steel industry.

Published in The Express Tribune, November 27th, 2014.
 
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these are all propaganda theories ... CPEC will be completed no matter what .
The article has a point. Pakistani interests come first. This project's benefits must be maximized and any damage caused by it( for example to the industrial base of Pakistan) must be reduced or eliminated.
 
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The article has a point. Pakistani interests come first. This project's benefits must be maximized and any damage caused
by it( for example to the industria base of Pakistan) must be reduced or eliminated.
I think the second post is talking about other agreements between the two countries and not about actual cpec ,its trying to says that even before the projects started ,they are dumping and killing the local industry and the writer feels after the projects it will be ,you know ..its always better to be careful

None sense article , local industries should learn to improve their business model
that's the spirit ,keep it up till the last.
 
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Well; this port will mostly be used for imports and PAKISTANI exports.

The amount of goods coming from China will not affect Pakistan Industry as much as described - it'll stimulate the economy and force the local industry to step up game - which in the long term will be better.
 
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To be honest I wouldn't even be worried if Pakistan had 'honest and sincere' leaders. However, this is not the case.

..its always better to be careful


that's the spirit ,keep it up till the last.
 
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Well; this port will mostly be used for imports and PAKISTANI exports.

The amount of goods coming from China will not affect Pakistan Industry as much as described - it'll stimulate the economy and force the local industry to step up game - which in the long term will be better.
can you tell how it will stimulate the local industry ,I mean can you explain with example so that every one can understand.
 
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None sense article , local industries should learn to improve their business model

How do you combat state paid subsidies for under-cost exports??
Dumping of Chinese steel is precisely the reason why no one is coming forward for privatization of PSM...What do you think the Chinese will come to help for? Liberating Kashmir???

If you think Chinese are brothers with friendship higher than Himalayas and deeper than oceans?? This is complete bullocks! Pakistan desperation for China represents our complete foreign policy failure...and the Chinese know how to exploit it well...

Well; this port will mostly be used for imports and PAKISTANI exports.

The amount of goods coming from China will not affect Pakistan Industry as much as described - it'll stimulate the economy and force the local industry to step up game - which in the long term will be better.

And what are you going to export to CHina? Donkey meat??
Pakistani manufacturers are struggling to export to China even when duties are slashed to zero after FTA..while Chinese are actively dumping in the local market...there is a reason why everyone wants to loot the country and run abroad..its is very well suited...


It is not only a question of below cost goods but also a question of low quality goods which make you lose valuable forex by repeated imports..when things break down frequently..they need to be imported frequently..
 
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The article has a point. Pakistani interests come first. This project's benefits must be maximized and any damage caused by it( for example to the industrial base of Pakistan) must be reduced or eliminated.
nay national interest comes first and you can see how much india is hurt by cpec ..... keep it going ...no matter what it wont stop now .
 
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nay national interest comes first and you can see how much india is hurt by cpec ..... keep it going ...no matter what it wont stop now .

I agree. CPEC should not be stopped but at the same time Pakistani economic interests should be secured.


There is no problem with CPEC..problem is Pakistani government sucking Chinese balls and giving it concessions which should otherwise not be given...a separate terminal needs to be established to for tighter scrutiny of Chinese goods..and this re branding strategy of Chinese exporters must be bought to an end as it supports counterfeiting.,...All Chinese exporters must be registered in a database and apply for trade mark registration before their product can make way into Pakistan markets...
 
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Give the domestic industries a level playing field. While david vs goliath is good in books, make sure your david has some basic protection of being overrun by goliath-
Any common man in our world will pay for the cheaper option first and then think about long term reliability/nation building
And this mentality helps in more pouring of imported stuff
 
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